Basel final

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • jugg1
    SBR Rookie
    • 01-26-13
    • 43

    #1
    Basel final
    Thoughts on Del Potro - Federer tommorrow?
  • losschaser
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 10-15-13
    • 723

    #2
    All depends on if Del Potro shows up or not
    Comment
    • EaglesPhan36
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 12-06-06
      • 71662

      #3
      Del Potro has played the more even tennis most of the week, but both had some sketchy moments today. Price seems fair for who they are right now. Delpo should expect Feddy's best effort or whatever that is at this point in the season @ home. I think the only way Federer is able to chip away and win is if Delpo has another "average" serving day like he did against ERV where he gave him some opportunities. Fed of course will have to serve well himself to stay in this. I doubt Del Potro would blow a 3-1 lead in the 3rd with the sort of serving he usually has.
      Comment
      • sluggy1616
        SBR MVP
        • 07-21-13
        • 1317

        #4
        I think the match is an 'under' bet. Delpo is pretty lazy and has played a lot of tennis in the last month. If Delpo wins the first set he stays motivated and finishes it off in 2. If Fed wins the 1st set, Delpo 'quits' and drops the 2nd set.
        Comment
        • gottimhimmel
          SBR Sharp
          • 10-08-13
          • 261

          #5
          There are so many reasons to back either play I honestly see a NO BET. Well at least that's me. The money is in the early rounds
          Comment
          • jjgold
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 07-20-05
            • 388179

            #6
            This is a tough one

            Its a big match for Fed and his confidence

            1st time in a while he is a real solid dog which takes pressure off him

            I have lean towards Fed
            Comment
            • sluggy1616
              SBR MVP
              • 07-21-13
              • 1317

              #7
              Originally posted by sluggy1616
              I think the match is an 'under' bet. Delpo is pretty lazy and has played a lot of tennis in the last month. If Delpo wins the first set he stays motivated and finishes it off in 2. If Fed wins the 1st set, Delpo 'quits' and drops the 2nd set.
              I do think this is how things most likely play out, but if I keep thinking about the scenario I outlined other outcomes are possible. So NO BET for me. If I outline a scenario for a bet and I can review the outcome 3 times and still feel 90% confident in my analysis then I bet. I might be lucky but using this method, I have 9 wins and 1 loss in my last 10 plays.
              Comment
              • sluggy1616
                SBR MVP
                • 07-21-13
                • 1317

                #8
                Originally posted by sluggy1616
                I do think this is how things most likely play out, but if I keep thinking about the scenario I outlined other outcomes are possible. So NO BET for me. If I outline a scenario for a bet and I can review the outcome 3 times and still feel 90% confident in my analysis then I bet. I might be lucky but using this method, I have 9 wins and 1 loss in my last 10 plays.
                My bad. 8-2 in last 10
                Comment
                • jjgold
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 07-20-05
                  • 388179

                  #9
                  Fed has zero pressure here for 1st time in a while

                  He is DOG
                  Comment
                  • matt1216
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 10-27-11
                    • 14683

                    #10
                    I think you fellas are over thinking this. Think about it. If Dimitrov wasn't such a flake he goes 3 sets with federer. Pospisil storms back and almost beats federer in 3. Delpo knows this is his chance. Think about the defeats he's taken from federer. Remember the medal event in 2012? This line I believe is inflated for delpo because he's played very average opponents and pretty much hasn't given it his all yet. I think delpo takes this in 2 sets unless he starts slow.
                    Comment
                    • sluggy1616
                      SBR MVP
                      • 07-21-13
                      • 1317

                      #11
                      I've found what I like.

                      Half unit parlay: ML on Ferrer + u22 feds & delpo
                      Comment
                      • sluggy1616
                        SBR MVP
                        • 07-21-13
                        • 1317

                        #12
                        Originally posted by sluggy1616
                        I've found what I like.

                        Half unit parlay: ML on Ferrer + u22 feds & delpo
                        its u23 and parlay is +150
                        Comment
                        • BennyBigNuts
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 04-16-12
                          • 8700

                          #13
                          Originally posted by jjgold
                          Fed has zero pressure here for 1st time in a while

                          He is DOG
                          Not even close to accurate here. Cmon Tennis shift JJ.
                          Del Potro has ZERO pressure.

                          Federer has ALL the pressure.
                          Del Potro beat him in this final last year.
                          This is Federer's home court.
                          The line on the match indicates how poorly Federer has fallen off this year because he's 13-4 during his career vs. Del Potro.

                          This is probably the biggest pressure match Federer has had this year IMO with the circumstances.
                          If he loses back to back years in this tourney at home to Del Potro, we could see a big collapse and possible retirement coming in the next year or so.
                          Federer NEEDS this win. I'm rooting for him, and I'm on the plus money here.
                          Comment
                          • Hardcoar
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 02-17-13
                            • 15606

                            #14
                            Originally posted by jjgold
                            Fed has zero pressure here for 1st time in a while

                            He is DOG
                            Because Federoar cares about the odds.


                            Originally posted by matt1216
                            I think you fellas are over thinking this. Think about it. If Dimitrov wasn't such a flake he goes 3 sets with federer. Pospisil storms back and almost beats federer in 3. Delpo knows this is his chance. Think about the defeats he's taken from federer. Remember the medal event in 2012? This line I believe is inflated for delpo because he's played very average opponents and pretty much hasn't given it his all yet. I think delpo takes this in 2 sets unless he starts slow.
                            LOL!
                            Comment
                            • matt1216
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 10-27-11
                              • 14683

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Hardcoar
                              Because Federoar cares about the odds.



                              LOL!
                              Laugh at somebody's opinions, seems like something you would do. My record proves I do know what I'm talking about. Well shall see who comes out with the better record today.
                              Comment
                              • BennyBigNuts
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 04-16-12
                                • 8700

                                #16
                                Yeah hardcoar, if you're gonna troll on someone at least give something better than quoting him and a "LOL".

                                Matty is a good tennis guy. I look at his thread all the time. He's a documented winner also.
                                Comment
                                • matt1216
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 10-27-11
                                  • 14683

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by BennyBigNuts
                                  Yeah hardcoar, if you're gonna troll on someone at least give something better than quoting him and a "LOL".

                                  Matty is a good tennis guy. I look at his thread all the time. He's a documented winner also.
                                  I appreciate that. I saw your pick on tursonov the other morning, I was kicking myself. Good job man. Hoadcoar, you seem like a smart guy. I'm curious. Why don't you use your supposed intelligence and create a winning atmosphere. I see your thread, I've visited maybe one time. I would like to visit more often but, you seem like your here more for the attention. Atleast your thread suggest that. I'm not the type of individual who likes to bash people. Sure a lot of my comments and phrases sound like a dog trying to Fck a football. I just wanted you to know that most of or almost all my comments are returned Via IPhone. My entire record/ breakdown on tennis, has been from my Phone. With that being said. Good luck today Hardcore
                                  Comment
                                  • Hardcoar
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 02-17-13
                                    • 15606

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by matt1216
                                    Laugh at somebody's opinions, seems like something you would do. My record proves I do know what I'm talking about. Well shall see who comes out with the better record today.
                                    If they are extremely laughable, then yes – absolutely.

                                    I don't recall even remarking on your record, interestingly. I do recall remarking on what you said in that post though.

                                    As for Benny (not that he has anything to do with this), I never said Matt is a "bad guy". It might pleasantly surprise you to know, I don't in fact think he is either.
                                    Comment
                                    • jjgold
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 07-20-05
                                      • 388179

                                      #19
                                      Fed playing well but age is a factor now
                                      Comment
                                      Search
                                      Collapse
                                      SBR Contests
                                      Collapse
                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                      Collapse
                                      Working...