Arent we about due for a Raonic choke job

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  • GoBlue77
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 03-20-11
    • 9166

    #1
    Arent we about due for a Raonic choke job
    Just when everyone starts drinking the Canadian juice this guy always seems to let them down.

    I was getting ready to place a bet on the guy, current odds -145 but then thought, wait its Raonic, its the 4th round, something smells funny...

    Anybody else thinking he might blow this opportunity against 1-15 Gasquet?
  • suicidekings
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 03-23-09
    • 9962

    #2
    The "he's due" angle... Top level handicapping.
    Comment
    • horja1
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-13-11
      • 5646

      #3
      Originally posted by GoBlue77
      Just when everyone starts drinking the Canadian juice this guy always seems to let them down.

      I was getting ready to place a bet on the guy, current odds -145 but then thought, wait its Raonic, its the 4th round, something smells funny...

      Anybody else thinking he might blow this opportunity against 1-15 Gasquet?
      if he keeps serving great (like 30 aces) he will win
      Comment
      • GoBlue77
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 03-20-11
        • 9166

        #4
        Originally posted by suicidekings
        The "he's due" angle... Top level handicapping.
        my handicapping is on point but thanks for stopping by
        Comment
        • GoBlue77
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 03-20-11
          • 9166

          #5
          Originally posted by horja1
          if he keeps serving great (like 30 aces) he will win
          only concern is his start time, middle of the afternoon, HIGH humidity has been brutal on the players.
          Comment
          • Sam_Hawkins
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 11-02-12
            • 922

            #6
            Oh my, gaqa is an old man, hasn't been as impressive and solid as in the start of the year this USO...He can push one or two into the breaker but i think the scenario will be pretty much the same as with lopez.
            Comment
            • matt1216
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-27-11
              • 14683

              #7
              Originally posted by GoBlue77
              only concern is his start time, middle of the afternoon, HIGH humidity has been brutal on the players.
              Blue, what r the winds like. If its dead calm he wins this easy
              Comment
              • theballsflop
                SBR MVP
                • 06-22-13
                • 1483

                #8
                To start off, it's a really fair line. Gasquet struggles against big servers. He's dropped matches to Isner and Querry, plus the fact that Raonic has beaten him before in straight sets in 2012 leads me to think Raonic takes this.
                Comment
                • GoBlue77
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 03-20-11
                  • 9166

                  #9
                  Originally posted by matt1216
                  Blue, what r the winds like. If its dead calm he wins this easy
                  looks like good conditions
                  Besides a few showers that briefly suspended play in the early rounds, the weather through the first week at the 2013 U.S. Open was quite favorable. According to Weather...
                  Comment
                  • matt1216
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 10-27-11
                    • 14683

                    #10
                    Originally posted by GoBlue77
                    I thought the odds would be closer to even. If the wether is perfect i would have to take Raonic. I may take the over Tho.
                    Comment
                    • jjgold
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 07-20-05
                      • 388179

                      #11
                      these guys all the same

                      most of time they beat who they are suppose to beat and that is where it ends
                      Comment
                      • Sport_Fish
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-06-10
                        • 4079

                        #12
                        Well Raonic has probably cost me the most money of any single player in the past 2 years. Never figured this clown out, when I bet him, he goes into his UE fest, when I fade him, he plays like a star.

                        Probably the hardest match to pick the winner of up until now.
                        Comment
                        • EaglesPhan36
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-06-06
                          • 71662

                          #13
                          I don't know that you can call a loss for a player who is ranked about even against a more experienced player - a choke job if Raonic does lose. It's not like he's a -200 favorite here. Gasquet has plenty of Slam experience, but his track record shows this is about his level - 4th round. The big server issue rings out for me too. Watching Gasquet this tournament, his serve has slipped in and out of usefulness to where playing someone like Raonic gives him a very, very small margin of error on-serve. He's been letting break points hang out quite a bit the last two rounds. Raonic doesn't have to be highly successful converting them, if he converts 30-40% of the break opps he sees and Gasquet gives off close to ten again like he has the last two rounds ... Raonic is going to win.

                          That all assumes Raonic's serve will hold up, but it's been on point since a little shakiness in the opening round. Raonic's also a slightly better TB player IMO, although both have been pretty average this year around .500. Gasquet though has lost his last six TBs in Slams, kind of amazing to me.
                          Comment
                          • lucasdawg
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-19-13
                            • 3399

                            #14
                            lets see how this match turns outtt
                            Comment
                            • jjgold
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 07-20-05
                              • 388179

                              #15
                              Guy looking good

                              Can he win it all??

                              It seems eventually he will win a major
                              Comment
                              • Tmuston Beltics
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-14-13
                                • 1253

                                #16
                                Will Raonic beat Nadal and Djokovic? Hell naw!
                                Comment
                                • Sport_Fish
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-06-10
                                  • 4079

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by jjgold
                                  Guy looking good

                                  Can he win it all??

                                  It seems eventually he will win a major
                                  Are you talking about Raonic? The guy is not winning a major....atleast not in this life time, lay the house on it.

                                  And if you're talking about Gasquet.....
                                  Comment
                                  • jjgold
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 07-20-05
                                    • 388179

                                    #18
                                    You never no
                                    He us getting better
                                    Comment
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