Soo I can't really decide what to bet for USO finals, which means I will just let it be...The best play was imho when nadal was above evens, but I missed that. Don't wanna lay bigger chalk since imho the match can easily go either way, even under-over is very tricky to decide tho I'm leaning over...Over 3.5 sets is too much chalk to lay.
So since I won't be betting USO and I still want to lose some money, I went for this challenger treble, so you can later laugh at me while I'm repeatedly smashing my head to the wall.
Play 1: Serra+Zopp+Meffert (1/1.1)
Comment
Hardcoar
SBR Posting Legend
02-17-13
15606
#73
I agree Nadal @ 2.1 is better than @ 1.75.
This is basically a classic case of no f*cking bet to me. Everything points to a Nadal win, the whole world agrees, and Djokovic is @ 2.5 against Nadal in a USO final (lol). As much as I hold Rafa favorite, It wouldn't surprise me one bit if Novak goes on to win given the previous facts.
Comment
Sam_Hawkins
SBR Wise Guy
11-02-12
922
#74
So. Yeah. I wanted to give those retards another chance. I really did! Fcuk you, tards!
Ain't betting those challenger lame-ass mothafuckas again...at least not today. D
Now, laugh at me.
Comment
Sam_Hawkins
SBR Wise Guy
11-02-12
922
#75
So Ima back to post some plays for DC.
YTD:+5.27
Play 1: Nadal 3-0 + Kohlschreiber + Dodig (1.72/1)
Play 2: Hewitt + Mayer (1/1.02)
Comment
Sam_Hawkins
SBR Wise Guy
11-02-12
922
#76
Adding:
Play 3: Verdasco+Nadal 3-0 (1.42/1)
Play 4: Nadal/Stakhovsky under 25.5 (1.2/1)
Comment
16johnnymac
SBR MVP
10-27-10
3499
#77
Need some help I know -220 is high but what's your thought on plays -220 Stepanek ? Advice what be appreciated thank you very much
Jmac
Comment
Sam_Hawkins
SBR Wise Guy
11-02-12
922
#78
Originally posted by 16johnnymac
Need some help I know -220 is high but what's your thought on plays -220 Stepanek ? Advice what be appreciated thank you very much
Jmac
Hi, I happen to be czech so I follow stepanek's game pretty close.
Yeah, I wanted to play him - but did not take him early and now the price has dropped too much. This match, even though I think Radek will win, can go IMHO either way. Stepanek should be boosted with confidence after his USO doubles win plus he always plays very well infront of the home crowd. Another thing, monaco looked poor on USO as hard is not his surface. He mentioned in an interview that our czech surface is the fastest he ever seen and that he doesn't think he ever played surface as fast as that. So that are all poinst for Stepanek - however, apart from that, Monaco had a great clay season and Stepanek is not a definition of consistency, his singles game did not impress me at all lately.
All in all, I should've picked him earlier, won't probably take him now at that price.
Comment
16johnnymac
SBR MVP
10-27-10
3499
#79
Originally posted by Sam_Hawkins
Hi, I happen to be czech so I follow stepanek's game pretty close.
Yeah, I wanted to play him - but did not take him early and now the price has dropped too much. This match, even though I think Radek will win, can go IMHO either way. Stepanek should be boosted with confidence after his USO doubles win plus he always plays very well infront of the home crowd. Another thing, monaco looked poor on USO as hard is not his surface. He mentioned in an interview that our czech surface is the fastest he ever seen and that he doesn't think he ever played surface as fast as that. So that are all poinst for Stepanek - however, apart from that, Monaco had a great clay season and Stepanek is not a definition of consistency, his singles game did not impress me at all lately.
All in all, I should've picked him earlier, won't probably take him now at that price.
Thank you
I have no problem laying the high price USA -220 so you put some doubt in my choice however his odds went up towards a favorite so I may still jump on Step!!
Comment
Sam_Hawkins
SBR Wise Guy
11-02-12
922
#80
S-S-S-SWEEEP day!
Yesterday: +4.02
YTD: +9.29
Comment
Sam_Hawkins
SBR Wise Guy
11-02-12
922
#81
Play 1: Nestor+Pospisil (.83/1)
Play 2: Mchale+Bruno/Soares (0.71/1) (WTA, yay!)
Comment
Sam_Hawkins
SBR Wise Guy
11-02-12
922
#82
Today: +0.29
YTD: +9.58
Comment
Sam_Hawkins
SBR Wise Guy
11-02-12
922
#83
Play 1: Hewitt+Djokovic, Nadal in straight sets (1.25/1)
Comment
Sam_Hawkins
SBR Wise Guy
11-02-12
922
#84
Hewitt and Nadal cancelled, Djoker came through in straigts.
Today: +0.45
YTD: +10.03
Over 10 hooray.
Comment
Sam_Hawkins
SBR Wise Guy
11-02-12
922
#85
Play 1: Youzhny 2-0 + Brown + Mahut/Tsonga (1.35/1)
Comment
Sam_Hawkins
SBR Wise Guy
11-02-12
922
#86
Youzhny lost a first set breaker which cost me. The rest came through easily.
Yesterday:-1.35
YTD: +8.68
For today:
Play 1: Istomin+Garcia Lopez+Mayer (2/2)
Play 2: Baghdatis (0.9/1)
Play 3: Zopp (1.5/1.5)
Play 4: Inglot +5.5 + Mayer (1/1)
Comment
lucasdawg
SBR MVP
02-19-13
3399
#87
hmmm also considering baggie here
Comment
Sam_Hawkins
SBR Wise Guy
11-02-12
922
#88
Originally posted by lucasdawg
hmmm also considering baggie here
Imho he has at least 60% chance of winning...hard to gauge the home crowd advantage tho.
Comment
Sam_Hawkins
SBR Wise Guy
11-02-12
922
#89
Adding:
Play 5: Fucsovics +4.5 (1.1/1)
Comment
Sam_Hawkins
SBR Wise Guy
11-02-12
922
#90
Yesterday: +4.6
YTD: +13.28
Good day yesterday, let's see what happens today - I really like the card, what by itself usually is not a good sign but nvm.
Play 1: Tsonga+Istomin (1.28/1)
Play 2: Zeballos (1/1)
Play 3: Sousa (1.25/1)
Play 4: L. Mayer (0.8/1)
Play 4: Tipsarevic + Ramos + Berankis + Sousa (1/4.3)
Play 5: Youzhny + Tsonga (1.53/1)
Comment
Sam_Hawkins
SBR Wise Guy
11-02-12
922
#91
Yesterday: -2.33
YTD: +10.95
Play 1: Gulbis+Tursunov+Kohlschreiber+Mayer F.+Fognini (1.15/2)
Comment
Sam_Hawkins
SBR Wise Guy
11-02-12
922
#92
Haha good job fognini, retiring just one game away from losing. That's probably the first time I'm on the lucky side of retirement.
Comment
Hardcoar
SBR Posting Legend
02-17-13
15606
#93
Two points, even. On service *0-30.
Comment
Sam_Hawkins
SBR Wise Guy
11-02-12
922
#94
Originally posted by Hardcoar
Two points, even. On service *0-30.
rly? lol what a loser. What was the reason this time? Fairly surprised he didn't do two DFs, which is his favourite finish to a match.
Comment
Hardcoar
SBR Posting Legend
02-17-13
15606
#95
He must've opted against it and gone with the retirement instead. Could have been a mob deal, homophobia scare or just classic Pirate. Check out the youtube link alexis posted in all ours livescore thread.
Comment
Sam_Hawkins
SBR Wise Guy
11-02-12
922
#96
Two retirements in my parlay yesterday, so it hits.
Yesterday +0.87
YTD: +11.82
Play 1: Przysiezny (2/2.4)
Play 2: Garcia-Lopez (1/1)
Play 3: Gulbis+Tursonov+Tsonga (1.2/1)
On a bad, bad roll. Let's win it tomorrow.
Today: -1
YTD: +10.55
Plays for tommoz:
Play 1: Andujar (0.57/1)
Play 2: Falla + Bogomolov (1/1.43)
Play 3: Bautista Agut + Pospisil (2/2.2)
Play 4: Tomic/Karlovic over 25.5 (1.2/1)
Comment
Sam_Hawkins
SBR Wise Guy
11-02-12
922
#103
Play 1: Void
Play 2: -1
Play 3: +2.2
Play 4: +1 (bc there was no other possible outcome - the games aleady reached 26 by the time of the retirement - Bet365 accounts it as a win)
---------------------
Today: +2.2
YTD: +12.75
Comment
jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#104
Good grind Sammy
Comment
Sam_Hawkins
SBR Wise Guy
11-02-12
922
#105
Originally posted by jjgold
Good grind Sammy
had some bad roll, cos I've been playing too much poker lately, turns out to be much more profitable lol