Plays for Thursday

[MagicDiceFlow]

Had a decent day yesterday thus I'll be dibbling in the following parlays. Favorites will restore order tomorrow. Don't see many upsets tomorrow like we had today. I got Monaco in three different parlays here. He's my pick of the day along with the following favorites:

Ticket #	Accepted	Type	Risk	To Win	Short Description
	7/17/2013 6:44PM	Parlay	130.00	1,310.00	Tennis - 4404 F. Mayer -170 for Game Tennis - 4405 J. Janowicz -130 for Game Tennis - 4409 J. Monaco -155 for Game Tennis - 4414 F. Fognini -180 for Game Tennis - 4837 P. Martic -185 for Game
	7/17/2013 6:46PM	Parlay	130.00	452.00	Tennis - 4405 J. Janowicz -130 for Game Tennis - 4409 J. Monaco -155 for Game Tennis - 4414 F. Fognini -185 for Game
	7/18/2013 0:26AM	Parlay	300.00	384.00	Tennis - 4409 J. Monaco -155 for Game Tennis - 4416 T. Haas -260 for Game

Best of Luck

[kenz]

So if Monaco loses and all others win you will lose $560

Not the best bankroll management for relying on one game

Best of luck!

[DigBick86]

The best underdog today is Paire IMO

[MagicDiceFlow]

So if Monaco loses and all others win you will lose $560

Not the best bankroll management for relying on one game

Best of luck!

I have also backed up with single bets for one unit on all players in that first parlay.

[kenz]

I have also backed up with single bets for one unit on all players in that first parlay.

Then you have about $1000 - 1500 at stakes today

Best of luck!

[MagicDiceFlow]

The best underdog today is Paire IMO

Don't get fooled into thinking that Paire win over Montanes was a good win. Paire hasnt beaten a quality opponent in his last 9 matches now. Montanes is in horrible form lately, going 1-4 in last five matches with the only win over suck ass Mathieu. Paire's few wins over the last month were against some scrubs. Monaco is the defending title holder here and he'll be pumped up similar to what he did to Monfils yesterday with the revenge factor in play also.

[kenz]

Don't get fooled into thinking that Paire win over Montanes was a good win. Paire hasnt beaten a quality opponent in his last 9 matches now. Montanes is in horrible form lately, going 1-4 in last five matches with the only win over suck ass Mathieu. Paire's few wins over the last month were against some scrubs. Monaco is the defending title holder here and he'll be pumped up similar to what he did to Monfils yesterday with the revenge factor in play also.

Maybe thats because he played on grass for 6 games of 9?

Who did Monaco beat except yesterday? Pella, Nieminen? Guys with no service, flare or game plan but only trying to return the ball...

Monaco lost to Traver when he was 2-0 ahead on RG. He was swept by Schpeerr at Wİmbledon if we will also look to grass.

He was beyond funny against Dimitrov. I was leaning to Monfils but was no bet, still surprised he made comeback in the first set. I am not saying 100% Paire will win bu he can.

[kenz]

Whatever tired of defending my pick

Best of luck to everyone !

[MagicDiceFlow]

Paire hasn't beaten anyone in the top 30 for over two months now. In his last 13 matches, he's been mediocre and at times downright horrible , losing to some of the bottom dwelling scrubs like Kudla. I'll take the steady and savvy form of Monaco any day. You also get the bonus of the "Paire Headcase Syndrome". Any suspect line calls can send the frenchman into a full blown errors festival.

[kenz]

If you change the "Paire"'s to "Monaco"'s and "Kudla" to "Bolelli,Rufin(for the beginning of the year) or Kenny de Schepper" I would not notice a mispost

[MagicDiceFlow]

If you change the "Paire"'s to "Monaco"'s and "Kudla" to "Bolelli,Rufin(for the beginning of the year) or Kenny de Schepper" I would not notice a mispost

????? You didnt make any sense here.....beginning of the year is too far back to draw from dude. Form should only be inspected from about the last two months or less. Those last 13 matches that I referred to with Paire were from recent two months not beginning of the year.

[kenz]

I meant Monaco looks pretty much in the same situation, if not worse

-Not beaten a top 30 player over 2 months

-losing to scrubs

-not showing his headcase syndrome outside too much but he is very tense during games and makes unbelievalble wrong decisions, it may be a bad drop shot, very likely a df and losing the set like Dİmitrov's game, or a very unnecessary slice during Kevin Anderson game on the break point in his serve so Kevin Anderson gets the break back and win the game before tie break which means Monaco cant hold onto his serve again,... he lost the tie break when he was 4-1 ahead on that match too

Or being a nutcase when he loses to GG Lopez on US Open 2012 when he was 2-0 ahead, losing to Berdych on Davis Cup when he was 2-1 ahead on sets and 4-0 on the deciding set in front of 30.000 patriotic spectators + Maradona, getting swept by Troicki at Wİmbledon 2012, getting swept by Andrey Kuznetsoy on Australian open 2013, losing to Gimeno Traver when he was 2-0 ahead on Roland Garros, getting swept by Kenny de Schepper at Wimbledon 2013

His career is full of drama, probably a lot more than Paire's

[kenz]

????? You didnt make any sense here.....beginning of the year is too far back to draw from dude. Form should only be inspected from about the last two months or less. Those last 13 matches that I referred to with Paire were from recent two months not beginning of the year.

Did you watch Dimitrov's game and how Monaco played? very recent

[MagicDiceFlow]

I believe if this was on hardcourts it would actually favor Paire more because he'll have his serve as a weapon but on clay, I don't see Paire winning many of the long rallies and development of points.

Good luck though

[kenz]

Last post, Paire won at Rome on clay against Monaco 9 weeks ago

Best of luck!

[kenz]

Paire's prices are steeply rising. May be I talked too much for nothing

[MagicDiceFlow]

Paire's prices are steeply rising. May be I talked too much for nothing

Yep ....Monaco's price just steamed to -177 in just the last hr. Glad I grabbed it early.

[kenz]

marathonbet

Paire ML @2.92

Paire first set @2.22

Does not make sense to me. These should be closer

[kenz]

Seems to be manipulation

Prices back to normal on live bet

[MagicDiceFlow]

Wow, the Fognini line has went to -280 at Heritage. I got a steal at -180 earlier.

[MagicDiceFlow]

Paire hasn't beaten anyone in the top 30 for over two months now. In his last 13 matches, he's been mediocre and at times downright horrible , losing to some of the bottom dwelling scrubs like Kudla. I'll take the steady and savvy form of Monaco any day. You also get the bonus of the "Paire Headcase Syndrome". Any suspect line calls can send the frenchman into a full blown errors festival.

The Paire Funk Syndrome is in full effect ladies and gentlemen. After breaking Monaco and all momentum 3-1, 5 straight games for Monaco. One broken racquet down and counting ........

[kenz]

Interesting

2 points to Paire of last 22 points

[MagicDiceFlow]

Interesting

2 points to Paire of last 22 points

All it took was one bad point from Paire to set him off....9 straight unforced errors. I knew that was going to come into play this match. Still very early but this could be a quick match if Paire doesnt find his head soon.

[theballsflop]

Why didn't u keep up the commentary in the 2nd set? hehehe

[DoggyStyle]

I got monaco and fogini in a 2 teamer lets go monaco! That has a nice ring to it!

[kenz]

4-0

Come on Paire

[theballsflop]

im with u kenz. i grabbed paire at 2.35, sick value.

[MagicDiceFlow]

Battle of the headcases now .....3rd set here we go ....lol.

[theballsflop]

Monaco has no shot when Paire's head is level. He's getting outserved, outrallied. Just fundamentally inferior to Paire. Only shot Monaco has of winning 3rd set is if Paire suddenly suffers a meltdown.

[DoggyStyle]

Paire will win 2nd set and lose the 3rd 6-3 or 6-4 book it

[kenz]

Very close to Paire +1.5 sets @1.55 my only bet on the game.

I saw some suspicious occasions and matches where I think Paire fixed things. Most obvious challenger match with Stakhovsky.

Many times I saw him win a set from 0-4 just by himself.

So if he wants to win I think he will win today. If he does not we may see something similar to first set

[kenz]

Interesting game it is

[kenz]

im with u kenz. i grabbed paire at 2.35, sick value.

Best of luck bro. I only have set handicap but I like the kid

[kenz]

Won by bet

[DoggyStyle]

Monaco just broke Paire