novak vs nadel prop bet

[pinnacle420]

I played a parlay already but also had to take over 41.5 games -110 throwing 750 on this.. I have nadal winning here but I don't see Novak getting blanked or 6-1 or 6-0'd either... so cheers and lets hit another big bet!!

[EaglesPhan36]

Personally I think if you think it's going over 41.5 games, you'd be better off taking Over 4.5 sets at +230 or so. The way both can break serve and the history between the two if you look back at their matches - even in four sets, 42 games is no where near a certainty. Just look at last year here or any of their Grand Slam battles. Four of the last five Grand Slam meetings ended in four sets - none went to 42 games. It could happen, but I think it's likelier they'd need 5 sets to achieve the total unless both have the most solid serving matches of their lives. To hold up against superior returners for four-five sets without getting broken much though is a tall order.

[baconbets]

fun fact: nadal and djokovic met in rome and madrid in 2011 and 2012. all 4 matches were 2-0 wins for the winner. i think its very likely that they will not split the first 2 sets. these 2 play slobberknockers on hard, but on clay the tide seems to turn in someone's favor. i think the leading player will also feel some extra urgency to close the show, knowing this isnt the final. rather than take a set off to rest, put the pedal down. under 41.5 may be a decent play here.

[face]

nadal wins 3-0 +360
nadal wins 3-1 +290
nadal wins 3-2 +460

so if you like nadal, and spread out the bets, the least you make is +90 and the most you make is +260

[terpkeg]

nadal wins 3-0 +360
nadal wins 3-1 +290
nadal wins 3-2 +460

so if you like nadal, and spread out the bets, the least you make is +90 and the most you make is +260

Risking 300, not a deal. Just play it straight

[pinnacle420]

I just think it is a 4 setter at like 6-4 6-4 7-5 7-6 and nadel wins 3-1... ive been hot and im taking a shot.. phuck it.. I think it hits

[Robber]

Agree with eagles

4 sets and this total is a flip

Good chance you need 5

I bet djokovic 3-2 at +685

[Chaz22]

they are so even at this time....it will in no way go less then 4 sets...41.5 over is a banker.

EP has a good point on their ability to return, but on this occasion when Djoke knows he can beat Nadal on clay, competitivness will kick in every moment when any of them loses his serve....so I would be quite surprised to see a set of 8, 9 games....It does not matter how it goes....if its 1-1, 2-0, it will eventually go at least 4 sets....this will be a battle to remember....and it will be a long one.

[TheMLBKing]

Agree with eagles

4 sets and this total is a flip

Good chance you need 5

I bet djokovic 3-2 at +685

I like it. Joker wins first 2 sets, rafa storms back, joker wins the rubber set.

[horja1]

nadal wins 3-0 +360
nadal wins 3-1 +290
nadal wins 3-2 +460

so if you like nadal, and spread out the bets, the least you make is +90 and the most you make is +260

so Nadal ML, right?

[pinnacle420]

CASH IT BOYS AND GIRLS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! POW!!!!!!!!!

[pinnacle420]

Personally I think if you think it's going over 41.5 games, you'd be better off taking Over 4.5 sets at +230 or so. The way both can break serve and the history between the two if you look back at their matches - even in four sets, 42 games is no where near a certainty. Just look at last year here or any of their Grand Slam battles. Four of the last five Grand Slam meetings ended in four sets - none went to 42 games. It could happen, but I think it's likelier they'd need 5 sets to achieve the total unless both have the most solid serving matches of their lives. To hold up against superior returners for four-five sets without getting broken much though is a tall order.

we both was right!!! nice hit sir!!!