Murray/Federer LIVE, Watch at SBR!

**SBR Lou** · 01-09-09, 10:31 AM

Lets go Murray!

**SBR Lou** · 01-09-09, 10:41 AM

Murray defending well early.

**Shark79** · 01-09-09, 10:43 AM

nice call Crazy ... we should cash this one !!

**SBR Lou** · 01-09-09, 10:51 AM

Murray defending well.

**single shaker** · 01-09-09, 10:53 AM

nice speaking russian too! like i am back home or something!

**LT Profits** · 01-09-09, 10:53 AM

Is that 3-2 Fed I see?

Anyhow, I hate being on the oppsite side of Shark.

Still, I thinnk I got a great price because I am pretty sure Federer closed above -130

**SexyMit** · 01-09-09, 10:56 AM

Keep posting please as i cant watch. yeah i got 120 i think

**SBR Lou** · 01-09-09, 10:57 AM

3-3 40-40 fed serving

**SexyMit** · 01-09-09, 10:58 AM

thanks crazy

**Shark79** · 01-09-09, 10:59 AM

Seems its a pretty even match at this time.

**LT Profits** · 01-09-09, 11:00 AM

nice game there

**LT Profits** · 01-09-09, 11:01 AM

OK guys I neer to work.

Will check in from time to time.

**SBR Lou** · 01-09-09, 11:03 AM

4-4 set one

**HeeeHAWWWW** · 01-09-09, 11:11 AM

Murray very dominant on serve - has lost 5 points in 5 games. Tiebreak looking fairly likely now.

**SBR Lou** · 01-09-09, 11:16 AM

Indeed, I'll be rubbing this one in to LT later. Murray is on point.

**SBR Lou** · 01-09-09, 11:16 AM

By the way guys if you reply with Quick Reply it doesn't break up the video, or if you have seperate tabs or dual monitors like me.

**HeeeHAWWWW** · 01-09-09, 11:19 AM

Murray's first serving is spectacularly effective here - the Fed can't read it at all. Given he's also pretty much the best returner on tour it's a scary combination.

If his second serve wasn't so mediocre he'd be near unbeatable.

**SBR Lou** · 01-09-09, 11:21 AM

If Murray manages to get broken here, mentally he will be unable to come back in this match.

**HeeeHAWWWW** · 01-09-09, 11:27 AM

Doubt it would be a major problem - he dropped first set against Federer in Shanghai, Madrid and Dubai last year, then went on to win anyway.

**HeeeHAWWWW** · 01-09-09, 11:29 AM

Maybe critical hawkeye there? Wrong call, overturned, then Federer aces on the replay.

**SBR Lou** · 01-09-09, 11:30 AM

Fed wins set one, the squares appear to be getting lucky.

**HeeeHAWWWW** · 01-09-09, 11:32 AM

Yup, awful call. Hawkeye overturn gives Federer a chance to replay his first serve, and he took advantage.

**wannabet** · 01-09-09, 11:33 AM

what was the score of the first set? I only have games update.

**SBR Lou** · 01-09-09, 11:34 AM

Originally posted by wannabet

what was the score of the first set? I only have games update.

7-6 (8-6) Fed

**LT Profits** · 01-09-09, 11:36 AM

Originally posted by CrazyLou

Fed wins set one, the squares appear to be getting lucky.

This is rare case where Federer was not "square" play, he actually had great value at -120.

**EaglesPhan36** · 01-09-09, 11:36 AM

Can't believe you went against your boy Fed.

**LT Profits** · 01-09-09, 11:38 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Can't believe you went against your boy Fed.

And at cheap price too!

**Regul8er** · 01-09-09, 11:42 AM

Federer just missed an early opportunity in the 2nd Set to Break Murray's serve. Failed on 3 break chances.
Hope that doesn't come back to haunt him.

**SBR Lou** · 01-09-09, 11:42 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

This is rare case where Federer was not "square" play, he actually had great value at -120.

Great value?

I don't think you realize how much of a coin flip this match is. But, if you would like to flip a coin and give me the +120 I received on Murray, by all means let's do it.

**HeeeHAWWWW** · 01-09-09, 11:44 AM

This is absolutely dead level on performance so far. Like most of their matches tbh.

Just saw that key line call again that benefitted Fed so much in the tiebreak. That's some shocking linecalling - it was bang in the centre of the line at medium pace, you'd have to be utterly blind to call it out.

**LT Profits** · 01-09-09, 11:47 AM

Originally posted by CrazyLou

Great value?

I don't think you realize how much of a coin flip this match is. But, if you would like to flip a coin and give me the +120 I received on Murray, by all means let's do it.

COIN FLIP? I would have made Ferderer around -130.

Furthermore. line moved 12 cents after I bet it and closed Federer-132, so I'm pretty sure I am right here.

**HeeeHAWWWW** · 01-09-09, 11:49 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

COIN FLIP? I would have made Ferderer around -130.

Furthermore. line moved 12 cents after I bet it and closed Federer-132, so I'm pretty sure I am right here.

To be fair, the exact same line move happened in their previous 4 matches :-)

**LT Profits** · 01-09-09, 11:51 AM

Originally posted by HeeeHAWWWW

To be fair, the exact same line move happened in their previous 4 matches :-)

That's fine, so I am happy to get my play in at best price.

That said, I think the line moved to its proper level in all 5 cases (today included).

**HeeeHAWWWW** · 01-09-09, 11:54 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

That's fine, so I am happy to get my play in at best price.

That said, I think the line moved to its proper level in all 5 cases (today included).

Hard to make much of an objective argument either way - it's a very small sample. I would say it's a fairly common belief Murray's style is a very bad matchup for Federer though, hence their H2H record.
Either way, about level looks right, so the odds weren't hugely far off.

Still, us Murray backers have made a packet in those matches :-) I've been repeatedly on him since early in Cincinatti, when it was clear he'd progressed to the top level.