EP36's Super Serial Fuzzy Balls of Fury

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  • EaglesPhan36
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-06-06
    • 71662

    #806
    Overall Profit: +5.65
    Wimbledon: -0.09
    Comment
    • TheMLBKing
      SBR MVP
      • 04-20-13
      • 1129

      #807
      EP, what do you think about cilic and youzhny tomorrow?
      Comment
      • EaglesPhan36
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 12-06-06
        • 71662

        #808
        As outright winners? Both look pretty solid I would think. de Schepper would scare me more than Pospisil. If he can bomb away on-serve, anything can happen with Cilic. Still think it would take a nearly perfect serving day from de Schepper and a C grade effort from Cilic for him to lose, but that recipe happens from time to time.
        Comment
        • Hardcoar
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 02-17-13
          • 15606

          #809
          I doubt you read my spam-thread so I'll just ask here instead, as you appear more knowledgable than me:

          Why are most of the people who played Tuesday duking it out on Wednesday!? I thought tournaments alternated between top and bottom halves day by day until they actually meet.
          Comment
          • EaglesPhan36
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-06-06
            • 71662

            #810
            They aren't.

            Comment
            • plankton43
              SBR Sharp
              • 12-13-11
              • 251

              #811
              Do you think Gulbis could upset Tsonga tomorrow? And do you like Mahut over Robredo?
              Comment
              • EaglesPhan36
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-06-06
                • 71662

                #812
                Anything is possible, but I think grass is the worst surface still for Gulbis, so it will take help from Tsonga for him to win. Not sure about Mahut. As good as he shows on grass in the smaller tournaments, Wimbledon has never been that great for him. I have a feeling Robredo is going to push him even if Robredo is nothing special on the surface himself.
                Comment
                • EaglesPhan36
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-06-06
                  • 71662

                  #813
                  June 26th: Wimbledon
                  ATP Parlay: Troicki + [Doubles] Fleming-Marray [-121]
                  ATP: Verdasco -120
                  ATP: Reister +155
                  ATP: Stepanek +145
                  WTA: Cetkovska +200

                  Comment
                  • EaglesPhan36
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 12-06-06
                    • 71662

                    #814
                    Finally one of these doggies comes home. Adios Woz! Verdasco takes care of business. Have to see Fernando has been playing some pretty good tennis lately.
                    Comment
                    • ThingsFallApart
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 12-24-10
                      • 880

                      #815
                      Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                      June 26th: Wimbledon
                      ATP Parlay: Troicki + [Doubles] Fleming-Marray [-121]
                      ATP: Verdasco -120
                      ATP: Reister +155
                      ATP: Stepanek +145
                      WTA: Cetkovska +200

                      Well done, I figured I should blind tail pretty soon. Unfortunately I got on TI.com and they convinced me on two horrible plays I went large on so the morning was partly shot even tailing you here.
                      Comment
                      • EaglesPhan36
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-06-06
                        • 71662

                        #816
                        Testing out totals today too.

                        ATP: Murray-Lu Under 29 [-135]
                        Comment
                        • EaglesPhan36
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-06-06
                          • 71662

                          #817
                          Looks like this total is gonna crap out just barely. Murray blew three break points on Lu's third service game. Need one break to sneak under after 6-3, 6-3 sets. Chances of it happening on the next service game when I have to have it ... 0%
                          Comment
                          • Hardcoar
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 02-17-13
                            • 15606

                            #818
                            What makes you think Gulbis is at his worst on grass??
                            Comment
                            • EaglesPhan36
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 12-06-06
                              • 71662

                              #819
                              Meh. That blows. I had over originally until I looked a bit closer. Guaranteed if I need Lu to hold that last one to get the over, he would have been broken.


                              C'mon Reister!
                              Comment
                              • EaglesPhan36
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-06-06
                                • 71662

                                #820
                                Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                What makes you think Gulbis is at his worst on grass??
                                His career. Far and away his worst record if you look at the numbers.
                                Comment
                                • EaglesPhan36
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 12-06-06
                                  • 71662

                                  #821
                                  Tie break fails by Reister twice. Down 2-1. Lost the last two in TBs. poop.
                                  Comment
                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-06-06
                                    • 71662

                                    #822
                                    Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                    Anything is possible, but I think grass is the worst surface still for Gulbis, so it will take help from Tsonga for him to win. Not sure about Mahut. As good as he shows on grass in the smaller tournaments, Wimbledon has never been that great for him. I have a feeling Robredo is going to push him even if Robredo is nothing special on the surface himself.
                                    Feelings ... that I did not bet on. Damn it. Robredo in straights. Can't be too mad, The Cetkovska pick is what I put in Robredo's place. Too bad I didn't skip Stepanek for Robredo.
                                    Comment
                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 12-06-06
                                      • 71662

                                      #823
                                      Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                      June 26th: Wimbledon
                                      ATP Parlay: Troicki + [Doubles] Fleming-Marray [-121]
                                      ATP: Verdasco -120

                                      ATP: Reister +155
                                      ATP: Stepanek +145
                                      WTA: Cetkovska +200

                                      Got the two bigger ones today and the Cetkovska win cancels the other two dog losers. Unfortunately, blew some on the under that crapped out. Small profit for the day though - and considering the day itself, I feel good because a lot of people probably got raped today.
                                      Comment
                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 12-06-06
                                        • 71662

                                        #824
                                        Overall Profit: +6.30
                                        Wimbledon: +0.56
                                        Comment
                                        • Hardcoar
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 02-17-13
                                          • 15606

                                          #825
                                          I know that but let's be honest: His career prior to last year doesn't really hold much relevance with the changes he's clearly been through. Therefore, let me rephrase my question:

                                          Judging by his game and play (I would say gameplay but that doesn't quite hit the fit) what makes you think he is the worst on grass?

                                          Personally, I'd say he should be pretty damn great on grass.
                                          Comment
                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 12-06-06
                                            • 71662

                                            #826
                                            I think it does. You can still tell what sort of game a guy has by how he has done on the surface. Both clay and hard courts he was good at and could run hot and be great at times - never ever on grass was he that. He stayed with a lot of players, but that was due mostly to his serve and little else.

                                            Maybe he turns into an all-court player now, but he's still got to beat some grass goons before I buy into him being a threat on grass.
                                            Comment
                                            • Hardcoar
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 02-17-13
                                              • 15606

                                              #827
                                              Ok we disagree to a certain extent and to the other end of that extent you're right, I'll give you as much. Let me therefore rephrase myself yet again:

                                              Disregarding statistical performance on different surfaces, simply looking at his tennis play, would you expect him to be the worst on grass? If so: How so?


                                              ^That's what you'd call "a lock"!
                                              Comment
                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 12-06-06
                                                • 71662

                                                #828
                                                I would expect clay because of the speed, but grass also isn't all that quick in most cases. Hard courts suit his weaponry best without a doubt. Only time will tell if he has turned a corner because he's just above .500 on hard and clay so far and below .500 on grass.
                                                Comment
                                                • Hardcoar
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 02-17-13
                                                  • 15606

                                                  #829
                                                  Why would you say HC suits him better than grass? He's a very aggressive player who's great at net play when he does make an approach.

                                                  Perhaps he is a tad too baseline-centric...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                    • 71662

                                                    #830
                                                    That's why I think hard courts suit him. He stays back and just pounds the ball. Let's be honest, there aren't too many plays who come to net more than 5% of the match if that. So it is basically a baseliners game now.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Hardcoar
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 02-17-13
                                                      • 15606

                                                      #831
                                                      Then why not clay over HC?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                        • 71662

                                                        #832
                                                        Slower speeds, power negated. Seems like a pretty straight forward answer. Hard fast, power good. Clay slow, power not so good.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-06-06
                                                          • 71662

                                                          #833
                                                          June 27th: Wimbledon
                                                          WTA: Lisicki -145
                                                          WTA: Martic -145
                                                          ATP: Zemlja +6.5 [-112]
                                                          ATP: Blake +135
                                                          ATP: Kudla +178

                                                          Last edited by EaglesPhan36; 06-27-13, 12:02 AM.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Jago2008
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 05-18-11
                                                            • 3047

                                                            #834
                                                            Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                                            June 27th: Wimbledon
                                                            WTA: Lisicki -145
                                                            WTA: Martic -145
                                                            ATP: Zemlja +6.5 [-112]
                                                            ATP: Blake +135
                                                            ATP: Dodig +178

                                                            Hey Eagles I see you like Lisicki over Vesnina, with both being great on grass (I think Lisicki is 24-7) but with Vesnina winning in Eastborne don't you think she is better value @ +125? Or do you think some fatigue will play a role? I know Lisicki has had a good record @ Wimbledon, but wanted to get your thought process for that pick.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • jinxpro1313
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 05-01-13
                                                              • 171

                                                              #835
                                                              U taking kudla at +178 or dodig -202?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 12-06-06
                                                                • 71662

                                                                #836
                                                                Oops, sorry Kudla +178. Fixed. I think Lisicki's track record at Wimbledon speaks for itself. She has shown up here several years in a row and put up good results. Don't think fatigue is anything to consider. Most of Vesnina's matches were short. I just think in the big setting of a Slam, Lisicki has proven more here while Vesnina seems to play better without the spotlight of the Slam.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                                  • 71662

                                                                  #837
                                                                  Added this massive investment tonight. I picked Bartoli to go to the Finals in the bracket contest. Gut feeling and the draw is really open with Sharapova out now. For $5, who the fukk cares.


                                                                  WTA Tennis Wimbledon : Marion Bartoli +7000
                                                                  all players have action
                                                                  Risking $5.00 To Win $350.00

                                                                  185316772-1 6/27/13 1:04am $5.00 $350.00 Pending 6/27/13 6:30am Tennis WTA +7000 Wimbledon - Marion Bartoli*
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Jago2008
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 05-18-11
                                                                    • 3047

                                                                    #838
                                                                    Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                                                    Oops, sorry Kudla +178. Fixed. I think Lisicki's track record at Wimbledon speaks for itself. She has shown up here several years in a row and put up good results. Don't think fatigue is anything to consider. Most of Vesnina's matches were short. I just think in the big setting of a Slam, Lisicki has proven more here while Vesnina seems to play better without the spotlight of the Slam.
                                                                    Appreciate the input, thanks
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • drfunkmaster
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 11-29-08
                                                                      • 11162

                                                                      #839
                                                                      Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                                                      Added this massive investment tonight. I picked Bartoli to go to the Finals in the bracket contest. Gut feeling and the draw is really open with Sharapova out now. For $5, who the fukk cares.


                                                                      WTA Tennis Wimbledon : Marion Bartoli +7000
                                                                      all players have action
                                                                      Risking $5.00 To Win $350.00

                                                                      185316772-1 6/27/13 1:04am $5.00 $350.00 Pending 6/27/13 6:30am Tennis WTA +7000 Wimbledon - Marion Bartoli*

                                                                      i took it as well. good luck
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • frugalgambler
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 05-30-13
                                                                        • 3418

                                                                        #840
                                                                        Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                                                        Added this massive investment tonight. I picked Bartoli to go to the Finals in the bracket contest. Gut feeling and the draw is really open with Sharapova out now. For $5, who the fukk cares.


                                                                        WTA Tennis Wimbledon : Marion Bartoli +7000
                                                                        all players have action
                                                                        Risking $5.00 To Win $350.00

                                                                        185316772-1 6/27/13 1:04am $5.00 $350.00 Pending 6/27/13 6:30am Tennis WTA +7000 Wimbledon - Marion Bartoli*
                                                                        LOL> betting on the living dead. Stranger things have already happened at this overhyped tourney.
                                                                        Comment
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