EP36's Super Serial Fuzzy Balls of Fury

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  • beefcake
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-26-09
    • 14029

    #736
    Yeah pinny had it at 23.5 and it has already been hit hard.Up at bovada at 23.5 at -120..All over that..Bovada with a total up before Tony....
    Comment
    • EaglesPhan36
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 12-06-06
      • 71662

      #737
      I may just stick to my hedges. Been a solid week in Eastbourne for me. Want to finish it strong and make $$$ on these futures. Biggest ones I have ever had a chance of hitting - so I don't want to screw up a good payday.

      Part of me doesn't want to hedge tomorrow on Seppi as Simon just irks me that he is still here, but I know better even though their h2h is outdated, but heavily in Smon's favor. Seppi just loves this little shitbag tournament.
      Comment
      • EaglesPhan36
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 12-06-06
        • 71662

        #738
        Big numbers for totals tomorrow.

        Topshelf Open - 's-Hertogenbosch, The Netherlands - Friday, June 21, 2013 8:30 AM
        121 Guillermo Garcia-Lopez +280
        122 Stanislas Wawrinka -340
        123 G.Garcia-Lopez Games Won +3½ -115 Over 22½ -112
        124 S.Wawrinka Games Won -3½ -115 Under 22½ -118
        125 G.Garcia-Lopez Games Won
        126 S.Wawrinka Games Won
        Aegon International - Eastbourne, Great Britain - Friday, June 21, 2013 9:30 AM
        201 Ivan Dodig +130
        202 Feliciano Lopez -150
        203 I.Dodig Games Won +2 -125 Over 23½ -125
        204 F.Lopez Games Won -2 -105 Under 23½ -105
        205 I.Dodig Games Won
        206 F.Lopez Games Won
        Topshelf Open - 's-Hertogenbosch, The Netherlands - Friday, June 21, 2013 10:30 AM
        101 Xavier Malisse -145
        102 Nicolas Mahut +125
        103 X.Malisse Games Won -1½ -120 Over 23½ -125
        104 N.Mahut Games Won +1½ -110 Under 23½ -105
        105 X.Malisse Games Won
        106 N.Mahut Games Won
        Aegon International - Eastbourne, Great Britain - Friday, June 21, 2013 10:45 AM
        221 Andreas Seppi +110
        222 Gilles Simon -130
        223 A.Seppi Games Won +1½ -125 Over 23½ +105
        224 G.Simon Games Won -1½ -105 Under 23½ -135
        225 A.Seppi Games Won
        226 G.Simon Games Won
        Comment
        • Tsonga
          SBR MVP
          • 10-12-09
          • 2349

          #739
          Raonic is not looking good heading into Wimbledon. Wonder what is going on?
          Comment
          • EaglesPhan36
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-06-06
            • 71662

            #740
            Don't think he was very good most of the season. He had a decent run in Australia and then two good tournaments, but most of his tourneys - he's been an early exit regardless of surface since Indian Wells.

            I think it must be part mental with the coaching change. Ljubicic will do good things with him I think if given the chance, but I don't think we'll see any of those changes taking hold until maybe late in the Summer going into the US Open.
            Comment
            • tevari
              SBR MVP
              • 02-02-07
              • 4959

              #741
              Parlayed Wawrinka & Halep for tomorrow & immediately regret it. Oh well!
              Comment
              • EaglesPhan36
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-06-06
                • 71662

                #742
                GGL can be a tricky shit.

                I'll be taking Dodig for a unit and Simon for the 1.35 as my hedges tomorrow. Doesn't reduce a +1400 potential payout too much and insures I break even if both Lopez and Seppi lose.
                Comment
                • tevari
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-02-07
                  • 4959

                  #743
                  Good thing is that weather permitting, Halep is on first, Wawrinka on third in the order of play, so if Halep wins, I'll put a little wager on GGL to almost get my money back.
                  Comment
                  • MagicDiceFlow
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-15-12
                    • 4585

                    #744
                    I'm staying away from all Hertogenbosch matches tomorrow. It's gonna be like 60% rain all day long. Besides the wait , I dont like the way it throws players off their mojo.
                    Comment
                    • EaglesPhan36
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-06-06
                      • 71662

                      #745
                      Great practice for Wimbledon though.
                      Comment
                      • EaglesPhan36
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-06-06
                        • 71662

                        #746
                        Actually decided, I am going to hedge a unit on Dodig @ +130 ... but if Lopez wins, I don't see the point of hedging the Seppi future as I will already be guaranteed a spot in the Finals and would be wasting money I could use on a Finals hedge instead. S-m-r-t.
                        Comment
                        • EaglesPhan36
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-06-06
                          • 71662

                          #747
                          Do have one play outside of the hedges.

                          June 21st
                          Doubles Parlay: [ATP Eastbourne] Peya-Soares + [WTA Eastbourne] Peschke-Groenefeld [+105]
                          Comment
                          • EaglesPhan36
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 12-06-06
                            • 71662

                            #748
                            One of the great all-time rape jobs from Peschke-Groenefeld. Up a set and 3-1 in the 2nd and SERVING. They lose five straight games and 10-1 in the super breaker. Fukk off.
                            Comment
                            • Regul8er
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 11-06-07
                              • 10666

                              #749
                              YA, you dont need to me to tell you EP, but stay away from the doubles sh!t. Your juwst flipping coins and blowing juice.
                              Comment
                              • EaglesPhan36
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-06-06
                                • 71662

                                #750
                                Doubles is as good a money maker as singles, some times even better because of the lack of knowledge for the lines makers setting the lines. The Germans were the in-form doubles duo the last two weeks, making a Final last week and playing well again this week. Just like any match, you can't cap a super choke.

                                I would assume both of them broke both legs by the way the match went south.
                                Comment
                                • EaglesPhan36
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 12-06-06
                                  • 71662

                                  #751
                                  Flodonis is in the Final! C'mon Seppi, give me that dream mutha fukkin scenario and get your ass there too!
                                  Comment
                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-06-06
                                    • 71662

                                    #752
                                    Will have to settle for Flodonis in the Final and a hedge on Simon. Seppi playing poorly.
                                    Comment
                                    • tevari
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-02-07
                                      • 4959

                                      #753
                                      Still, guaranteed large profit = win. GJ.
                                      Comment
                                      • Regul8er
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 11-06-07
                                        • 10666

                                        #754
                                        I went 4-0 again today with Halep (2 units), Vesnina, Lopez and Mahut.

                                        Best run in tennis I've ever had. When things are going well, it seems like you get the break you need instantly and rarely even face break points. When things are going bad, you get broken all day, and go 0-12 on break opportunities.
                                        Comment
                                        • Hardcoar
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 02-17-13
                                          • 15606

                                          #755
                                          Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                          One of the great all-time rape jobs from Peschke-Groenefeld. Up a set and 3-1 in the 2nd and SERVING. They lose five straight games and 10-1 in the super breaker. Fukk off.
                                          At least it was straightforward. Wuzz–Hampton was back and forth the entire FKing match...

                                          WTA – We surrender!
                                          Comment
                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 12-06-06
                                            • 71662

                                            #756
                                            That's a tennis match though. These sort of ones are inexplicable. Barring an injury, that was the worst run I have ever seen in a match - to be in complete control and then to barely winning points.
                                            Comment
                                            • Hardcoar
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 02-17-13
                                              • 15606

                                              #757
                                              In other words, it was all back – no forth!

                                              Then again Wuzz–Hampton was back and forth in that old-fashioned, sickening WTA patented would-somebody-please-kill-me-now way.
                                              Last edited by Hardcoar; 06-21-13, 04:00 PM.
                                              Comment
                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 12-06-06
                                                • 71662

                                                #758
                                                Yeah but I prefer that. If a team/player is gonna get smashed, make it a f-ing double bagel and I don't care. To be up and in control and to go haywire, sucks.
                                                Comment
                                                • Hardcoar
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 02-17-13
                                                  • 15606

                                                  #759
                                                  Yeah it's like Pablo Andujar vs the whole of WTA. Pick your poison...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • tevari
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-02-07
                                                    • 4959

                                                    #760
                                                    Comment
                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                      • 71662

                                                      #761
                                                      Overall Profit: +5.74

                                                      Go Flodonis! Simon as a dog makes the hedge simplistic. Simon is +130. Had Lopez +1400 to start, hedged one unit today on Dodig, so that's still +1300. Four units on Simon for me on Saturday as a hedge only, not an endorsement of a side. He wins, I make 2.2 units. Lopez wins, nine.

                                                      Unlike the French, will have time to do my customary Draw Breakdown for Wimbledon as it does not conflict with a vacation!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jinxpro1313
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 05-01-13
                                                        • 171

                                                        #762
                                                        Whatcha think about mahut in the other final EP?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-06-06
                                                          • 71662

                                                          #763
                                                          +3 seems reasonable if he can serve well.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • STAY STRONG
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 03-07-10
                                                            • 2498

                                                            #764
                                                            Thoughts on Halep over Flipkens EP?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Yezzir
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 03-29-10
                                                              • 933

                                                              #765
                                                              Do you think that Stan, knowing he has grass legend Lleyton in the 1st round of Wimbledon, means he doesn't go full throttle?

                                                              I'm going to go small on Mahut for this reason.. worth it at that price for the Serve & Volley GOAT
                                                              Last edited by Yezzir; 06-22-13, 04:08 AM.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Hardcoar
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 02-17-13
                                                                • 15606

                                                                #766
                                                                Stan is about to be served!

                                                                And volley'd...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Yezzir
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 03-29-10
                                                                  • 933

                                                                  #767
                                                                  Mahut the GOAT SERVE AND VOLLEYER
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • ohdecas
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 06-12-13
                                                                    • 539

                                                                    #768
                                                                    simon halep mahut and brasil +6u today

                                                                    THANK YOU for the first 2 tips guys!!!

                                                                    22.06.2013 Deca 4-0 Bwin
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                                      • 71662

                                                                      #769
                                                                      Meh. I was going to do a mini preview, but I don't have the drive to do it. So, just starting with futures.

                                                                      Wimbledon Futures
                                                                      Ferrer to Win Quarter +170
                                                                      Best odds of the tournament IMO. This seems like a real over-reaction to his loss in the Dutch tournament perhaps. In any case, I'm all over this one. The guy has quietly made the semis of four of the last five Slams and the quarters in seven straight. The means he should be in position to at least give a hedge opp in the QFs. His road to the quarters seems quite possible. Kohlschreiber seems the toughest roadblock to get there and his last two tourneys have not been that great on grass. On the bottom of the quarter, the enigmatic Del Potro is the top seed. Nishikori is down there and some sleepers like Dimitrov, Zemlja and Seppi. All in all though, who here has been in better form in Slams than Ferrer?

                                                                      Nadal to Win Quarter -145
                                                                      If Nadal needed motivation, he has it built in by verge of last year's monumental upset to Rosol in the 2nd round. I think that is going to drive Nadal this year. He's already proven that he's playing top tier tennis and Wimbledon has become his second best Slam to the French. Of the last six he has played, he has made the Final five times. His draw isn't particularly challenging until the 4th round where he could go against Hewitt or Wawrinka. On the bottom half, it's Federer. That's the match-up they'll be hoping to get in the quarters, Roger vs. Rafa. Janowicz could be a sleeper in this half, but I think Federer will keep his Slam QF streak alive for another tournament. Obviously depending on form, a hedge shot in the quarters if you feel it's needed. Much like Ferrer, I think Nadal will at minimum be in position to give a hedge on this future and that is all you want.


                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Hardcoar
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 02-17-13
                                                                        • 15606

                                                                        #770
                                                                        That's a relief 'cause I shoved a lot on Ferrer @ 3.

                                                                        Players like Nishikori, Dimitrov and Zemlja are discountable in a BO5 vs Ferrer from the start because they won't be winning it quickly in straights, and they won't be outlasting Ferrer. Dimitrov can't take two sets on clay without massive cramping FK's sake. This probably applies to Seppi and Kohlschreiber as well, to some extent.

                                                                        After recent developments I don't count on DelPotro as likely to bother Ferrer too much, presuming he even makes it to the quarters.
                                                                        Comment
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