Sam's daily bet

[Sam_Hawkins]

Hi again!
So after my self-humiliation with my fail thread I restored my bank and had a good run actually. However, I don't have enough time since my studies are more important than betting.
I came up with a funky idea, let's see how this works out.
Every day one pick.
Starting bank: 3 units
After every 10 units won (if that happens) a berserker bet will be made for 10 units.
Tail me if you want, or fade me (actually that might be a better idea )

(Actually I do this thread just to play with the fonts and colors. Btw century gothic rox)

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Let's go!

4.3.2013 Bet #1
Muguruza
Meffert
Delbonis
Millman
A. Villa/Man city || Sevilla/Celta vigo || Lens/Nantes || all over 0.5 goals

Stake: 1,25u
To win: 2u

[Sam_Hawkins]

update: Andreozzi withdrawn being 1-4 down first set Still, other plays good so far, let's hope Meffert and Millman pull the win

4.3.2013 Bet #1
Muguruza
Meffert
Delbonis
Millman
A. Villa/Man city || Sevilla/Celta vigo || Lens/Nantes || all over 0.5 goals

Stake: 1,25u
To win: 1,38u

[Hardcoar]

Now I know jack shizzle about football, but is it really that likely for three given matches all to include scoring?

[Sam_Hawkins]

Yeah! First win is in the pocket!

4.3.2013 Bet #1
Muguruza
Meffert
Delbonis
Millman
A. Villa/Man city || Sevilla/Celta vigo || Lens/Nantes || all over 0.5 goals

Stake: 1,25u
Won: 1,38u

-all matches went easy two sets, all footbal overs scored in first half...can't complain...only that the delbonis match was cancelled :/

[Sam_Hawkins]

Now I know jack shizzle about football, but is it really that likely for three given matches all to include scoring?

Well, I've been doing this some time to increase my odds on a parlay...I would say if you choose wisely, it can be safe, but sometimes it just doesn't pay off - for example a few days ago a hit THE ONLY TWO games without score in spanish league that day...
but...you know...for the sake of the fun

[swissbank007]

Hi again!
So after my self-humiliation with my fail thread I restored my bank and had a good run actually. However, I don't have enough time since my studies are more important than betting.
I came up with a funky idea, let's see how this works out.
Every day one pick.
Starting bank: 3 units
After every 10 units won (if that happens) a berserker bet will be made for 10 units.
Tail me if you want, or fade me (actually that might be a better idea )

(Actually I do this thread just to play with the fonts and colors. Btw century gothic rox)

----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Let's go!

4.3.2013 Bet #1
Muguruza
Meffert
Delbonis
Millman
A. Villa/Man city || Sevilla/Celta vigo || Lens/Nantes || all over 0.5 goals

Stake: 1,25u
To win: 2u

dont worry there is no humiliation to fail!!!!...and gamble all your gain in one bet!!!!why not if you have the bankroll to start all over again if it doesnt work!!!i will support you for sure and good luck!!!

[Sam_Hawkins]

Bank: 4,38u
Balance: +1,38u

5.3.2013 Bet #2
Tursunov 2-0
Gulbis 2-0
Przysiezny
Schwartzman
Groth

Stake: 1u
To win: 3u

So Tursy and Gulbis should do their jobs well, unless gulbis decides that one tournament win is enough for him this year which might happen pretty well. Przysiezny looked good his first match, not having any real competition today imho. Schwartzman had some pretty impressive results lately, he's a solid clay grinder. His opponent Olivo had a good run last week, but that was on small event, against weak opponents. Lastly, Groth beaten Jeong just few days ago 6-1/6-2 so I can't see Jeong winning this time.

Had some strong leans on stakhovsky , russell , roger-vasselin , barton and reynol ds but since I'm doing just one pick I talked myself out of those. Will check how they do tho.

[swissbank007]

i wd be carefull with Stakhovsky!!!its a player i like a lot but i saw his match last week in France challenger in 1/2 final and lost but he seems hurt in the second set he lost 6-1...the doctor came long time on the court to work on him....i wanted to take him against Alias at (1.44) but i will stay away because of this injury he had 3 days ago

[Sam_Hawkins]

i wd be carefull with Stakhovsky!!!its a player i like a lot but i saw his match last week in France challenger in 1/2 final and lost but he seems hurt in the second set he lost 6-1...the doctor came long time on the court to work on him....i wanted to take him against Alias at (1.44) but i will stay away because of this injury he had 3 days ago

Yep that's why I did not take him...plus elias is not that bad at all

[swissbank007]

just put $200 on schwartzman as you adviced...the match just started!!

[Sam_Hawkins]

just put $200 on schwartzman as you adviced...the match just started!!

maan I guess it will be the only match that won't hit today...I got another play tho...groth/barton to win 1u it you're interested...

[swissbank007]

you should put all your units on delbonis today!!!!

[Sam_Hawkins]

you should put all your units on delbonis today!!!!

haha
Well you mean all I separated for this thread? I won't but I will play him definitely today

[swissbank007]

i wd take the risk if you have enough to put back again if you lose!!!

[Sam_Hawkins]

Well so Schwartzman lost in a three setter, but gulbis couln't make it in two, which makes me feel a bit better about my loss. Guess I just got too greedy there. I will get even more greedy today tho as there are a lot of plays I like. All the leans hit apart from Vasselin who lost 6-7/5-7.
Will play two plays today cos as I said - a lotta plays I like.

Bank: 3,38u
Balance: +0,38u


6.3.2013 Bet #3
Greedy game
Tursunov
Gulbis
Kuznetsova
Delbonis
Mladenovic
Erakovic
Berankis

Stake: 1u
To win: 4u

Non-greedy game
Tursunov
Kuznetsova
Delbonis
Erakovic

Stake: 1u
To win: 1u

[Ambition]

Your parlaying those players? I'm not understanding.

Also, how confident are you on Mladenovic?

[Sam_Hawkins]

yeah, those are parlays...well I'm pretty confident, but dunno how many units I would bet as a single...

[Sam_Hawkins]

both plays lost yesterday, still can't believe it. Times like these make you almost paranoid - when choosing picks you stop trusting your judgement...anyway if this game doesn't hit, there's nothing for me to do here any more.

Bank: 1,38u
Balance: -1,62u


7.3.2013 Bet #5
Radwanska U.
Keys
Chvojka
Errani+Vinci
Anzhi/Newcastle under 4.5
Steaua/Chelsea over 0.5

Stake: 1.38u
To win: 1.43u

[swissbank007]

your only hope is double tennis now!!!...anyway good luck for this one!!!!!stay positive!!!

[Sam_Hawkins]

your only hope is double tennis now!!!...anyway good luck for this one!!!!!stay positive!!!

man I don't get it...how berankis lost...and how on earth could erakovic who had a good form lately lose to peer who did NOTHING this year...in STRAIGHT FUC*ING SETS

[Hardcoar]

Peer did surprise me, but Berankis wasn't shocking at all to me. I don't know why he's been so horrible in the last couple of matches though. Perhaps he's not feeling well.

[swissbank007]

erakovic is keeping her energy for double!!

[Sam_Hawkins]

Edit: noticed on my ticket that the prize is actually to win 1.43 not 1.5

[Sam_Hawkins]

So yesterdays bet hit, I totally thought keys would lose in three. Anyway:
Bank: 2,81u
Balance: -0,19u


8.3.2013 Bet #6
Radwanska A.
Sharapova
Errani
Kvitova
Bryans
Caen/Istres under 4.5

Stake: 2u
To win: 1u

[swissbank007]

how can you get a under 4.5 in a football match???are you sure its not under 2.5???

[swissbank007]

i would bet an under 4.5 in a football match all the time!!!!

[Sam_Hawkins]

how can you get a under 4.5 in a football match???are you sure its not under 2.5???

nope, the odds are like 1.062 ...I just needed to got the total odds to 1.5

[Sam_Hawkins]

omg I just noticed the soccer match will be played on monday...if the other games hit I will claim it won and continue posting bets...

[swissbank007]

nope, the odds are like 1.062 ...I just needed to got the total odds to 1.5

swiss precision!!!!!

[Hardcoar]

Klockwerk : P

[Sam_Hawkins]

again, the bet hit (except for that match that will be played monday but I assume it will hit).
Bank: 3,81u
Balance: +0.81u

9.3.2013 Bet #7
Ferrer
Wawrinka
Simon
Berdych
Azarenka
Nadal 2-0
Ivanovic 2-0

Stake: 1.82u
To win: 2.19u

[swissbank007]

congrats Sam!!! keep up the good work!!!....im sure you saw my boy delbonis let me down yesterday for the first time!!!!loool...i have decided to stop betting on single matches until the end of the year and concentrate ONLY ON DOUBLE!!!feel free to put some of my daily double pics in your parlay!!!!

[Sam_Hawkins]

congrats Sam!!! keep up the good work!!!....im sure you saw my boy delbonis let me down yesterday for the first time!!!!loool...i have decided to stop betting on single matches until the end of the year and concentrate ONLY ON DOUBLE!!!feel free to put some of my daily double pics in your parlay!!!!

yeah man you're doing great in your doubles thread! Everyday I consider just blindly tailing you but i bitch out just to see that you made another five units lol I just hate tailing totally blindly:/

I have errani/vinci and hlavackova/hradecka in one parlay, but I put here only the ones I feel like 90% sure or more

[swissbank007]

Ive decided to stay away from hlavackova/hradecka match cause dushevina et panova are pretty good in double but your country team is very good and are favorite for sure!!!the match almagro-petznchner/granollers-lopez(1.36)is a bit safer in my humble opinion!!!PS: hlavackova is cute!!!

[CaptainOmar111]

finally , I saw somebody bet on Ferrer !!!!