Play of the Day for Streak Attempt

[RapaQues]

I want to give a shot at picking one solid play per day for 10 consecutive days... After each win i will double the ammount for the next play. Meaning the wager that i risked in the previous game plus the profit onto the next play.

Can also be a parlay of 2 games if strong enough to have a good chance of hiting.

Odds of at least -120.

Will start with 20$. If all lines would be +100 it would work out something like this:

After win ( and if consecutives ) 40-80-160-320-640-1280-2560-5120-10240-20480$

Since my bankroll allows it, when i lose one play i will be only losing the initial 20$ that i risked to start the streak. When i do lose all i have to do is winning the 20$ back with my bankroll so i start a streak attempt again, untill ( god allow it ) the 10 in a row hit.

I will be posting 5 plays per day on wich i feel more confident about it and i will ask you guys to give an opinion on wich you think it has better chances. Then i will go with the 1.

[RapaQues]

From Monday to Thursday there are always many matches, many of them with close lines between the players, so i feel those are the best days, although a bit risky qualification matches... I myself prefer to pick who wins a match instead of the overs but been thinking about trying the overs for a change as well, so ocasionally it may pop up the sugestion. Anyway, here are the plays i am thinking about for this monday and the reason behind it, please feel free to disagree also: Monday. 25/02/2013: Dubai ATP - David Goffin over Roberto Bautista Agut +120 Goffin on a very cold streak, the opposite of what i want for me here but i think it's about time he starts winning matches again. He is having many problems with his serve as well. On the other side, and although the Spaniard recently won their meeting, he played really poorly in France, losing first to Marc Gicquel, then winning a 3 setter vs Krajinovic and finally being easially dispatched by Simon 6-3 6-1 i watched him against both Krajinovic and Simon and it was 1 UE after another. Dubai ATP - Somdev Devvarman over Igor Kunitsyn -110 Although the H2H favors Kunitsyn 3-0 those matches were a long time ago. This days seems to me that the Indian is playing much better tennis and facing better opposition than Kunitsyn. Devvarman lately has upset players like Phau, Berrer and Paire plus took sets off Janowicz and Melzer. On the other side, Kunitsyn is being the opposit losing to 2 guys outside the top 300 in Romain Jouan and Mathieu Rodrigues ( Although Frenchies playing in France ). Howver he played already 2 qualification rounds in Dubai and won the first against Berrer in straight sets and saw Sergeyev retire after leading the decider by 4-0. Especially the win against Berrer showed good indications. ATP Delray Beach - Evgeny Donskoy over Steve Darcis -110 Although the line suffered a little movement towards Darcis, i feel like Donskoy has a better chance of winning this 1. Donskoy has way better hard court results than Darcis plus he recently upset Youzhny at the AO and gave a good fight vs Haas in the last match he played. On the down side he had a bad loss vs Pospisil 7-5 6-1 2 weeks ago. Darcis is not the best Hardcourt player, vulnerable on serve. Even in the last match he played on Indoor hard he lost to Gicquel on the SF in a match i backed him and watched and he looked completely desinterested. Doesn't have a good win in hard courts for a while now. ATP Dubai - Parlay: Lukas Rosol over Matteo Viola + Daniel Brands over Florent Serra -104 Going with two big servers, Brands on good form and Rosol vs a player ( Viola ) with no really weapons to hit winners nor a good serve seems the right choice for a parlay option. ATP Delray Beach - Malisse over Falla -110 Tough one to call but thinking that Malisse cares about this tournament as he already played 3 finals here, although few years back. Also thinking that since he retired vs Young if he is not feeling well he might retire here too and worst case scenario bet would be void... As a backup match i have Daniel Munoz de La Nava over Gastao Elias. Waiting for the odds on that match but should be arround -120 for the spaniard... He is having a few good results and i love to fade Portuguese players. Faded Elias today but he won in 3 sets against Sweeting, so would be another try for me.

[RapaQues]

And in short, for all those not feeling like reading:

#1 Dubai ATP - David Goffin over Roberto Bautista Agut +120
#2 Dubai ATP - Somdev Devvarman over Igor Kunitsyn -110
#3 ATP Delray Beach - Evgeny Donskoy over Steve Darcis -110
#4 ATP Dubai - Parlay: Lukas Rosol over Matteo Viola + Daniel Brands over Florent Serra -104
#5 ATP Delray Beach - Malisse over Falla -110
Backup Match: Daniel Munoz de La Nava over Gastao Elias waiting on odds.

As a curiosity all my picks come from the left side of my bookie. No winners on the right column except the parlay.

What would you pick, 1,2,3,4 or 5 ? Would you give more chances of the backup match waiting for the odds than to any of the other 5 ? Do you agree on my comments regarding the players phases ?

Please debate, thanks.

[lucasdawg]

i would pick 4. d goffin hasnt been in form. GL

[RapaQues]

i would pick 4. d goffin hasnt been in form. GL

You mean you would go with the option number 4, the parlay or that you would go with all except Goffin ?

I am looking for input in what match of those 5-6 picks i made would have the most sucess to potencially hit

[lucasdawg]

i mean go with option number 4 the parlay.

im not sure about your other plays but my input for option 1 was to warn you about goffin

[swissbank007]

i wd mostly agree with all your pics except Goffin...i dont know what is wrong with that guy but he is sooo screwed up lately!!!!

[lucasdawg]

goffin lost straight sets, too bad i didnt trust the play. sigh life

[swissbank007]

i dont think its possible to win 10 in a row picking the underdogs.....maybe 10 parlays possible!!!...but definitly not picking the (2.00) and over and win 10 in a row........anyway i will follow you and goooooooooood luck!!!!!

[lucasdawg]

d brands just had an intense first set tie breaker was down 6-1 and came back to win 9-7. zzzzz hope he can just finish straight sets

[RapaQues]

Goffin would have be a losing bet and the parlay a winner...

In the meanwhile:

Donskoy went from -110 to +110.

Malisse went from -110 to -128

Devvarman went from -110 to -143

De la Nava went from -128 to -143

[RapaQues]

Made a decision and will go with Donskoy +110 over Darcis.

All other lines went down, it is a risk to go with the only one that saw the line going up but he was 1 of the 3 plays, along with De La Nava and Devvarman that i felt more confident with.

Should be a close match and in my opinion he has better weapons on HC than his opponent. Hopefully will start the streak right here.

[swissbank007]

at (1.83) you should go on Sock over Ebden!!!

[RapaQues]

Crazy wind in this one. Donskoy had excelent chance for 15-40 and the win took his chance away.

All service games to deuce so far but Donskoy had missing bp's in both Darcis service games

[Bet10Heinekens]

Took Donskoy live, he has no trouble on his serve and he winning points on Darcis serve

ATP In-Game Tennis
Period : Game (Darcis, Steve: 0 - Donskoy, Evgeny: 0)
Line: Donskoy, Evgeny 02/25/2013 12:30:01- (EST)
: +100
* Event Notes: Delray Beach, USA

[Bet10Heinekens]

Tiebreaker time

[RapaQues]

Donskoy being bad in the returns...

[RapaQues]

Deserved first set...

Returned better in the TB, was missing loads of returns. He is the only one hiting winners...

Keep it going now

[Hardcoar]

Windy conditions in Florida?

[Bet10Heinekens]

Got the break

Dacris not sniffing break points on Donskoy serve

[RapaQues]

Windy conditions in Florida?

Yes. Very wind. Last year ( or the one before ) was the same thing.

[RapaQues]

Got the break

Dacris not sniffing break points on Donskoy serve

Finish him now...

[Hardcoar]

Ok thanks, and grats' on the apparent win!

[RapaQues]

Ok thanks, and grats' on the apparent win!

Let's talk in the end

[RapaQues]

Story of my life. From 40-0 to losing 5 straight points with 4 UE's to get broken.

[Bet10Heinekens]

Ok thanks, and grats' on the apparent win!

, new to gambling

[RapaQues]

Well, he made up for that huge tank on serve.

[RapaQues]

He just wanted me to suffer a little because they know i am not used to a easy win

Play #1 done.

Will already take a look on the matches i like for tomorrow.

[king_danilo92]

im gonna follow your posts bro, i like the plan. i believe u should always go big or go home.

[Hardcoar]

, new to gambling

New to the meaning of the word "apparent"? <3

[RapaQues]

im gonna follow your posts bro, i like the plan. i believe u should always go big or go home.

Yeah mate, but my issue lately is that when i go big i miss, when i go small i win lol. Hence why last 3-4 days i gave some of the profits from last month back to the bookies.

[RapaQues]

This is just terrible tennis from Malisse.

Ultra garbage every shot except first serves.

[king_danilo92]

how much u have on Malisse bro?

[RapaQues]

how much u have on Malisse bro?

I only took a game for the streak. My play of the day was #3 Evgeny Donskoy.

However outside the streak attempt i also took a shot at Malisse... Felt confident about it.

[RapaQues]

#1 Dubai ATP - David Goffin over Roberto Bautista Agut +120
#2 Dubai ATP - Somdev Devvarman over Igor Kunitsyn -110
#3 ATP Delray Beach - Evgeny Donskoy over Steve Darcis -110
#4 ATP Dubai - Parlay: Lukas Rosol over Matteo Viola + Daniel Brands over Florent Serra -104
#5 ATP Delray Beach - Malisse over Falla -110
Backup Match: Daniel Munoz de La Nava over Gastao Elias waiting on odds.

#1 David Goffin 2-6 5-7 Roberto Bautista Agut = LOSS
#2 Somdev Devvarman 6-1 6-4Igor Kunitsyn = WIN
#3Evgeny Donskoy 7-6 6-3Steve Darcis= WIN
#4 Parlay: Lukas Rosol 6-3 7-5 Matteo Viola + Florent Serra 6-7 4-6 Daniel Brands = WIN
#5 Xavier Malisse 6-3 6-3 Alejandro Falla = WIN
Backup Match: Daniel Munoz de La Nava 6-2 6-4 Gastao Elias = WIN

Streak, 1-0 with pick of the day #3

Also took Malisse outside the streak so it was a good day. Goffin continues to disappoint... Looks like the new Donald Young of 2013.