Doi vs Sevastova, what am I missing?

[gaebiskon]

Doi is no world beater but she's a dog to Sevastova?
Both have mediocre hard court record but Doi has faced much tougher opponents thus far this season and she's not injured

She's around +110 and I was expecting -130~-140 so what am I missing here?

Also, anyone else think Date-Krumm is much too overvalued because of her aussie open run?
Scheepers is actually an OK hard court player though her ranking dropped to No. 64 recently

I want to place in-play bets but without streams, it is always tough
Any advice is much appreciated, thanks

[El Sol]

Sevastova has played two long hard-fought matches, first against Riske (ranked 198) and then Luangnam (ranked 210) which she barely won.

Doi has had a long break since the Aus open where she got double donuted against Sharapova.

Sevastova has not improved from last year IMO but shes has played in this tourney and thus, you can say she's warm regardless of her poor wins.

Where as Doi will be playing her first match since the open, and may be considered cold and off rhythm, but this is speculation. Doi has a weak serve and is error prone, but she has held her own against of Keys in Sydney.

I am simply guessing that Sevastova is favored because shes has already played and is in sync with the tourney, but looking deep at the results verses the opponents both have played this year, I give the nod to Doi.

Will Doi be cold and out of form? Or will she be fresh and strong from the break? I'm going to take the Value and hope I'm not missing anything here.

I'm stubborn when it comes to keeping with my system so I must reluctantly take DOi at +105 in this coin flip match for the value. Expect a lot of breaks and errors so those who are nervous, pass, this match will drive you nuts.

[El Sol]

late money coming in on Sevastova

[El Sol]

1st game Doi holds easily, good sign so far, her serve is what I am worried abouit

[bosshugo]

u got a link to the game or live scoring?

[El Sol]

just live scoring, no streaming at all

did you bet this match?

[bosshugo]

could u post it i cant find one for the love of me

[El Sol]

could u post it i cant find one for the love of me

post the live score? no streaming, dont think the match is televised. Sometimes you can find streaming from the trainers these minor tourneys. Ill take a look

[bosshugo]

no im just talking about the link to the score

[El Sol]

no im just talking about the link to the score

http://www.protennislive.com/frameset.asp?year=2013&wkno=5&lang=en&tabno=2&eventid=0573&ref=www.atpworldtour.com

[El Sol]

who do you have boss?

[bosshugo]

Ticket#:63625824 Jan 28 10:05 PM

INTERNET / -1

Jan 28 09:57 PM

MU

STRAIGHT BET [4720] M DOI +125 (A SEVASTOVA vrs M DOI)

100 / 125

[El Sol]

this one is better

http://www.protennislive.com/lshd/main.swf?year=2013&wkno=5&lang=en&tour=1&eventid=303&ref=www.atpworldtour.com

[gaebiskon]

Doi lost first set, luckily I fell asleep and just woke up

[El Sol]

Ticket#:63625824 Jan 28 10:05 PM

INTERNET / -1

Jan 28 09:57 PM

MU

STRAIGHT BET [4720] M DOI +125 (A SEVASTOVA vrs M DOI)

100 / 125

well good luck to us, not a good start, but this is wta, anything can happen

[bosshugo]

i wish i could watch. im guessin sevastova has a mean serve. she seems to be acing her way through this one

[El Sol]

i wish i could watch. im guessin sevastova has a mean serve. she seems to be acing her way through this one

a lot of df as well, she seems to be going for it

[El Sol]

well, hopefully I'll win with cirstea and push for the evening

[gaebiskon]

glad i avoided this, would have lost some money

[bosshugo]

lol im on the same boat sol