Hello,
I'm doing an analysis on last year's Pinnacle baseball lines - I have great data on the lines, but have only one side of data for the totals and for 5 inning moneylines and totals. For instance, I know only that the total for the game (lets say the first game of the year) opened at 9.5 over -115 and closed at under 9 -119. I am looking to find the exact middle of these lines (the calculations are trivial once the juice is known). For totals for the whole game, I know that they are ten cent lines, (-105 each side) but I do not know when the juice becomes greater than 10 cents. I believe it goes to 11 cents at -113/+102 and I think 12 cents at -122/+110 but do not know exactly beyond that - and don't know if this changes when the total is higher or lower. Anyway, if anyone has this exact breakdown it would be of great help to me. I realize this is a very minor point in the analysis of full game totals, and my middle would be rarely off by more than a half or full cent.
However, when it comes to 5 inning moneylines and totals (again I only have one side of the line), I'm not even sure how much juice there is when the line is pick'em. Again, using game #1 from last year as an example, I know that the 5 inning pinny line started at boston -115 and closed at boston -113, but am unsure of where the middles are on these lines. I also know the 5 inning total started at 5, (I assume the juice is -110 or -108 either way, but again not sure there), and closed at 5 under -116. Again, i want to find the exact middles of the lines, and all lines for last season.
I hope I'm phrasing this correctly. If it were during the season, I could fairly easily go through and get estimates just by a night or two of looking at lines and juice... but I dont want to wait until April
At the very least, if someone could tell me what the 5 inning moneyline juice is when the line is pk and what the total juice is at pk. Thank you very much.
I'm doing an analysis on last year's Pinnacle baseball lines - I have great data on the lines, but have only one side of data for the totals and for 5 inning moneylines and totals. For instance, I know only that the total for the game (lets say the first game of the year) opened at 9.5 over -115 and closed at under 9 -119. I am looking to find the exact middle of these lines (the calculations are trivial once the juice is known). For totals for the whole game, I know that they are ten cent lines, (-105 each side) but I do not know when the juice becomes greater than 10 cents. I believe it goes to 11 cents at -113/+102 and I think 12 cents at -122/+110 but do not know exactly beyond that - and don't know if this changes when the total is higher or lower. Anyway, if anyone has this exact breakdown it would be of great help to me. I realize this is a very minor point in the analysis of full game totals, and my middle would be rarely off by more than a half or full cent.
However, when it comes to 5 inning moneylines and totals (again I only have one side of the line), I'm not even sure how much juice there is when the line is pick'em. Again, using game #1 from last year as an example, I know that the 5 inning pinny line started at boston -115 and closed at boston -113, but am unsure of where the middles are on these lines. I also know the 5 inning total started at 5, (I assume the juice is -110 or -108 either way, but again not sure there), and closed at 5 under -116. Again, i want to find the exact middles of the lines, and all lines for last season.
I hope I'm phrasing this correctly. If it were during the season, I could fairly easily go through and get estimates just by a night or two of looking at lines and juice... but I dont want to wait until April
At the very least, if someone could tell me what the 5 inning moneyline juice is when the line is pk and what the total juice is at pk. Thank you very much.
