Kentucky Derby

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  • suckerbet
    SBR High Roller
    • 08-04-10
    • 113

    #1
    Kentucky Derby
    First of all most of us all know as do the other trainers, that Bob Bafferet is one of the biggest horse dopers out there. But what I really want to ask is if they end up disqualifying his horse, does anyone think that any of the books will credit anyone that had the 2nd place winner? In my opinion I dont think so. I just think with all the advancements in Medicine, the industry has to develop some kind of instant drug test that could be administered instantly after that race before its made official. Over the years I have torn up so many tickets, only to find out weeks later that the horse that beat me was disqualified and the purse and order of finish was changed. They seem to protect the owners, but do nothing to protect the bettors.......
  • pologq
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-07-12
    • 19899

    #2
    if you can't ensure the horses are on a level playing field then the sport, to me, is useless. too many variables to keep track of besides the skills of the horse.
    Comment
    • LT Profits
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-27-06
      • 90963

      #3
      Not a chance suckerbet. Once prices are posted, the race is official and any future DQs are ignored for betting purposes.
      Comment
      • suckerbet
        SBR High Roller
        • 08-04-10
        • 113

        #4
        Yup, I agree as a horse player I am just hoping in the future some kind of instant test is developed, to prevent cheaters from winning.......
        Comment
        • HedgeHog
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 09-11-07
          • 10128

          #5
          Originally posted by LT Profits
          Not a chance suckerbet. Once prices are posted, the race is official and any future DQs are ignored for betting purposes.
          Agree, once prices are posted, it doesn't matter what happens afterward as far as the Kentucky Derby is concerned. But for triple crown bettors that bet him, and assuming his 2nd drug test confirms the 1st, will Books pay out if Medina Spirit wins the next two races?
          Comment
          • LT Profits
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-27-06
            • 90963

            #6
            Originally posted by HedgeHog
            Agree, once prices are posted, it doesn't matter what happens afterward as far as the Kentucky Derby is concerned. But for triple crown bettors that bet him, and assuming his 2nd drug test confirms the 1st, will Books pay out if Medina Spirit wins the next two races?
            Now THATS a very good question I do not know the answer to.
            Comment
            • StackinGreen
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-09-10
              • 12140

              #7
              I would say no, because he is not considered the Triple Crown winner in the history books.
              Comment
              • jackpot269
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 09-24-07
                • 12842

                #8
                Originally posted by HedgeHog
                Agree, once prices are posted, it doesn't matter what happens afterward as far as the Kentucky Derby is concerned. But for triple crown bettors that bet him, and assuming his 2nd drug test confirms the 1st, will Books pay out if Medina Spirit wins the next two races?
                They could just not list him!! No action!!
                Comment
                • LT Profits
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-27-06
                  • 90963

                  #9
                  Originally posted by jackpot269
                  They could just not list him!! No action!!
                  He is talking about guys that bet him to win Triple Crown before Derby.
                  Comment
                  • jackpot269
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 09-24-07
                    • 12842

                    #10
                    Originally posted by LT Profits
                    He is talking about guys that bet him to win Triple Crown before Derby.
                    I see now after reading again! I was thinking about the odds on the races going forward, I misread!!
                    Comment
                    • LT Profits
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-27-06
                      • 90963

                      #11
                      Originally posted by StackinGreen
                      I would say no, because he is not considered the Triple Crown winner in the history books.
                      But on the other hand, the books paid him out as winner on Derby Futures, so they may consider him "Betting" Triple Crown winner. It is an interesting conundrum.
                      Comment
                      • Stallion
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-21-10
                        • 3617

                        #12
                        The horse can still race, it's just the trainer might be banned.
                        Comment
                        • LT Profits
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-27-06
                          • 90963

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Stallion
                          The horse can still race, it's just the trainer might be banned.
                          Yes but that's irrelevant to the question, i.e., would books consider him Triple Crown winner for betting purposes if he wins last two legs.
                          Comment
                          • LongBall52
                            SBR MVP
                            • 06-14-20
                            • 1319

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Stallion
                            The horse can still race, it's just the trainer might be banned.
                            Like everything else where there's big money involved, it amounts to little more than a smack on the back on a hand. If they could issue LIFETIME BANS than that would be a great start. The thing there is that maybe the trainer becomes a puppet pulling the strings for a new trainer behind the curtain. No you have to start with fines that ROCK the world!
                            Comment
                            • LongBall52
                              SBR MVP
                              • 06-14-20
                              • 1319

                              #15
                              The DAMAGE this does goes FAR FAR beyond the Derby! His punishment should as well
                              Comment
                              • HedgeHog
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 09-11-07
                                • 10128

                                #16
                                Originally posted by StackinGreen
                                I would say no, because he is not considered the Triple Crown winner in the history books.
                                Admittedly this is a gray area. But I would argue yes because the Books recognized Medina Spirit as the Derby winner and paid out accordingly. So now if MS wins the next 2 races, how can they deny payout on the triple crown--after they affirmed him as the 1st leg winner? Seems contradictory to me.
                                Comment
                                • DontTailMe
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-24-19
                                  • 2897

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by HedgeHog
                                  Admittedly this is a gray area. But I would argue yes because the Books recognized Medina Spirit as the Derby winner and paid out accordingly. So now if MS wins the next 2 races, how can they deny payout on the triple crown--after they affirmed him as the 1st leg winner? Seems contradictory to me.
                                  The difference is that the Triple Crown future isn't completed until the next two races are over. So they have to benefit of time. For them to ignore the fact that the horse was DQ'd when it comes time to grade would be absurd.
                                  Comment
                                  • LT Profits
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 10-27-06
                                    • 90963

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by DontTailMe
                                    The difference is that the Triple Crown future isn't completed until the next two races are over. So they have to benefit of time. For them to ignore the fact that the horse was DQ'd when it comes time to grade would be absurd.
                                    Not absurd considering even those that bet the horse on track cashed as winners, and online shops that have the benefit of being able to regrade wagers after the fact do just that, ignore fact horse was DQed by paying out Derby futures as winners. So I guess what I am saying is their is no obvious answer. I also think we will never find out as I doubt he wins the next two races abyway.
                                    Comment
                                    • HedgeHog
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 09-11-07
                                      • 10128

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by DontTailMe
                                      The difference is that the Triple Crown future isn't completed until the next two races are over. So they have to benefit of time. For them to ignore the fact that the horse was DQ'd when it comes time to grade would be absurd.
                                      Typical that you would take a Pro-Book position in an ambiguous situation, I see it time again from you. The Books can't have it both ways. If Medina Spirit is not the winner of the Derby in their view, then they need to regrade bets accordingly before the Preakness is run. Otherwise Triple Crown bettors on MS are being freerolled. What's "absurd" is bettors like you being ok with this.
                                      Comment
                                      • DontTailMe
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-24-19
                                        • 2897

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by HedgeHog
                                        Typical that you would take a Pro-Book position in an ambiguous situation, I see it time again from you. The Books can't have it both ways. If Medina Spirit is not the winner of the Derby in their view, then they need to regrade bets accordingly before the Preakness is run. Otherwise Triple Crown bettors on MS are being freerolled. What's "absurd" is bettors like you being ok with this.
                                        How in the world is that a pro-book position? There are players on both sides of the Triple Crown wager. What we're talking about here is which side wins.

                                        Our difference in opinion is one of timing. Once bets are paid out, it's over. That's how it usually works, correct? Pending futures aren't over. There's no inconsistency there. I'm fairly certain that books won't pay out Triple Crown Yes, if at the time of grading the official record says there was no Triple Crown, DQ or no DQ.

                                        BTW - I said multiple times in that other thread I hope MyBookie pays out, so you're a little confused. But either way, just like everyone here, I'm only doing my best to apply logic and evidence to difference situations to draw my own conclusions and seek the truth. Don't confuse that with being pro-book, just because we don't always agree.
                                        Comment
                                        • HedgeHog
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 09-11-07
                                          • 10128

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by DontTailMe
                                          How in the world is that a pro-book position? There are players on both sides of the Triple Crown wager. What we're talking about here is which side wins.

                                          Our difference in opinion is one of timing. Once bets are paid out, it's over. That's how it usually works, correct? Pending futures aren't over. There's no inconsistency there. I'm fairly certain that books won't pay out Triple Crown Yes, if at the time of grading the official record says there was no Triple Crown, DQ or no DQ.

                                          BTW - I said multiple times in that other thread I hope MyBookie pays out, so you're a little confused. But either way, just like everyone here, I'm only doing my best to apply logic and evidence to difference situations to draw my own conclusions and seek the truth. Don't confuse that with being pro-book, just because we don't always agree.
                                          This thread is not about My Bookie, so try to stay on topic. It's about Books recognizing Medina Spirit as the Derby winner (regardless of future developments), but disqualifying him as far as the Triple Crown is concerned. I get that this is difficult for you to understand, but it is contradictory to grade him as a winner on one and a loser on the other. The Books cannot consider him the Derby Winner and at the same time exclude him from winning the next 2 legs to complete the triple crown. Do you not comprehend that this is a freeroll?
                                          Comment
                                          • trytrytry
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 03-13-06
                                            • 23649

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by HedgeHog
                                            Agree, once prices are posted, it doesn't matter what happens afterward as far as the Kentucky Derby is concerned. But for triple crown bettors that bet him, and assuming his 2nd drug test confirms the 1st, will Books pay out if Medina Spirit wins the next two races?
                                            he will not be DQed officially from the derby for months. so when he wins preakenss and Belmont (big if of course) They will pay triple crown wager at the books. or if he loses one of those the no is paid.
                                            Comment
                                            • Colonist
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 05-24-20
                                              • 203

                                              #23
                                              If Medina Spirit wins the Preakness and Belmont, bettors will be paid off on him winning the Triple Crown. No question. No debate. The only alternative is for them to go back and pay off on Kentucky Derby win tickets on Mandaloun, which they will not do.
                                              Comment
                                              • DontTailMe
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 03-24-19
                                                • 2897

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by HedgeHog
                                                This thread is not about My Bookie, so try to stay on topic. It's about Books recognizing Medina Spirit as the Derby winner (regardless of future developments), but disqualifying him as far as the Triple Crown is concerned.
                                                When you say that it's typical of me to take a pro book decision, then it's obvious you're referring to something outside of the Kentucky Derby discussion. But you should never pass up an opportunity to make a condescending remark like the above.

                                                I get that this is difficult for you to understand, but it is contradictory to grade him as a winner on one and a loser on the other. The Books cannot consider him the Derby Winner and at the same time exclude him from winning the next 2 legs to complete the triple crown. Do you not comprehend that this is a freeroll?
                                                I addressed this in my last post. It may *seem* contradictory superficially, but it's not a problem if that's the outcome rules / past precedent call for. It's not a free roll. There are 2 different wagers having 2 different grade dates, and they were/will be graded based on the official record at the time. The fact that the outcome is different is nothing more than a curiosity.
                                                Comment
                                                • HedgeHog
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 09-11-07
                                                  • 10128

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by trytrytry
                                                  he will not be DQed officially from the derby for months. so when he wins preakenss and Belmont (big if of course) They will pay triple crown wager at the books. or if he loses one of those the no is paid.
                                                  If that's the case, then there shouldn't be a grading controversy. I thought the results would be known sooner.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • DontTailMe
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 03-24-19
                                                    • 2897

                                                    #26
                                                    Agreed.
                                                    Comment
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