Bookmaker posted new rules for baseball this year

[DroopyDog]

Interesting.....



Beginning in 2020, the following rule changes for baseball are in effect:

GAMES MUST GO 8½ INNINGS
All full game bets are official after 8½ innings if the home team is ahead, or after 9 full innings if the visiting team is ahead. This includes moneyline, total runs (over/under) and Run Line bets.

ALL WAGERS ARE ACTION
Unless otherwise stated, all baseball wagers - MLB, college, softball, and foreign pro leagues - are now “Action” wagers. "Listed Pitchers" is no longer being offered. This applies to sides, totals, Run Lines, team totals, first five innings and inning-by-inning props.
*all wagers have action at the confirmed price. For example, if you selected a team at +200, but due to a pitching change, their price drops to +180, your bet is still locked in at +200.

POSTPONED GAMES
Postponed games must be completed, with a winner declared, within these time frames:

• MLB and Dominican Republic: By 5 AM (in the time zone where the game is played)
• NCAA, International Leagues & Softball: Within 36 hours of the scheduled start time, regardless of venue.

[HomeRun35]

This is going to be annoying if teams play the listed pitcher game with their opener vs starter again. Angels and A's were the worst offenders late in the season. SP listed and then scratched 5 hours before the game for an opener with that same SP handling the bulk load.

[HedgeHog]

Obviously you don't want to bet heavy MLB favorites at Bookmaker this season. A pitching change would leave you with a lousy bet.

[deeppckts]

Obviously you don't want to bet heavy MLB favorites at Bookmaker this season. A pitching change would leave you with a lousy bet.

Your hasty and short sighted thinking is why those bets might actually have the most value this season.

[DroopyDog]

Really don’t understand the change to 8.5 innings for moneyline wagers. What has necessitated this change ?

[HedgeHog]

Your hasty and short sighted thinking is why those bets might actually have the most value this season.

Explain to me wise one, why I would want to bet the Dodgers at -300 at Bookmaker with Kershaw the likely starter. How could his scratch as the starter possibly benefit me when I'm stuck with that price?

San Francisco Giants Action +264
Los Angeles Dodgers Action -300

[pimike]

Explain to me wise one, why I would want to bet the Dodgers at -300 at Bookmaker with Kershaw the likely starter. How could his scratch as the starter possibly benefit me when I'm stuck with that price?

San Francisco Giants Action +264
Los Angeles Dodgers Action -300

Lol

He seems to like to spout off.

[deeppckts]

Explain to me wise one, why I would want to bet the Dodgers at -300 at Bookmaker with Kershaw the likely starter. How could his scratch as the starter possibly benefit me when I'm stuck with that price?

San Francisco Giants Action +264
Los Angeles Dodgers Action -300

You really think that will be the closer? BM more expensive than BOL on the Dodgers? The current prices are meaningless at micro limits. I could move either line 20c right now.

[HedgeHog]

You really think that will be the closer? BM more expensive than BOL on the Dodgers? The current prices are meaningless at micro limits. I could move either line 20c right now.

The real question was why bet heavy faves at BM if you can't bet listed pitchers? You implied there's value in it, and I see it as just the opposite with this new automatic action rule.

[Optional]

Sounds like an advantage for regular dog bettors maybe.

[HedgeHog]

Sounds like an advantage for regular dog bettors maybe.

Exactly. If you regularly bet dogs, especially large ones, it makes sense placing these wagers at BM.

[Bluehorseshoe]

Exactly. If you regularly bet dogs, especially large ones, it makes sense placing these wagers at BM.

There's no way I would bet Cole or Degrom there unless it was 1 minute before the first pitch.

[deeppckts]

It's going to be priced in. Like I said already, the line comparison you're looking at now is not likely to be the same when you compare the closers. There's going to be a discount for betting the heavy favorites at BM.

Blanket statements like "it's better to bet dogs at BM now" is how squares think. In reality, whether you bet at BM or BOL will depend on what you think about the ace's starting probability. You'll have to make a choice about, for example, Dodgers -275 at BM or Dodgers (Kershaw) -300 at BOL.

In any event, I expect the other books to follow suit. They don't want all their action coming in at the last moment.

[HedgeHog]

It's going to be priced in. Like I said already, the line comparison you're looking at now is not likely to be the same when you compare the closers. There's going to be a discount for betting the heavy favorites at BM.

Blanket statements like "it's better to bet dogs at BM now" is how squares think. In reality, whether you bet at BM or BOL will depend on what you think about the ace's starting probability. You'll have to make a choice about, for example, Dodgers -275 at BM or Dodgers (Kershaw) -300 at BOL.

In any event, I expect the other books to follow suit. They don't want all their action coming in at the last moment.

No one is saying to blindly bet dogs at BM because of the new action rule. But if they have the best price on a dog you like, you have the added benefit of BM's rule change. For example SF +264 is the best price I'm seeing right now and it's at BM. So why not place the bet there if that's the side you like. BTW most squares are heavy chalk players.

[deeppckts]

Let's see how often they have the best price on a dog. I'll be surprised but offshore has surprised me before.

[Bluehorseshoe]

It's going to be priced in. Like I said already, the line comparison you're looking at now is not likely to be the same when you compare the closers. There's going to be a discount for betting the heavy favorites at BM.

Blanket statements like "it's better to bet dogs at BM now" is how squares think. In reality, whether you bet at BM or BOL will depend on what you think about the ace's starting probability. You'll have to make a choice about, for example, Dodgers -275 at BM or Dodgers (Kershaw) -300 at BOL.

In any event, I expect the other books to follow suit. They don't want all their action coming in at the last moment.

How could it be priced in when they're competing with other books that don't have the same rule??

[stevenash]

Sounds like an advantage for regular dog bettors maybe.

Which is the only way to make money betting baseball.

p.s. Kershaw has regressed tremendously, he's hardly a value at -200 no less -300