Just-in bets

[justin81]

I've been thinking about opening such a thread and thought that today is finally the day to do it. Let's see how it's going to turn out. Mostly soccer since that is what I like and love and I know the most. All bets 1 unit. GL to ALL.

Pick#1 (21.7 @17:00 CET)
Slask Wroclaw - Benfica Lisbon
pick: Benfica -0.5,-1 @1.87 Pinny

[justin81]

Pick#1 (21.7 @17:00 CET)
Slask Wroclaw - Benfica Lisbon
pick: Benfica -0.5,-1 @1.87 Pinny
FT 2:4

Good start. Benfica cruised to an easy win, although winning 0:2 went 2:2 for few minutes in 2nd half, but then they showed why they are top 20 in Europe. Champion of Poland, didn't show anything special, they just suck big time like any Polish team at recent years.
That's all for today, although another friendly Ajax-Celtic looks very tempting (starts right now 19:00) and from MLB for tonite, Yankees.
Ajax playing great football last season, winning the title in the domestic league, giving a hard time to Man Utd with great performance at Old Trafford. I haven't watched Celtic at least 6 months, so I am not sure if they can be a real threat to Ajax. Will watch live on bet365 and see what is going on.
I don't know a single thing about baseball but as I've read thru some posts on other forums, Yankees haven't lost 3 games in a row ( I hope this is true) this season and now they've lost 2 already.

[justin81]

Ajax trashing Celtic 4:0. Scottish team non-existent thru the entire game. It was 3:0 after 25min already and later on in 2nd half Celtic red carded+penalty for Ajax. It was painful to watch such a team as Celtic to fall so low. And even the most pro Celtic fan must admit that Rangers relegation won't help them to be better. That rivalry kept both teams on their toes, now without Rangers in the picture, Celtic is on the downward slope as well imo. Lack of even opponent in the league is not a good idea in the long run. It's a bit sad to see Celtic like that,cuz just remembered that time when Celtic played 0:0 in 2nd leg against Barcelona at Camp Nou in Uefa Cup several years ago putting Barca out of competition. Right now, it seems like a freaken fairly tail. Ajax on the other hand, bunch of young hungry dogs playing like experienced pros already. Hope that Ajax is on its way to rise from the ashes and at least try to break a monopoly of Spanish/English teams in European Cups. It's nice for the eye to watch them play.

[justin81]

W1-P0-L0
+0.87u

Pick#2 (22.7 @18:30 CET)
Arsenal Kiev-Dynamo Kiev
pick: Dynamo Kiev -1.5 @1.96 Pinnacle

Shakhtar crashed Arsenal 6:0 a week ago for a "season opener" in Ukrainian Premier League. I expect a similar score from Dynamo since more likely those two Ukrainian giants will fight each other for the title as usual.

[justin81]

Pick#2 (22.7 @18:30 CET)
Arsenal Kiev-Dynamo Kiev
pick: Dynamo Kiev -1.5 @1.96 Pinnacle
FT 0:1

Typical game with one way traffic and gazillion chances for Dynamo,but only one goal. Dynamo even missed penalty in 2nd half. Arsenal's goalkeeper had his day.

[Vaughany]

I would never bet on Dinamo -1.5, they really aren't that good and wouldnt be surprised if Dnipro or Metalist (maybe even both) do better than Dinamo this season

[zizoudane10]

Under 2.75 dropped and +1.5 Arsenal dropped too, so the 1:0 result wasn't too much of a surprise here.

[justin81]

pick#3 (23.7 @19:00)
GAIS-Malmo
pick: Malmo @1.83 Pinnacle

Don't know much about those Scandinavian leagues, but it looks promising. Malmo 2nd in the table, GAIS second from the bottom and just yesterday their coach left the club.

[justin81]

[ATTACH]44924[/ATTACH]
Under 2.75 dropped and +1.5 Arsenal dropped too, so the 1:0 result wasn't too much of a surprise here.

IMO, it doesn't really mean anything. Arsenal goalkeeper simply had a great day, saving penalty, few one on one and one extremely dangerous shot from about 12 yards away. On regular day it should have been 0:3 minimum.

[zizoudane10]

IMO, it doesn't really mean anything. Arsenal goalkeeper simply had a great day, saving penalty, few one on one and one extremely dangerous shot from about 12 yards away. On regular day it should have been 0:3 minimum.

It means so much more than you think it does.
On a regular day, yes

[justin81]

pick#3 (23.7 @19:00)
GAIS-Malmo
pick: Malmo @1.83 Pinnacle
FT 2:3

Crazy game with a lot of goals. Malmo gets the win in 2nd half despite losing 2:1 at HT and penalty for GAIS. Good job from Malmo, but crazy league it seems. I thought our Polish league is strange (read weak) but this one is very similar.
For tomorrow check out Besiktas against Jagiellonia. It's a pre-season friendly played in Austria. Jagiellonia is a polish team. They got nothing really to offer against such a team as Besiktas. Jagiellonia even lost to mid table team from Serbia few days back. So asian handicap -1,-2,-3 is very possible if Besiktas plays with 1st 11. Just waiting for the lines to come up.
Also Wisła Krakow against Hoffenheim looks interesting. Hoffenheim shouldn't have much trouble with Wisła if they will play with their 1st 11. Will wait for tomorrow for more info.

[justin81]

It means so much more than you think it does.
On a regular day, yes

Maybe you have some inside information or see the correlation between the line movements and outcomes of the event. I have never paid much attention to it in soccer.

[justin81]

W2-p0-l1
+0.7

[justin81]

pick#4 (24.7 @19:45 CET)
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Besiktas
pick: Besiktas @1.68 Pinnacle

I couldn't find anything about Besiktas line-up for this game. I know that Jagiellonia will field the strongest team possible and nothing about Besiktas. That's why imo Besiktas line is so good. I expected something 1.2-1.4. I hope that Turks will field 1st 11.

[justin81]

pick#4 (24.7 @19:45 CET)
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Besiktas
pick: Besiktas @1.68 Pinnacle
FT 1:1

Ok, after first goal for Jagiellonia I was like, something is up with this game, Turks played like shite and the goal was scored after a silly offside mistake so the guy could score literally from 5 yards away.And after equalizer I was sure the game was fixed, the defender missed the simplest clearance to allow Besiktas one on one. And at the end I found this on one of the blogs...

[justin81]

pick#5 (25.7 @19:30 CET)
Catania-Vicenza
pick: Catania @1.67 Pinnacle