A-League Handicapping 2011/12

[Aussiecapper101]

WEEK 3 RESULTS

BRISBANE ROAR -0.5 AND -1 -113 ( 2 UNITS ) pinnacle
MELBOURNE VICTORY VS MELBOURNE HEART OVER 2.5 -103 ( 1 UNIT ) pinnacle
CENTRAL COAST MARINERS PK -113 ( 2 UNITS ) pinnacle
PERTH GLORY VS WELLINGTON PHOENIX OVER 2 AND 2.5 -114 (3 UNITS) pinnacle

1-3 (-4.5 UNITS)

OVERALL THREAD RECORD: 4-7 (-5 UNITS)

we have work to do.. GL

[Aussiecapper101]

**WEEK 4 EARLY 5 UNIT PLAY**

BRISBANE ROAR -0.5 and 1 -108 (**5*UNITS**) pinnacle

Did the bookies not learn their lesson from last week? Central coast are in some real bad form yes but Adelaide aren't too far behind them!! Adelaide have to travel and their goalkeeper is over rated amongst other things.. Brisbane plan to put on a party for their fans!

For me this is as big as it gets ~ 5 units

Follow, fade or watch its up to you.. My form the last 2 weeks has been poor but if your fading keep it to yourself!!

Good luck I like this play

[DarkNite]

Agree. I really like Roar,but only 1.60, still O.K.
GL!

[tommygun]

**WEEK 4 EARLY 5 UNIT PLAY** BRISBANE ROAR -0.5 and 1 -108 (**5*UNITS**) pinnacle Did the bookies not learn their lesson from last week? Central coast are in some real bad form yes but Adelaide aren't too far behind them!! Adelaide have to travel and their goalkeeper is over rated amongst other things.. Brisbane plan to put on a party for their fans! For me this is as big as it gets ~ 5 units Follow, fade or watch its up to you.. My form the last 2 weeks has been poor but if your fading keep it to yourself!! Good luck I like this play

Adelaide's keeper is not over-rated? Last week he should have saved 1 of those 2 goals, but bad defence imo. He nearly got signed to Portsmouth.

[tommygun]

After your dismal start to the A-League capping season, I hope you win this one, can't see it being a problem with Brisbane Roar playing at their home ground. What will this be 32 undefeated games?

[Aussiecapper101]

Adelaide's keeper is not over-rated? Last week he should have saved 1 of those 2 goals, but bad defence imo. He nearly got signed to Portsmouth.

Galekovic was a star 2 seasons ago but since then he hasn't showed much good form (maybe because of all the transfer offers from Germany,England leagues etc) his job is to save goals so I don't doubt that he's made a good save here and there but maybe I should have re phrased my quote to ' the Adelaide keeper doesnt scare me' this is all IMO so if u don't agree then feel free to not follow..

Water off a ducks back

GL whatever u decide to play

[Aussiecapper101]

After your dismal start to the A-League capping season, I hope you win this one, can't see it being a problem with Brisbane Roar playing at their home ground. What will this be 32 undefeated games?

Yeah mate your right there.. And I'm not shy to say that I had bad start to the season but to me its just variance (part of the game) the last thing I wanna do is lose people money so just bear with it for a week or so if your following.. Anyway I think this is a perfect spot for me to make some $$$ the line should at least be -1 so I'm riding this one all the way home.

Cheers

[tommygun]

Galekovic was a star 2 seasons ago but since then he hasn't showed much good form (maybe because of all the transfer offers from Germany,England leagues etc) his job is to save goals so I don't doubt that he's made a good save here and there but maybe I should have re phrased my quote to ' the Adelaide keeper doesnt scare me' this is all IMO so if u don't agree then feel free to not follow.. Water off a ducks back GL whatever u decide to play

Yeah mate your right there.. And I'm not shy to say that I had bad start to the season but to me its just variance (part of the game) the last thing I wanna do is lose people money so just bear with it for a week or so if your following.. Anyway I think this is a perfect spot for me to make some $$$ the line should at least be -1 so I'm riding this one all the way home. Cheers

I still think Galekovic is class (i'm not an adelaide supporter) and have admired his keeping in the A-League through all seasons, it's a shame he couldnt get a signing in europe.

And what is your experience at betting A-League, you talk as if you are going to be guaranteeing some money as such. I will keep watching for now.

[Aussiecapper101]

I still think Galekovic is class (i'm not an adelaide supporter) and have admired his keeping in the A-League through all seasons, it's a shame he couldnt get a signing in europe.

And what is your experience at betting A-League, you talk as if you are going to be guaranteeing some money as such. I will keep watching for now.

When I get home I'll do a write up for ya. On the iPhone atm

[ultrasouth]

Who do you support in the a-league Aussiecapper?

[Aussiecapper101]

Who do you support in the a-league Aussiecapper?

Perth Glory but not like religously

[Aussiecapper101]

**WEEK 4 EARLY 5 UNIT PLAY**

BRISBANE ROAR -0.5 and 1 -108 (**5*UNITS**) pinnacle


ADDING:

CENTRAL COAST VS PERTH GLORY DRAW (RISKING 1 UNIT TO WIN 2.5) pinnacle
SYDNEY FC PK -111 (2.5 UNITS) pinnacle
WELLINGTON PHOENIX VS MELBOURNE VICTORY OVER 2 (bought down -130) (3 UNITS) pinnacle

GFL

[Aussiecapper101]

Brisbane roar game starts in 2 hours or so. GL to anyone riding the ROAR!!

[twelvejewelz]

brisbane seems like it should be an easy win and i hate when it seems to easy. gl though

[Aussiecapper101]

brisbane seems like it should be an easy win and i hate when it seems to easy. gl though

Yep but sometimes things ARE as good as they look but as we all know sometimes it's just an epic fail!! Let's see how this one turns out?

[CollegeOverUnder]

I was looking at this game is this a good winner to throw in a parlay?

[escou]

The price went up abit now from 1.60 to 1.65. GL to all

[tommygun]

The odds are $1.68 on betfair, which makes me think something's up. This should be $1.30 IMO. Cannot see Brisbane roar losing this one though...anyway go Adelaide for an upset!

[FindTheLock]

after doing some research it appears these two teams are about even historically. Adelaide has one more win over brisbane actually. Their games seem to go under 2.5 a lot as well.

[escou]

Dont know much about the A-league but someone was talking about changes every year and that history is not to rely on in this league, but this is just the beggining of the season Adelaide have been terrible the stats show, so they have to pick up their game as well. Maybe Brisbane, draw or over.

[FindTheLock]

don't know I think there are too many questions to bet on this safely. I think Brisbane pops out as an easy winner and I don't have good luck when I think it is too easy.

[twelvejewelz]

Yep but sometimes things ARE as good as they look but as we all know sometimes it's just an epic fail!! Let's see how this one turns out?

Hope your right but money is moving the wrong way and leaning to the draw. I dont like to bet a league when there is a single game for some reason weird things seem to happen. Good luck i might tail you small just for some action.

[escou]

haha yeah exactly it always happens that, to me as well, thought I was the only one, when I play sure games I almost always loose . Happy to know others are in the club with me.

I guess we can watch the start of the game and decide, but Brisbane should win, only problem is that too many ppl are on them and the boat is too heavy right now.

[escou]

Hope your right but money is moving the wrong way and leaning to the draw. I dont like to bet a league when there is a single game for some reason weird things seem to happen. Good luck i might tail you small just for some action.

It has been 1.60-1.65 for me a couple of days now. Draws are always the most prifitable option looks like nowadays just check the weekend after the CL/Europa League alot of games were draws.

[CollegeOverUnder]

Im on SIA and the line was at -200 then it went to -182 and its at -167 right now I took it at -167 but didn't like the line movement

[FindTheLock]

I think if you like adelaide to keep it close then the over should hit. I doubt they keep brisbane from scoring at home, but I could be wrong. The over seems like the most tempting play for me because of the nice odds.

[twelvejewelz]

brisbane just went from -1 to -.5,-1 and from -175 to -160 on the ml and draw went from +265 to +250 to. Seems like they want us to bet brisbane oh well we will see what happens. good luck

[FindTheLock]

on 5 dimes the odds are moving heavier on brisbane from -166 to -175

[CollegeOverUnder]

I have Brisbane -167 and Brisbane winning 2-0 at +550

[FindTheLock]

I took the over 2.5 +114

[FindTheLock]

U guys can watch it here http://www.sportlemon.tv/v-2/12/18/v-321818.html

[CollegeOverUnder]

http://www.firstrowsports.tv/watch/88641/1/watch-brisbane-roar-vs-adelaide-united.html

Lets get this money guys

[escou]

I took the over 2.5 +114

you could have waited and pllayed it live! odds will be much better in 10-15 mins

[escou]

And mind you Brisbane doesnt allow alot of goals, infact most of their games they do not concede and none this season yet, but it is about time

[escou]

hmm well brisbane went down to 1.50 now