no clue what eintracht's problem has been today and last week, this is fortuna's league now, it seems
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wish i had the OVERComment -
damn this is one of those games where I feel very fortunate to win! I can't complain the next time I get back doored after this one.Comment -
my sportbook does not like offering soccer, i get limited lines available, i only bet small on soccer though , just an action junky, appreciate the work you do tom, i play most of your toutsComment -
5dimes best book for soccer punters in the US. Not even a close runner up that I have found yet!Comment -
sportsbook.ag is pretty good, cogiditopapi told me about them. bookmakers and betdsi have horrible lines. I recently added more to my 5d account, after they are pretty much the best for all sports, at least in the US. I miss the books I used in Europe, that's for sure. Love bet365 for live bets.Comment -
it sucks in the USA for online gambling, i dont trust that i can get my cash when i win, i use a "street" book who has an online site in central america based, i see him tuesday if i lose or wednesday if i win
old schoolComment -
They dont seem to have that attacking edge, they pess their opponenets, hold the possesion, but that is all. On the other hand it all depends on the other team, both Aue and Inglostad are deffensive teams that dont open up that much, maybe that can be another reason, but I will think twice before betting on the again
Nice win anyways 
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Sorry I haven't been on SBR as much. Real busy. I still do a few picks here and there on †wi††er if you want to give a follow, same as user name. I'll try to get this thread going again.Comment -
06-Apr
15:00 CET (9:00 EST) Allsvenskan (Swedish top tier) Gefle to win vs. Syrianska +107 10x
15:00 CET (9:00 EST) Championship (England second tier) Reading -1 vs. Leeds +103 10x
16:00 CET (10:00 EST) Championship (England second tier) Watford/Blackpool o2.5 -139 5x
19:00 CET (13:00 EST) Turkish Süper Lig Karabükspor/Beşiktaş draw +274 5x
Gefle was a solid 7-4-4 at home last season, and I expect that to continue. Syrianska got a lucky result at home last week against contender IFK, but they're on the road for this one where they fared 2-0-13 last season. With Gefle fielding a solid squad and Syrianska recently flirting with demotion, Gefle takes this in a low scorer: 1-0 or 2-1.
Leeds is coming off a couple of decent road results, but they weren't against the likes of a Reading team that is ready for promotion. Reading is 12-4-4 at home and have a victory in their pocket earlier against Leed on the road. Reading should get this by two, but worst case, it's by one and a push.
Watford and Blackpool are great over 2.5 squads, 60% and 80% respectively. However Watford is a bit more conservative at home with only 47.5% overs hitting, along with Blackpool at 70% on the road. Couple that with some massive chalk, and I'll only take on a small play on this one.
Beşiktaş is coming off of three straight road draws agains lesser teams. Sure they're a top tier team in the Süper Lig, but their crummy run and Karabükspor's 11-2-3 dominance at home (even beating Fenerbahçe has me thinking they at least have a draw in them. Should be a low scoring affair, too, if you can find it.Comment -
13:00 CET (7:00 EST) 2.Bundesliga Dresden/Braunschweig u2.5 -115 10x
13:00 CET (7:00 EST) 2.Bundesliga Eintract -0.75 vs. Duisburg -105 10x
15:30 CET (9:30 EST) 2.Bundesliga Bayern -2.5 vs. Augsberg +111 10x
Full slate of Bundy games today. Dresden and Braunschweig are a couple of low scoring teams that should not disappoint. Eintract Frankfurt is an elite 2.Bundesliga team that should handle a poor Duisburg team on the road. Lastly, I tried to talk myself out of playing Bayern with that ridiculous handicap, but this is their lineup. Full compliment of players including Schweini. They will be out for blood against lowly Augsberg.
Plenty of intriguing matches, as well. Nürnberg is indeed in a freefall, but I cannot trust Freiburg, even at home. Wolfsberg and Dortmund is a crapshoot, my gut says over, but BVB plays tight on the road. I wanted to play Gladbach as well, but Hertha always gives them fits historically. Sankt Pauli and FSV is another crapshoot.
As for Allsvenskan, Malmö should win theirs, but didn't show up last match at home, so who knows what we see on the road.Comment -
'this is their lineup' is linked to: http://www.bundesliga.de/de/liga/mat...eiter=v&tag=29 Didn't show up well.Comment -
Perhaps I should've remained dormant.
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Should have been a farmer TOM.I know how you feel.I take time off myself and I cant throw it in the ocean from 5 feet away.Comment -
Yeah, always more busy in the winter with work; so I took time off with my writeups and was hoping to return well for the end of the season. Nice 2-0-2 and 0-0-3 return by me! Will likely have some looks at the midweek matchdays.
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Not to worry, EURO Cup on the rise. I'm sure we all get dividends paid back in full.Comment -
19:00 CET; 13:00 EST Allsvenskan Åtvidabergs win v. Gefle -102 10x
19:00 CET; 13:00 EST Allsvenskan Åtvidabergs/Gefle o2.5 +122 10x
20:00 CET; 14:00 EST Bundesliga Hertha Berlin/Freiburg o2.75 +107 10x
20:00 CET; 14:00 EST Bundesliga Mainz05/Köln o2.75 -112 10x
I have loved what Åtvidaberg has donethe past couple of seasons. They were involved in a tonne of greatgames high scoring games last year. Gefle is a squad that perfectedthe art of the 0-0 or 1-1 road draw last year, but struggled withteams that played more wide open like GAIS or Helsingborg. So I seeit as a higher scoring game befitting of the Åtvidaberg squad. Åtvidaberg should pick up the win, too, 2-1, 3-1, maybe 4-1.
Rule of thumb is that midtierBundesliga matches always end up over (well a good percentage of thetime). While Mainz 05/Köln matches are typically lower scoringaffairs, both have been lighting up the scoresheet and getting litup, as well. M05 is 71.4% o2.5 on the season at home and FCK is78.6% o2.5 on the road. Podo hatty on Wetklo? Maybe. Could be a2-2 or so draw.
Post-Cissé Freiburg shouldn't bescoring many goals, but they keep proving doubters wrong with strongresults. Hertha, on the other hand, is far better at allowing them,and in bunches. I'd normally say Freiburg wins this due to recentand full-season form, but with BSC fighting relgation and in front ofthe home crowd, anything can happen. But I do expect both sides toplay attacking and take advantages of their oppositions poordefenses. Another 'midtier high scorer'.
Other Bundy games: Gladbach and Bremenare both in ho-hum form, Gladbach being an under squad and Bremenbeing an over squad. Likely will be a 1-1 or 2-2 draw. VfB andAugsberg is tough to call as well, with VfB being in great formoverall and FCA in solid form at home. Likely will be an over, butnot 100%. Cottbus and Rostock are both bad teams where anything canhappen, probably a Cottbus win. Düsseldorf should beat FSV by two,but is in atrocious form lately. Sankt Pauli and Union would be aneasy over normally, but Sankt Pauli hasn't been allowing or scoringtoo much, lately, though Union is still on track. Fürth andBraunschweig should be a great game, but with Braunschweig's crazyrecord of recent draws, it's tough to guarantee a win for Fürth. Maybe a potential under play.
Likely will have a sizable play on aCopa Libertadores game this evening, as well: Deportivo Quito v.Defensor Sporting.Comment -
Good luck today.
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Good luck today, with you on the Mainz over, but cant agree with you on Bremen being an over squad, 4-8 o2.5 record since winter break.Comment -
13:00 CET (7:00 EST) 2.Bundesliga Dresden/Braunschweig u2.5 -115 10x
13:00 CET (7:00 EST) 2.Bundesliga Eintract -0.75 vs. Duisburg -105 10x
15:30 CET (9:30 EST) 2.Bundesliga Bayern -2.5 vs. Augsberg +111 10x
Nice work!!!
Keep it going!
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Yeah, good point, for sure lately they haven't been. But they have historically and were today.
Haha, yeah, no kidding...bad day. At least today was much better.
3.5-0.5-0 isn't too bad.
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Love the Mainz pick today and am tailing your picks - keep posting them, you've been doing well.Comment -
Saw a dip in the Copa price, will go ahead with it:
23:30 CET (17:30 EST) Copa Libertadores Deportivo Quito -1 vs. Defensor Sporting -107 20x
23:30 CET (17:30 EST) Copa Libertadores Deportivo Quito win vs. Defensor Sporting -171 20x
This is simple geography and Quito is rock solid at home in these tourneys. You have a coastal sea level team (Defensor Sporting) travelling ~4500km to a team with an elevation of 3km, Deportivo Quito. Travel time to Quito, plus the thin air almost always plays into Ecuadorians favour. I'd say no way Quito doesn't walk away with the win and possibly a win by two. The Uruguay squad is more so evenly matched than the initial match in Uruguay showed.Comment -
Do you think we will see goals in Borussia vs Bayern?Comment -
I could see it going either way, for sure. BVB has owned this matchup lately, with two unders and one over. Bayern really wants to win this and get finished with the BVB dominance. My guy says a 1-0 win either way, or a 1-1 draw. I likely won't play this game, but if I did, under would be a possibility, such good d on both sides.Comment -
Picked a good day to tail you Tom! Great job. If you don't mind, what book do you use? I'm US, so limited. I ask because 5Dimes had the Atvidabergs match ML @ +juice, but -1/2 was even better @ +113. Didn't make sense to me, as a draw was a loss either way so I layed the -1/2. Glad I did. Thanks for the picks, missed the Copa pick but good luck to you.
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Thanks for the kind words. Since coming to the US, yes, I use 5d. I used to use pinny and bet365 for live. Options are limited in The States. If you have †wi††er and you want to give a follow shoot me one, same as user nameComment -
18:00 CET (12:00 EST) Fürth -0.75 vs. Sankt Pauli -115 10x
18:00 CET (12:00 EST) Union/Braunschweig u2.5 -101 10x
After a sweep of 6 plays (tecnically 5.5-0.5-0), I took some days off as I wasn't going to force anything.
I like Fürth to continue their dominance in 2.Bundesliga, even though they're facing a very good Sankt Pauli team. I'd like to see a Sankt Pauli win, but with current form at home, Fürth is virtually unbeatable. Maybe a two goal win is a little much to ask, but it should be a half hit, at least.
Also Braunschweig is a ridiculous under team these year (60%) and these two squad played to a scoreless draw. I like Braunschweig to continue their draw streak, but probably in more of a 1-1 fashion. Union can be tricky, and may pick up a win at home.
With current form, VfB should get their win versus Werder, but these two teams love being unpredictable, so I can't trust either to do what they should do. If I had to guess, it'd be over and a VfB win. Rostock and FSV is much of the same boat, but with two really terrible teams. Not much to look at. Over in Allsvenskan, Malmö has a match against Kalmar, who they historically do well against, but with the way Di blåe is playing to start the year, can't say too much.
Good luck!
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I am playing Werder Bremen/Stuttgart over 2.5 goals at 1.6
what do you think?Comment -
Great man.. Love your arguments.. Was on the Union game as well...Comment -
Werder/VfB should be an over. I'm not confident enough to play it. Best of luck friends!
1.5-0.5-0 (15x) on the day and 7-1-0 in the last 8 (90x). Undefeated in eight is a a pretty good way to defeat that 2-0-5 blemish I started at. 9-1-5, total.Comment -
FSV shocked the hell out of me. Who would've thought they'd net five in Rostock?Comment
