Uruguay will play the FINAL Sunday

[Tevez]

Statistics, analysis and mathematical information about Netherlands and Uruguay could be easily obtained (by anyone in the world) using a computer.

Current odds value are based because most bettors´s opinion consider only these facts and (at this particular case) world betting market is so big........and one of the teams so unknown....that few people knowing something else, cannot modify that general opinion.

In mayor cases, people who knows something about X game, player or team (bc they have other elements or close information, beyond public market) have influence on odd prices sooner or later.

Specially when this bet goes against favourite low odds (when favorite it is not so favorite).


Well,


backing Netherlands at current odds is a very bad bet, with no advantage for the bettor.


I belive Uruguay will play the final with 60 % of probability.


And I consider myself lucky of knowing (only for the nearness not for being a genius) that world´s general opinion.....is wrong.


This is the great value in a betting forum, imo.


To complement information from distant people enriching each others in a responsible way.


As anyone I commit mistakes betting (most cases following public opinion).


BUT in some fews and particular matches (on wich I am sure odds are wrong) there is a value bet, I say it in an open way (I did before).



Respecting opossite opinion I don´t want to convince anybody to bet on Uruguay.


My only advice to people here (considering to bet on Netherlands, only for betting) is to stay away from this match.


Because I certainly know it`s a 40% chance bet.....at ridiculous price,


and in case of wining that bet (that could happen, of course) will not pay the suffering until the end.

[syamster]

uruguay is a very lucky team, only the god can help them to get into the final. As you said odds are very low.

[Goat Milk]

Want to do a gentleman's bet for who advances?

I am going to hammer Netherlands. Uruguay is happy to be in this position. They still have another match after this for 3rd/4th place. Their defense is tired, and they will fight hard for some of the game and then fall apart after they let in the first goal. Once the Dutch score, which they will, this game is over.

[d1m@]

everything can happen, I think netherlands is overrated during hole world cup

[Tevez]

Want to do a gentleman's bet for who advances?

"Uruguay is happy to be in this position"

With all respect, your statment is totally wrong.


A a third place for Uruguay (like Germany) is not any achievement , may be for Netherlands or Spain.



Do you know something about soccer history or Uruguaian past....playing World Cups?


Only 7 teams had won it.



This is one of the reasons for which I believe FINAL will be Germany vs Uruguay.

[Sunde91]

Uruguay 60% chance to advance? Get real.

Lota homer shills out there, "Tevez".

[Eleven]

Sure one could argue Uruguay is lucky to be there, but so are the Netherlands; them 2 goals against Brazil had a fair share of lucky bounces in them.

[Goat Milk]

With all respect, your statment is totally wrong. A a third place for Uruguay (like Germany) is not any achievement , may be for Netherlands or Spain. Do you know something about soccer history or Uruguaian past....playing World Cups? Only 7 teams had won it. This is one of the reasons for which I believe FINAL will be Germany vs Uruguay.

Buddy uruguay hasn't bean a European team in 40 years. They haven't been relevant since pre 1970s. The Dutch have already played in two finals before so its not like getting there will be a break in history. Uruguay had a joke path to the semi's this year.

All of you history nerds were telling me the same thing when I said the Dutch would beat Brazil. "But history disagrees" We'll see who goes through tomorrow.

[hustla]

I like Uruguay, but they has no chance