France/Uruguay: Thoughts?

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  • Imgoinhungry
    SBR Sharp
    • 03-31-09
    • 264

    #1
    France/Uruguay: Thoughts?
    What is up with France's form as of late? Should we not look into the friendlies and be concerned? Is everyone going to stick with the Uruguay +.5 wager? Could Uruguay win flat out?

    From SBR site.

    Uruguay is a dark horse candidate to advance out of a wide open Group A, and given that France has not played well in recent weeks, Los Charruas are legitimate underdog threats.
    In what may be the most wide open of any of the World Cup groups, Group A play kicks off with Uruguay and France at Cape Town Stadium.

    Les Bleus come into the World Cup with plenty of questions as their form in warm-ups was anything but solid. The French were beaten easily by Spain back in March, 2-0. France suffered a shocking 1-0 loss to China last week. Uruguay meanwhile head into their Cup opener perhaps now as a dark horse to advance from this group. The Central American outfit tuned up for France with a demolition of Israel, 4-1.

    FRANCE
    Injury concerns for defender William Gallas in the lead-up to the World Cup have eased some. He was able to play both against Tunisia and last week against China. Gallas is a key defender for France and would be missed greatly if his calf injury flares up at all.

    The main problem for France seems to be getting the ball in the back of the net. Despite some impressive attacking options in Franck Ribery, Yoann Gourcuff, Thierry Henry and Nikolas Anelka, France has failed to score more than one goal in 4 of their 5 friendly matches since qualifying for the Cup. Age may have caught this group at the wrong time.

    The keys for France to gain even a point against Uruguay lie with someone stepping up to score for Les Bleus. Ribery was a stud in club play in Germany with Bayern Munich. The World Cup could be a grand stage for him to garner even more interest. Goal keeper Hugo Lloris. Lloris is getting his first taste of the Cup at the age of 23, but may already be one of the top 10 keepers in the world right now.

    URUGUAY
    For Uruguay, Los Charruas will rely on the attacking of Atletico Madrid forward Diego Forlan for scoring. Paired with Luis Suarez, who had 10 goals in qualifying, Uruguay will be formidable up front. Defensively, where Uruguay struggles most, captain Diego Lugano will be relied on for his leadership and tackling ability. With a young defense overall, Lugano will have to be strong.

    The keys for Uruguay will be to put pressure on France with an early goal. They will feel confident of working at least a draw if they can get on the scoreboard as France seems unlikely to score multiple goals.

    Uruguay will likely start young keeper Fernando Muslera. Muslera earned his first international cap for this squad last October when they earned their qualification for the World Cup with a win over Ecuador. How he performs on the biggest of stages could determine whether Uruguay wins, draws or loses.

    WAGERING OPTIONS
    France is the betting favorite for this match at +111 with Uruguay a significant underdog at +288. The draw is listed at +235. The total is split at 2/2.5 with the under favored slightly at -115. Uruguay may be a little young along the backline and in net to keep France from scoring, but I also think they will score themselves.

    For me, taking Uruguay +0.5 at -131 is the best bet here as I think they will earn at worst a draw and could certainly add to the French woes with an outright win.
  • minet123
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-17-07
    • 10280

    #2
    I am thinking draw here At +235
    Both teams will be tight
    Comment
    • umdterps
      SBR Sharp
      • 04-02-10
      • 282

      #3
      Should be a great match, but I think the French players will wake up and perform on the big stage.
      Comment
      • theplagy
        SBR MVP
        • 04-21-09
        • 1915

        #4
        1st match is always tight. The French will struggle to find the net. Going against the team that hasn't proved anything of late.

        Uruguay .+5 it is.
        Comment
        • camel
          SBR MVP
          • 02-26-09
          • 1711

          #5
          Liking Uruguay in this spot. Defensively they are tight.
          Comment
          • JOHON8
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 01-28-10
            • 7712

            #6
            All I gotta say is Domenech took the entire French squad cross country skiing after the China loss to clear their heads. Source: fifa.com
            Comment
            • cmh329
              SBR Sharp
              • 11-22-09
              • 407

              #7
              Staying away from this one, but a draw looks like a good bet.
              Comment
              • maquina
                SBR High Roller
                • 05-23-10
                • 146

                #8
                This game might go to a draw.
                Comment
                • mertabi
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 05-27-10
                  • 44

                  #9
                  My money goes to FR.
                  Comment
                  • mav924
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 12-06-09
                    • 718

                    #10
                    Staying away from that one. Friendlies don't mean anything and France could easily start playing well
                    Comment
                    • Giuvara
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 03-15-10
                      • 873

                      #11
                      I will probably not get involved in this game.The value is on Uruguay, but I am leaning towards France. Malouda-Gourcouff-Ribery are amazing. With an in-form striker, defensive midfielder and a solid central defender, France would have been one of the big favorites at this World Cup. Uruguay are amazing upfront, but lacking composure: http://giuvara.mysbrforum.com/blog/2...w-uruguay.html
                      Comment
                      • aceking
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-07-05
                        • 4782

                        #12
                        looks like a draw .

                        zero zero .
                        Comment
                        • INVINCIBLE
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 04-21-09
                          • 212

                          #13
                          On the Under.
                          Comment
                          • tailmypicks
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-09-09
                            • 1005

                            #14
                            why isnt juan albin in the squad
                            Baba-e-qaum ne farmaya, too chal me aya
                            Comment
                            • sportscash
                              Restricted User
                              • 01-16-09
                              • 2894

                              #15
                              draw
                              Comment
                              • psv777ua
                                SBR MVP
                                • 03-17-10
                                • 2837

                                #16
                                total under
                                Comment
                                • Dark Horse
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-14-05
                                  • 13764

                                  #17
                                  France. Far more experience.
                                  Comment
                                  • hustla
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-20-09
                                    • 1235

                                    #18
                                    Uruguay +0.5 or draw
                                    Comment
                                    • iMpega
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 04-26-10
                                      • 189

                                      #19
                                      Draw at HT is my play
                                      Comment
                                      • Pramii
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 12-03-09
                                        • 38

                                        #20
                                        I think it will be a 1:1 after 0:0 at half time.
                                        Comment
                                        • DarkNite
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 10-12-09
                                          • 5023

                                          #21
                                          I will try Draw-Draw (HT-FT) =4.75.
                                          I think these two team will get one point each from this match then go big against SA and Mexico.
                                          Comment
                                          • Jimmy0607
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 04-09-09
                                            • 7785

                                            #22
                                            Uruguay +0.5 and a small play on the ML
                                            Comment
                                            • lakerboy
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 04-02-09
                                              • 94379

                                              #23
                                              France will win this game. Too many people counting them out before it has even started. Lots of people thought they would do nothing last world cup as well but they knocked out Spain and Brazil and should have won the final.
                                              Comment
                                              • nicsbr
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 05-03-10
                                                • 839

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                France will win this game. Too many people counting them out before it has even started. Lots of people thought they would do nothing last world cup as well but they knocked out Spain and Brazil and should have won the final.
                                                Then they had Zidane
                                                Comment
                                                • fuglyboy86hi
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 08-10-09
                                                  • 499

                                                  #25
                                                  uruguay pk, + 0.5 is the play ! BOL
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Socrates
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 02-24-10
                                                    • 923

                                                    #26
                                                    I would play the draw.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Om3n
                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                      • 04-18-10
                                                      • 76

                                                      #27
                                                      draw...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Gandev
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 02-14-10
                                                        • 394

                                                        #28
                                                        Draw + Lay on France to qualify!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-06-06
                                                          • 71662

                                                          #29
                                                          That's my write-up, so you know what I like.


                                                          Banking on France to "turn it on" when the real matches start is very dangerous. Yeah, maybe they do pull something out of their collective asses and win, but they have shown NOTHING in the past 8 months that says they are a safe bet.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • pavyracer
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 04-12-07
                                                            • 82838

                                                            #30
                                                            under is the only play I will consider
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Squirrel
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 06-11-09
                                                              • 1316

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                                              Yeah, maybe they do pull something out of their collective asses and win, but they have shown NOTHING in the past 8 months that says they are a safe bet.
                                                              BINGO

                                                              The only thing thats been noticable about france in the last year is that their coach, Raumond Domenech, is a complete and utter clueless ****wit - he wont have big Zinedine to single handedly bail him out now, the only thing thats stopping me from saying France will not get out of the groups is the fact that SAffers and Mexico are both trash also.

                                                              Cant see them getting past the 2nd stage even if they do advance.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Goat Milk
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 03-24-10
                                                                • 25850

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                                France will win this game. Too many people counting them out before it has even started. Lots of people thought they would do nothing last world cup as well but they knocked out Spain and Brazil and should have won the final.
                                                                France is a completely different squad. Henry isn't the same, Zidane is gone, Vierra.

                                                                ribery and malouda will have way bigger roles this time aroun. d

                                                                i like France to get to the quarters at least though. not sure they'll get further than that.
                                                                Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Shark79
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 11-19-07
                                                                  • 11211

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Call me crazy, but this looks like an OVER play.

                                                                  France and Uruguay have great strikers, so all they need are 1 or 2 chances (each team) to get the ball in the net.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • lakerboy
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 04-02-09
                                                                    • 94379

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by nicsbr
                                                                    Then they had Zidane
                                                                    Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                                                    France is a completely different squad. Henry isn't the same, Zidane is gone, Vierra.

                                                                    ribery and malouda will have way bigger roles this time aroun. d

                                                                    i like France to get to the quarters at least though. not sure they'll get further than that.

                                                                    oh for sure france isnt the same team as in 2006 but uruguay isnt that good imo. they offer some threats up front but i can see france opening them up. these tuneup games mean jack shit so i wouldnt look at the french results from them. france still have world class players that can destroy defences . lets not confuse uruguay as being good. they only won 6 of 18 matches in group qualification or 7 of 19 if you include the playoff.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Karayilan9
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 01-10-09
                                                                      • 3742

                                                                      #35
                                                                      France have changed their system and formation because of Diara being out, any team making such drastic changes before a major competition makes them very unpredictable. Domenech has now put Malouda in the middle even though he has openly said he doesn't play as well and naturally drifts out left anyway. The manager also bought mostly left defensive players, there is congestion on the left, Evra, Ribbery and Malouda have even ran into each other at times. This leaves the centre and right side exposed. Henry is not what he was, a shadow of his former self, lost his pace and his game with it. The team relies on the hope that Gourcouff will be the next Zidane. Anelka is very unpredictable and there is no serious replacement for him. He left Benzema, Nasri, Ben Afra etc etc

                                                                      Uruguay play a 3-5-2, a formation which is hasn't been used much recently, tactically they are better than France as they have a good quality player for each position who has clear instructions and follow them. The strike force is world class but the delivery to them could be a problem, the Perairas on the wings can be dangerous, the team is defensively strong and can cause a deadlock in midfield. It will be interesting to see if Tabares can get his formation to work.

                                                                      Group A and D are the toughest groups, any team from both these groups have a legit chance at making it.
                                                                      Comment
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