Roma always kick off the season right, they have not lost their opening fixture on over a decade. The last 4 head to head meetings between these sides Roma wins 3 and 1 was a draw when Roma rested players for the Europa league last season. Salernitana have only won 2 games away from home last season. They lose here hopefully by 2 or more.
The total here is set too low. Last season Lecce averaged 2.08 gpg & Lazio 2.37 gpg. The last 4 head to head games had scorelines of 2-2, 2-1, 2-4 & 4-2. Form wise 4 of the past 6 for Lecce end over & 5 of the past 6 for Lazio went over.
Last season Salernitana's matches averaged 2.89 goals per game & Udinese averaged 2.50. Form wise 3 of the past 4 games for Salernitana have gone over where as 4 of the past 4 games for Udinese have also gone over. The last head to head game ended in a 3-2 win for the home side. Udinese have a poor away record having won only one game in the past 7 months. Getting a draw no bet at evens or plus money is value.
5. Cagliari +1.25 @ 1.91/-110 (1u) Bet365
The promoted Sardinian side have only lost 2 home games last season. This will be the season opener for Cagliari that will have all the fans out for the visitors Inter Milan. Even though Inter have the talent I expect Cagliari to keep this game close.
This line opened at 1.80/-125 and that is where it should be however Verona started the season with 2 wins where as Sassuolo lost their first two. I'm not buying the hype. The last head to head in Sassuolo they came out on top 2-1. Verona barely survived the drop last season and had to play in a relegation decider. Verona only won 1 away game all last season.
7. Roma/AC Milan OVER 2 @ 1.73/-137 (1u) Pinnacle
Combined last season these teams averaged 2.57 goals per game. The past 13 head to head games ALL had at least 2 goals scored. 5 of the past 6 head to head games went over 2.5. Getting this line at 2 is value.
SBR Top-Rated Sportsbooks
ITALY Serie A Picks
Reply With Quote