Mihaita666's New Thread (soccer and NBA)

[Blue_Chips]

Good job today! Still learning my way around the forum.

[sneakerhead]

Thanks for the pick Mihaita.

[mihaita666]

hope to keep on winning this week

[mihaita666]

there are some matches today, I like Valerenga -1.75 currently

[mihaita666]

so here it is, I am taking it now, cuz I think the odds will drop
Valerenga IF ( -1¾ 1.826) (FG)
to win 5.5% of my bankroll

[Nessie_Alliance]

there are some matches today, I like Valerenga -1.75 currently

My book has Valerenga at -500, I looked up their past 3 home games have had totals of 5-2, 5-2, and 8-1. Do you think it will go over 3.5? I have much more favorable odds at +105

[sneakerhead]

Mihaita, I wanted to ask you something. My book is offering Valerenga at -2 at +101 and -1.5/-2 at -121, what is the difference in the first and second option?

[bdevil]

The line-up of Valerenga has the same players which played till now. They've got one star which has signed with Hannover 96 in Bundesliga, Mostafa Abdellaoue. Still he plays for Valerenga as they announced the squad on their site.

Squad :

1 Lars Hirschfeld, 30 Frode Larsen, 3 Andreas Nordvik, 4 André Muri, 6 Freddy dos Santos, 11 Morten Berre, 14 Bengt Sæternes, 17 Mohammed Fellah, 19 Dawda Leigh, 20 Mostafa Abdellaoue, 21 Luton Shelton, 23 Kristofer Hæstad, 24 Stefan Strandberg, 26 Bojan Zajic, 27 Adnan Haidar, 28 Harmeet Singh, 31 Kristian Brix, 33 Amin Nouri

Lars Hirschfeld has played also for CFR Cluj in Champions League last season. Abdellaoue was rumoured he was heading to Premier League but seems like the Hannover 96 has signed him. The over should hit easily.

[aeschylus]

Mihaita, I wanted to ask you something. My book is offering Valerenga at -2 at +101 and -1.5/-2 at -121, what is the difference in the first and second option?

-2 Valerenga has to win by 3 clear goals for bet to win, if they win by 2 your bet is a push.

-1.5/-2 Valerenga has to win by 2 clear goals for a half victory, 3 clear goals for a full victory.

so if you bet $10 on -1.5/-2 and result was 2-0 you would win half what you would win if the result was 3-0.

[bdevil]

Mihaita, I wanted to ask you something. My book is offering Valerenga at -2 at +101 and -1.5/-2 at -121, what is the difference in the first and second option?

Let's say if Valerenga wins with 2 - 0.

Valerenga at -2 at +101 = your stake is being returned, you need more than a 2 goal difference to win the bet. This is a PUSH.

Valerenga at -1.5/-2 at -121 = you win half of the bet and you're being returned half.

[Northy]

Mihaita, I wanted to ask you something. My book is offering Valerenga at -2 at +101 and -1.5/-2 at -121, what is the difference in the first and second option?

1.5 is asian handicap, that means if valerenga wins the match by 3 or more goals more you will strike. But if they win by 2 goals, half of your bet will be refunded.

[sneakerhead]

Thanks for the response guys

[mihaita666]

sorry, folks, I went to the driving school this morning, to register. Hope I'll get the B license

[Tommy_de1st]

Miha and Devil, any news on Brasov/Unirea match? Unirea seems wrecked but the players who still playing obviously don't wanna lose their games and try to promote themselves

[mihaita666]

brasov wins, imo...they are a good team, Urziceni has never defeated them so far, and in the current situation, Urziceni is like doomed.

[Tommy_de1st]

Look at the previous games between them:

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/romania/romanian-1st-league-2010-2011/mutual.php?idHome=433129&idAway=506061

Look like Under

[mihaita666]

yeah, but it's at 2, not even 2.25 , at betphoenix, I don't like under 2, you only have 3 possible scores 1-0, 0-1 and 0-0

[Tommy_de1st]

I got Under 2.5 @1.5 (-200)

[Ruff]

I have
Aug 23 8033 LIVERPOOL +200 o2½+135 PK+135
3:00 PM 8034 MANCHESTER CITY +125 u2½-165 PK-165
3:00 PM 8035 Draw +215

[Ruff]

U2.5 -165 what do you guys think?

[bdevil]

My advice is to stay away from Brasov - Unirea today. It's a both side game, the odds on Brasov have reached 2.00 from 2.80 since the opening. Seems like everybody is on them. Rising the odds for Unirea will make these players fight to the win as i'm sure they place bets in this situation when they haven't received their money since a long time. Don't know, it's gonna be a hard win for Unirea Urziceni with an under 2.5 or the biggest humiliation of them given by Brasov with at least 3 goals.

[Ruff]

yeah, but it's at 2, not even 2.25 , at betphoenix, I don't like under 2, you only have 3 possible scores 1-0, 0-1 and 0-0

Mihaita what do you think of this play?

[8034] TOTAL u2½-165
(LIVERPOOL vrs MANCHESTER CITY)

825 / 500

[mihaita666]

it is likely to happen, but the odd is very small imo

[mihaita666]

anyone who wants to take the over or valerenga, hurry, cuz the odds are dropping seriously

[Northy]

anyone who wants to take the over or valerenga, hurry, cuz the odds are dropping seriously

i think HT 1 is a good choice too tho. I'll try that

[mihaita666]

yeah, could be, why not ?

[bdevil]

Odds for Brasov now are 1.80. Huge difference since the opening.

[mihaita666]

yeah, I am staying away too

[mihaita666]

I don;t usually do this, but the odds for Valerenga -1.75 have increased suddenly, so I'm adding some dollars on it
Valerenga IF ( -1¾ 1.952) (FG)
to win 5.5% of my bankroll

[Ruff]

I don;t usually do this, but the odds for Valerenga -1.75 have increased suddenly, so I'm adding some dollars on it
Valerenga IF ( -1¾ 1.952) (FG)
to win 5.5% of my bankroll

I played Valerenga -2 +101
5 dimes line

[BetaB]

so you are now playing valerenga -1.75 for 11%?

[DarkNite]

Mihai, if the team is in financial crisis, no salary paid, and some players have been sold, the trainer left, I think Unirea has no chance to win the game, so it's all Brasov to put on the show.
I like Brasov here but the odds down so fast.
Correct me if I am wrong thinking.

[Sanka]

Think I'm gonna tail you on that Valerenga play, not much else to my liking today tbh

[SRBI]

Brasov will win.

[mihaita666]

the lines moved too much, that's why Im not taking Brasov...plus, it might be a fixed draw.
I am playing to win 11%, I am actually risking more than 11%, because the odds are under 2.00