Value Plays

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  • gooner89
    SBR Sharp
    • 02-15-13
    • 259

    #1
    Value Plays
    Bookmakers set up lines based on public opinion, rather than probability and statistics. Lines move based on opinion and wagers on sides. I want to test to see if opinion is removed whether or not statistics can prevail over "false favourites".

    I want to use this as a test thread (strongly urging people NOT to follow any plays on here) and use statistics comparing to the lines offered to see if value plays can be extracted and whether or not they can be profitable.
  • gooner89
    SBR Sharp
    • 02-15-13
    • 259

    #2
    Hull City v Stoke City
    HULL CITY Win
    Odds: 21/10; 3.1; +210.

    Bournemouth v Tottenham
    Under 2.5 Goals
    Odds: 11/10; 2.1; +110.
    Comment
    • gooner89
      SBR Sharp
      • 02-15-13
      • 259

      #3
      Liverpool v West Brom
      Under 2.5 Goals
      Odds: 13/10; 2.3; +130.

      EDIT: Added 'bold' tags around event.
      Comment
      • gooner89
        SBR Sharp
        • 02-15-13
        • 259

        #4
        Originally posted by gooner89
        Hull City v Stoke City
        HULL CITY Win
        Odds: 21/10; 3.1; +210.
        LOSS

        Bournemouth v Tottenham
        Under 2.5 Goals
        Odds: 11/10; 2.1; +110.
        WIN
        Record: 1-1 (+0.1 units)
        Comment
        • gooner89
          SBR Sharp
          • 02-15-13
          • 259

          #5
          Originally posted by gooner89
          Liverpool v West Brom
          Under 2.5 Goals
          Odds: 13/10; 2.3; +130.
          LOSS
          Record: 1-2 (-0.9 units)
          Comment
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