Merkel's soccer

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • andy888888
    SBR MVP
    • 09-27-12
    • 1288

    #36
    Originally posted by Merkel
    It's clear as day they weren't interested in winning, I'm surprised, because of the loss to Basel at home, because Mourinho usually puts in effort in CL, because Chelsea don't have another game till Sunday, because of the way they were efficient against Schalke and Bucharest, but either way, I misjudged and I lost.
    not your fault, especially since nobody can ever understand that mind f*ck who calls himself the special idiot mourinho
    Comment
    • Merkel
      SBR MVP
      • 10-30-13
      • 1473

      #37
      Tough, tough board today, it is so hard to gauge a team's intentions at this stage, everyone is doing the calculations and looking at the calendar. If I wasn't committed to playing 1 pick per day, I might have passed.

      4-2-0 +3.65 units

      Real Madrid-Galatasaray over 3.5 @ +105 staking 2 units.
      Comment
      • Giz
        SBR MVP
        • 11-06-13
        • 1703

        #38
        Goodluck Merkel you know your stuff
        Comment
        • Merkel
          SBR MVP
          • 10-30-13
          • 1473

          #39
          I sure know how to pick 'em: another red card match, actually not sure it didn't help my play, because prior to it, Real seemed flat. Any way, grateful for the win.

          5-2-0 +5.75 units
          Comment
          • Merkel
            SBR MVP
            • 10-30-13
            • 1473

            #40
            RC Genk-Dynamo Kiev over 2.5 @ +100 staking 2 units
            Comment
            • rb3b3
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 10-03-10
              • 962

              #41
              Originally posted by Merkel
              RC Genk-Dynamo Kiev over 2.5 @ +100 staking 2 units
              Good luck merkel!!!! Make that money kid!!!
              Comment
              • BrianKay
                SBR High Roller
                • 10-20-12
                • 203

                #42
                Originally posted by Merkel
                RC Genk-Dynamo Kiev over 2.5 @ +100 staking 2 units
                Jumping on board with you today...I may just put 0.5 units on all the games to go over. Yesterday would have paid my mortgage!!!
                Comment
                • Merkel
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-30-13
                  • 1473

                  #43
                  Originally posted by BrianKay
                  Jumping on board with you today...I may just put 0.5 units on all the games to go over. Yesterday would have paid my mortgage!!!
                  Europa isn't CL bud, overs are not a given today. And I haven't posted plays in a forum for a long time, I'd be a bit careful tailing myself.
                  Comment
                  • Vaughany
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 03-07-10
                    • 45563

                    #44
                    was gonna play the over 1 1st half. Mbokani suspended I assume as he got sent off at Thun
                    Comment
                    • Merkel
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-30-13
                      • 1473

                      #45
                      Yeah, he's suspended.
                      Comment
                      • SharkAA
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-10-13
                        • 2005

                        #46
                        Tavares out for Rubin-Maribor game and Rondon on the bench. This could end very bad for Maribor. Now Rubin (-1) even (-1.5) has much more value.
                        Comment
                        • Merkel
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-30-13
                          • 1473

                          #47
                          Wish they all came in like that. Actually somewhat surprised at Kiev's defense, I had them to win this game comfortably, but either way, grateful with a 1st half over.

                          6-2-0 +7.75 units.
                          Comment
                          • onemoregoal
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 02-04-13
                            • 8149

                            #48
                            easy money.... im on Kiev to score 2, should have just followed you it was only slightly less odds.
                            random score though lol.
                            Comment
                            • Merkel
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-30-13
                              • 1473

                              #49
                              Originally posted by rb3b3
                              Good luck merkel!!!! Make that money kid!!!
                              I guarantee I'm old enough to be your father.
                              Comment
                              • Merkel
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-30-13
                                • 1473

                                #50
                                Ok, this is not my most confident pick, but I wanted to take an early game I like, so that if it goes sour, I can play one more from the later batch.

                                Vestsjaelland-Midtjylland over 2.5 @ -110 staking 2 units.
                                Comment
                                • rankslash
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 07-29-13
                                  • 1562

                                  #51
                                  Any ideas for tonight?
                                  Comment
                                  • Merkel
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-30-13
                                    • 1473

                                    #52
                                    Listen friend, I don't want to be rude, but I just can't give my thoughts on every game when people ask, I don't have the time and it's not why I'm here, I just want to post a max of 2 games a day and see how it goes. I'm sure you understand. Because you're the first one to ask, I did like Villareal-1 AH and Wolfsburg game over 3. Good luck with all your plays.
                                    Comment
                                    • Merkel
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-30-13
                                      • 1473

                                      #53
                                      Frustrating loss, 8' min goal and the nothing, Vests could just not break through and capitalize on corners given, in hindsight I should have known, the line was a bit too good @ -110 and never moved all day. Torn for my back up play, like Villareal-1 but too much juice, like Glenavon 1st half over 1.5, but didn't have enough time to look at that match, gonna stick with the Germans.

                                      6-3-0 +5.75 units

                                      Wolfsburg-Hamburg over 3 @ +120 staking 2 units.
                                      Comment
                                      • Merkel
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-30-13
                                        • 1473

                                        #54
                                        Another 1-1 result between Wolfs and Hamburg, Hamburg goalie made 8 saves. Not my day I guess.

                                        6-4-0 +3.75 units.
                                        Comment
                                        • Vaughany
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 03-07-10
                                          • 45563

                                          #55
                                          dude that was ridiculous - Hamburg should of scored at least 2, maybe 3 or 4 in final 20 mins! was absolute domination! Wolfsburg didnt even mount an attack from when I started watching at 65-70min mark. Illicevic hit crossbar, Calhanoglu, Lasogga and Arslan all had good chances! really bad luck, I considered under 3 this morning as Diego and Van der Vaart werent involved, but I'd of been shiittting it! Very impressed by Hamburg, I really thought they'd struggle without van der Vaart
                                          Comment
                                          • Merkel
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 10-30-13
                                            • 1473

                                            #56
                                            New Dutch coach has done well in no time, Lasogga can stand in for Van der Vaart as well, I thought they even deserved 1 or 2 pk's, but that's how it goes sometime, too bad it was on my final play of the day.
                                            Comment
                                            • Merkel
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-30-13
                                              • 1473

                                              #57
                                              6-4-0 +3.75

                                              Can't see Arsenal not winning this one, willing to take the risk that they won't cover for the win.

                                              Arsenal-1 AH @ +110 staking 3 units
                                              Comment
                                              • Merkel
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-30-13
                                                • 1473

                                                #58
                                                Made me sweat for it a bit, to be honest, to not convert again against a team like Cardiff until the 86th minute..... Almost took Ramsey to score @ +200 instead of the -1 hc, wish I had, but grateful for the win regardless.

                                                7-4-0 +7.05 units.
                                                Comment
                                                • onemoregoal
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 02-04-13
                                                  • 8149

                                                  #59
                                                  easy money, congrats..
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Merkel
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-30-13
                                                    • 1473

                                                    #60
                                                    No matter how I look at it, with our without Sturridge, public play or not, I can't see Hull not losing here, the asian hc should at least make for a push.

                                                    Liverpool-1 AH @ +101 staking 3 units.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Merkel
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-30-13
                                                      • 1473

                                                      #61
                                                      Well, I'm quite speechless, Liverpool, with no other commitments but the league, not only doesn't win, but allows Hull to score 3 times. I would almost start to believe in bookie fixes, nothing imo pointed to anything other than a Pool win. I even decided against the over, because I had this as a 0-2, 0-3 type game. Shocked.

                                                      7-5-0 +4.05
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Merkel
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-30-13
                                                        • 1473

                                                        #62
                                                        Torn for my last play between Yaya Toure to score @ +188 or B. Monchengladbach over 3 @ +105, decided to take the "safer" one.

                                                        B. Monchengladbach-Freiburg over 3 @ +105 staking 3 units.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Merkel
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-30-13
                                                          • 1473

                                                          #63
                                                          A very poor showing from me today, second guessed my picks to death. Hoping for better results in the new week.

                                                          7-6-0 +1.05 units
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Vaughany
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 03-07-10
                                                            • 45563

                                                            #64
                                                            Bad luck, will have been nowhere near as bad as my wknd! Lost 6 weeks worth of profits this wknd. Back to the drawing board
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Giz
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-06-13
                                                              • 1703

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by Merkel
                                                              I would almost start to believe in bookie fixes, nothing imo pointed to anything other than a Pool win
                                                              utter rubbish, premier league being fixed? biggest tosh ive heard on here not only is it impossible but ur not giving hull the credit they deserve, liverpool away to hull was not a sure win by any standards
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Merkel
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 10-30-13
                                                                • 1473

                                                                #66
                                                                What's the matter Giz? A few posts above I knew my stuff, and now it's utter rubbish?
                                                                First off, I didn't say EPL was fixed, I said this result ALMOSt made me believe so.
                                                                Secondly, I never took credit away from Hull or said they didn't deserve the win.
                                                                Third, nothing is a sure thing in betting, as jhh again found out today.

                                                                Now, since you are intent on schooling me on the play I lost, let's look at it.
                                                                Second place Pool were playing middle of the pack Hull. Pool were fresh, no European commitments, Suarez has been hot since serving his suspension. Hull couldn't even score against 10 men Palace, and they had like 3 shots on target the whole game. Actually, prior to today, Hull had only scored 4 (!) goals at home in 6 games, they just about doubled that today, and imo Mignolet is a top goalie. Pool had only lost 1 away game prior to today in 10 matches, and that was against Arsenal, yeah, they haven't been perfect on the road, but they weren't losing either. Hull is where it is, thanks to it's hard work and defensive displays, with Liverpool sure to dominate possession (as they did, 62% for the game), it was widely expected that Hull would play tight, and Pool would eventually break through and the most common projected scoreline was 0-2. Other than friendlies, Hull has never beaten Pool in 16 (!) attempts, and nothing pointed to that happening today. Now I didn't like Rodgers pairing Moses and Sterling, and I hated seeing Coutinho and Aspas on the bench, it still doesn't explain this result to me. Good for Hull, they were amazingly efficient with a conversion rate of 23% as opposed to Pool's 11%, it's still a shocking upset.
                                                                I never said Pool was going to murder them, had I thought so I would have played the over @ -110, I anticipated a tight, low scoring game. Now, the only argument I read anywhere pre kick off in favor of Hull was that Pool was a heavily bet "public play", as I'm sure was City and Chelsea. They came through, Pool didn't and I lost what I thought was a safe handicap @ -1. Suarez had 5 shots and came up empty.

                                                                You want to tell me you gave Hull a shot at winning today, you would have had to post it before the game. Next time you call my plays rubbish, you're going on the ignore list for good, chimp.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Merkel
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-30-13
                                                                  • 1473

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally posted by Vaughany
                                                                  Bad luck, will have been nowhere near as bad as my wknd! Lost 6 weeks worth of profits this wknd. Back to the drawing board
                                                                  Sorry to hear that Vaugh, you'll get it back, you're one of the few guys with demonstrated knowledge of the sport on this site and you keep an accurate record. Cheers Guv.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Merkel
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-30-13
                                                                    • 1473

                                                                    #68
                                                                    7-6-0 +1.05 units

                                                                    Not sure if the one-a-day play with one backup is working for me, yesterday I kept second guessing my first play, and it kinda did me in. Maybe should change to 2 with 1 backup, will stick with this for a few more days and see how it goes.

                                                                    FK Rostov-CSKA Moskva both teams to score @ -105 staking 3 units.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • yatescutler
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 11-13-13
                                                                      • 100

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by Merkel

                                                                      Not sure if the one-a-day play with one backup is working for me, yesterday I kept second guessing my first play, and it kinda did me in. Maybe should change to 2 with 1 backup, will stick with this for a few more days and see how it goes.
                                                                      don't force yourself to place one/two bets a day, if there isn't a good line, then simple don't bet.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Merkel
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 10-30-13
                                                                        • 1473

                                                                        #70
                                                                        I can pretty much always find a game or an angle to take, problem with this experiment is that I put a lot of pressure on myself trying to find the one play, maybe if I had two, I would stop over analyzing things.
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...