Italy vs Spain

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  • StackinGreen
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-09-10
    • 12140

    #1
    Italy vs Spain
    I see this game as Spain 2, Italy 0

    The total has dropped to 2.5, something tells me it is going to be an attacking Spain with a saddled Italy in the back third, waiting for counters, which probably won't happen.

    I noticed the spread -1 showed -155 while the alternate -1.5 line is now +140.

    Interesting. I scored on Uruguay +1.5 yesterday with most of you guys.

    Best of luck
  • infamousbacardi
    SBR MVP
    • 03-16-08
    • 4556

    #2
    Originally posted by StackinGreen
    I see this game as Spain 2, Italy 0

    The total has dropped to 2.5, something tells me it is going to be an attacking Spain with a saddled Italy in the back third, waiting for counters, which probably won't happen.

    I noticed the spread -1 showed -155 while the alternate -1.5 line is now +140.

    Interesting. I scored on Uruguay +1.5 yesterday with most of you guys.

    Best of luck
    No Balotelli means Italy's attack will suffer even more. Going to be tough for them to score vs. Spain....although, them grabbing a fluke goal isn't out of question as Spain has a tendency to get a little sloppy at the back, as we saw vs. Nigeria as Nigeria should have certainly scored at least one goal.
    Comment
    • StackinGreen
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-09-10
      • 12140

      #3
      Originally posted by infamousbacardi
      No Balotelli means Italy's attack will suffer even more. Going to be tough for them to score vs. Spain....although, them grabbing a fluke goal isn't out of question as Spain has a tendency to get a little sloppy at the back, as we saw vs. Nigeria as Nigeria should have certainly scored at least one goal.
      The question for me is giving the 1.5 for that new, nice price of +140. Italy is, as always, overrated. Now they don't have Balotelli. They gave up 3 to Japan. I just see constant pressure by Spain, and although I could see a 1 goal differential, I think the price is worth it because I could see Spain scoring up to 3 goals pretty easy.

      I also like fading the public here, I have no idea what that big movement was all about. I think on my line it was Italy +620 now down to +500

      I still say Spain -1.5 and I like the under, but I like Spain by 2 more ...

      Best of luck guys
      Comment
      • olemissbydamn
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 09-27-12
        • 838

        #4
        Originally posted by StackinGreen
        The question for me is giving the 1.5 for that new, nice price of +140. Italy is, as always, overrated. Now they don't have Balotelli. They gave up 3 to Japan. I just see constant pressure by Spain, and although I could see a 1 goal differential, I think the price is worth it because I could see Spain scoring up to 3 goals pretty easy.

        I also like fading the public here, I have no idea what that big movement was all about. I think on my line it was Italy +620 now down to +500

        I still say Spain -1.5 and I like the under, but I like Spain by 2 more ...

        Best of luck guys
        I'm starting to learn Spain -1.5 also, but not sure yet.
        Comment
        • StackinGreen
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-09-10
          • 12140

          #5
          If we're that confident that we think Spain can win by 2 or more, maybe we should juice the money line as well and take it all down in the case of a late goal that makes it 2-1 or something. Others have -190 but I'm still at -240 ... hefty, but my -1.5 just went up to +150
          Comment
          • olemissbydamn
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 09-27-12
            • 838

            #6
            Mine is +114 not even that great of a value wish it would go up to +150
            Comment
            • olemissbydamn
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 09-27-12
              • 838

              #7
              I mean holy shit France's U20 back line was at midfield, I was yelling for them to put one through and let Jese chase it. Lo and behold they did and now 2 - nil. Great stuff going on here.
              Comment
              • Tmuston Beltics
                SBR MVP
                • 01-14-13
                • 1253

                #8
                Spain -1 @ -113 let's go
                Comment
                • i97g
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 07-08-11
                  • 282

                  #9
                  Originally posted by olemissbydamn
                  I'm starting to learn Spain -1.5 also, but not sure yet.
                  Taking Spain -2.5 +375
                  Comment
                  • vasilli07
                    SBR MVP
                    • 05-08-11
                    • 3955

                    #10
                    Italy lining up a 3-4-2-1 formation, the same formation that got a draw in the 1st game of the last Euros.
                    Comment
                    • drfunkmaster
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 11-29-08
                      • 11162

                      #11
                      it seems italy has come to win...
                      Comment
                      • vasilli07
                        SBR MVP
                        • 05-08-11
                        • 3955

                        #12
                        Italy playing well so far, came closest to scoring with a half chance by Gilardino
                        Comment
                        • vasilli07
                          SBR MVP
                          • 05-08-11
                          • 3955

                          #13
                          Another chance for Italy. Leaning to making a play on Italy pk.
                          Comment
                          • vasilli07
                            SBR MVP
                            • 05-08-11
                            • 3955

                            #14
                            Just live bet on Italy pk @ 3.75.
                            Comment
                            • drfunkmaster
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 11-29-08
                              • 11162

                              #15
                              Spain's defense is suspect here. Spain freaking will lose this game, too many chances italy had already. One will get by. Spain is not prepared for this game at all. everytime Italy gets the ball they drive it down. anyone else see this or is it just me.
                              Comment
                              • drfunkmaster
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 11-29-08
                                • 11162

                                #16
                                penetrating 5dimes has no live betting... unreal
                                Comment
                                • vasilli07
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 05-08-11
                                  • 3955

                                  #17
                                  Italian defence really good, closing down fast and not allowing Spain to play tiki-taka.
                                  Comment
                                  • olemissbydamn
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 09-27-12
                                    • 838

                                    #18
                                    Spain looks like shit so far
                                    Comment
                                    • vasilli07
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 05-08-11
                                      • 3955

                                      #19
                                      Italy missed the best chance of the game so far.
                                      Comment
                                      • olemissbydamn
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 09-27-12
                                        • 838

                                        #20
                                        Not getting too many better chances than the one Spain just blew
                                        Comment
                                        • vasilli07
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 05-08-11
                                          • 3955

                                          #21
                                          Torres misses for Spain.
                                          Comment
                                          • drfunkmaster
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 11-29-08
                                            • 11162

                                            #22
                                            this explains why the line went to -186
                                            Comment
                                            • vasilli07
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 05-08-11
                                              • 3955

                                              #23
                                              Spain with 2 shots but none on target while Italy with 9 shots 4 on target.
                                              Comment
                                              • NavsPicks
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-16-12
                                                • 3344

                                                #24
                                                penetrate TORRES
                                                Comment
                                                • StackinGreen
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 10-09-10
                                                  • 12140

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by vasilli07
                                                  Spain with 2 shots but none on target while Italy with 9 shots 4 on target.
                                                  The question is whether it's death sentence for Italy NOT to be ahead at this time. I'm thinking it is. Maybe a hedge and say over 1.5 in the 2nd half since we need 2 from Spain anyway AND it could go to OT tied 1-1?

                                                  Over 1.5 is +120

                                                  I still say Spain wins 2-0, sticking with my original prediction.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • StackinGreen
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 10-09-10
                                                    • 12140

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by NavsPicks
                                                    penetrate TORRES
                                                    Fernando has been average for over 3 years now.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • olemissbydamn
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 09-27-12
                                                      • 838

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by StackinGreen
                                                      The question is whether it's death sentence for Italy NOT to be ahead at this time. I'm thinking it is. Maybe a hedge and say over 1.5 in the 2nd half since we need 2 from Spain anyway AND it could go to OT tied 1-1?

                                                      Over 1.5 is +120

                                                      I still say Spain wins 2-0, sticking with my original prediction.
                                                      I agree with your prediction. Italy attacked more than usual in the first half, not sitting back and just defending (got help from Spain playing sloppy, too), and I think they will come out more tired than normal. In accordance with this, I took Spain -.5 2H -120 for the same amount of my original -1.5 in case they only win by one (hedge).
                                                      Comment
                                                      • drfunkmaster
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 11-29-08
                                                        • 11162

                                                        #28
                                                        i Have never won my last bet on a parlay.. 0/30 at least.... i knew the outcome of this game. Its either a draw or italy win. SPAIN IS NOT WINNING THIS GAME!!! i promise you this. I am an idoit thinking this curse was gonna end today. Shit italy getting shots on goal. Spain cant hit the goal. heck Italy does not even need a goaltender even... no need for one when spain cant shoot.

                                                        Pending 2 Team Parlay
                                                        Win 6/26/13 3:00pm International Soccer 2 Brazil (Confed-Cup) -255* vs Uruguay (Confed-Cup)
                                                        Pending 6/27/13 3:00pm International Soccer 52 Spain (Confed-Cup) -244* vs Italy (Confed-Cup)
                                                        Comment
                                                        • StackinGreen
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 10-09-10
                                                          • 12140

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by olemissbydamn
                                                          I agree with your prediction. Italy attacked more than usual in the first half, not sitting back and just defending (got help from Spain playing sloppy, too), and I think they will come out more tired than normal. In accordance with this, I took Spain -.5 2H -120 for the same amount of my original -1.5 in case they only win by one (hedge).
                                                          Yes, a hedge we can win both on. Smart play. I took the -0.5 (-110) at the half as well because while I was mulling over the 2H total (1.5), it moved to +105 from +120 and I said, "Spain is going to win this game, just stick with your guns"

                                                          Let's do this
                                                          Comment
                                                          • StackinGreen
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 10-09-10
                                                            • 12140

                                                            #30
                                                            Classic and obvious: Iniesta must attack. Torres must be benched. Fernando has some savvy, but del Bosque's experiment has failed and he should realize it. Torres had that shot he had to convert, and he won't get another. Just not quick enough anymore.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • NavsPicks
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-16-12
                                                              • 3344

                                                              #31
                                                              1-1 goes to OT?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • StackinGreen
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 10-09-10
                                                                • 12140

                                                                #32
                                                                Yes, extra time then PKs
                                                                Comment
                                                                • drfunkmaster
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 11-29-08
                                                                  • 11162

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by NavsPicks
                                                                  1-1 goes to OT?
                                                                  Fat chance ...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • StackinGreen
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 10-09-10
                                                                    • 12140

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Also, I'm rooting for Spain, but did you just see that short corner? Just stupid. You go from Pirlo corner to losing the ball entirely without a cross or even hope to score.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • StackinGreen
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 10-09-10
                                                                      • 12140

                                                                      #35
                                                                      I say Spain gets 1 by 73' and then we sweat a bit ...
                                                                      Comment
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