Everyone wants to rant and rave about fixed matches on here, but they missed this one

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  • TheSportsAnalyst
    SBR MVP
    • 09-12-11
    • 1156

    #1331
    Of course we've to consider that Bet365, the bookie which was responsible for the first line adjustment opened with Partizan at 10.00 available for no more than 55€.
    Comment
    • mishel2512
      SBR Sharp
      • 11-24-13
      • 381

      #1332
      Maybe it is fixed for tie odd 10
      Worth a shot i don't know..
      Comment
      • tipsadontlikehim
        SBR MVP
        • 11-14-13
        • 2569

        #1333
        Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim
        Pribram U21 - Hradec Kralove U21

        OVER 2.5 goals
        went from 2.50 to 1.85 on most books!
        Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim
        Dukla Prague U21 - Mlada Boleslav U21
        1 or draw
        went from 2.10 to 1.62 on Bet365
        sorry guys for these 2, wrong spot!
        Comment
        • amtopm
          SBR High Roller
          • 03-20-14
          • 169

          #1334
          No worries, next time!
          Comment
          • WinningBettor
            SBR Rookie
            • 03-24-14
            • 1

            #1335
            Really cool thread and enjoying the tips so far. One to look out for is Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers, few rumours around the North West of England that a few Fleetwood players have large gambling debts to some unsavoury characters. If there is a lot of money coming in on Bristol Rovers in the next few days could be worth a DNB play.

            Keep an eye out
            Comment
            • AussiePunter123
              SBR MVP
              • 12-29-13
              • 1473

              #1336
              Looks like a fix in the Egypt game.

              1-1. Team 1 is 4.00 and Team 2 is 5.00

              draw is 1.61 (bet 365)
              Comment
              • AussiePunter123
                SBR MVP
                • 12-29-13
                • 1473

                #1337
                Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim
                sorry guys for these 2, wrong spot!
                Dont worry about it. Go all in on the egypt game. Unbelievable live odds with 25 mins to go.
                Comment
                • AussiePunter123
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-29-13
                  • 1473

                  #1338


                  The odds for the draw (implied chance) El Ettehad (home team)
                  Comment
                  • tipsadontlikehim
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-14-13
                    • 2569

                    #1339
                    which teams ?
                    Comment
                    • amtopm
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 03-20-14
                      • 169

                      #1340
                      what am i going for in the egypt game
                      Comment
                      • onemoregoal
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 02-04-13
                        • 8149

                        #1341
                        Originally posted by AussiePunter123
                        Looks like a fix in the Egypt game.

                        1-1. Team 1 is 4.00 and Team 2 is 5.00

                        draw is 1.61 (bet 365)
                        thats because egypt is very low scoring.
                        both games pre match, it was over 1.5 goals @ 1.85........ so those odds will follow through the same pattern (roughly), in play.
                        Comment
                        • onemoregoal
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 02-04-13
                          • 8149

                          #1342
                          Originally posted by WinningBettor
                          Really cool thread and enjoying the tips so far. One to look out for is Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers, few rumours around the North West of England that a few Fleetwood players have large gambling debts to some unsavoury characters. If there is a lot of money coming in on Bristol Rovers in the next few days could be worth a DNB play.

                          Keep an eye out

                          now this is interesting.
                          Comment
                          • AussiePunter123
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-29-13
                            • 1473

                            #1343
                            lol, that guy going all in in the graph above might be gaze haha
                            Comment
                            • AussiePunter123
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-29-13
                              • 1473

                              #1344
                              Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim
                              which teams ?
                              draw
                              Comment
                              • AussiePunter123
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-29-13
                                • 1473

                                #1345
                                Originally posted by onemoregoal
                                thats because egypt is very low scoring.
                                both games pre match, it was over 1.5 goals @ 1.85........ so those odds will follow through the same pattern (roughly), in play.
                                Low scoring or not, odds are conclusive that this match is fixed.
                                Comment
                                • AussiePunter123
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-29-13
                                  • 1473

                                  #1346
                                  Originally posted by onemoregoal
                                  now this is interesting.
                                  Unverified innuendo is 'interesting' yet a 1-1 match with the home and away team at 4 dollars and 5 dollars respectively with 25 mins to go is just due to 'low scoring league'?
                                  Comment
                                  • onemoregoal
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 02-04-13
                                    • 8149

                                    #1347
                                    Originally posted by AussiePunter123
                                    Low scoring or not, odds are conclusive that this match is fixed.


                                    ok man, i really tried to help you - its ok.
                                    anyone with half a brain would understand that if its over 1.5 goals @ 1.85 pre game, then with 25 mins to go - draw (which also covers 2-2) is very normal at 1.61.
                                    good luck
                                    Comment
                                    • AussiePunter123
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-29-13
                                      • 1473

                                      #1348
                                      Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim
                                      which teams ?
                                      El ettehad v arab contractors.
                                      Comment
                                      • mishel2512
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 11-24-13
                                        • 381

                                        #1349
                                        Originally posted by AussiePunter123
                                        Looks like a fix in the Egypt game.

                                        1-1. Team 1 is 4.00 and Team 2 is 5.00

                                        draw is 1.61 (bet 365)
                                        What egypt game?
                                        Comment
                                        • onemoregoal
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 02-04-13
                                          • 8149

                                          #1350
                                          both egypt games, have draw at similar odds. its because both pre game overs were similar priced..............
                                          Comment
                                          • tipsadontlikehim
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-14-13
                                            • 2569

                                            #1351
                                            Partizan Belgrad (Srb) - Presov (Svk)

                                            that one is a very nice spot IMO thanks
                                            curious to see this!
                                            Comment
                                            • AussiePunter123
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-29-13
                                              • 1473

                                              #1352
                                              Originally posted by onemoregoal

                                              ok man, i really tried to help you - its ok.
                                              anyone with half a brain would understand that if its over 1.5 goals @ 1.85 pre game, then with 25 mins to go - draw (which also covers 2-2) is very normal at 1.61.
                                              good luck
                                              I am acknowledging what you are saying, but the odds for each team should be around 2.10, with the draw at 1.50 with 25 mins to go. Not at 4 and 5 dollars.
                                              Comment
                                              • mishel2512
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 11-24-13
                                                • 381

                                                #1353
                                                Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim
                                                Partizan Belgrad (Srb) - Presov (Svk)


                                                that one is a very nice spot IMO thanks
                                                curious to see this!
                                                Yeah me too...i really want to see what will happen i don't know what to play here..I don't trust Partizan but if this is fixed then we should play it really don't know
                                                Comment
                                                • AussiePunter123
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-29-13
                                                  • 1473

                                                  #1354

                                                  El ettehad and arab contractors. Draw odds.


                                                  El Ettehad El Sakandary - Arab Contractors

                                                  Comment
                                                  • onemoregoal
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 02-04-13
                                                    • 8149

                                                    #1355
                                                    Originally posted by AussiePunter123
                                                    I am acknowledging what you are saying, but the odds for each team should be around 2.10, with the draw at 1.50 with 25 mins to go. Not at 4 and 5 dollars.

                                                    with 25 mins to go, the odds for an egypt game should be this, huh?
                                                    2.10 1.50 2.10??????
                                                    come on man, even you are better than this.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • TheSportsAnalyst
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-12-11
                                                      • 1156

                                                      #1356
                                                      Come on AP!

                                                      2.10 - 1.50 - 2.10 instead of 4.00 - 1.61 - 5.00?

                                                      That would be a 161% overround. I this a joke?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • AussiePunter123
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-29-13
                                                        • 1473

                                                        #1357
                                                        A couple of leans for you guys if you want.

                                                        Cartagena v Jaguares (Columbia)

                                                        This game has been suspended on betfair.
                                                        Cartagena has won 1 out of the last 5 games against Jaguares (with the 1 win at home) with 2 draws and 2 losses.
                                                        Some decent odd movement towards Cartagena, but I can't back them with 1 win out of 5. Perhaps a DNB for those feeling lucky?

                                                        Lean 1: Back Cartagena DNB (1.50)

                                                        Lean 2: Over 2.5 goals @ $2.00 (bet 365).


                                                        4 out of the 5 games have cleared the 2.5 goal line, including the last 3 between these clubs.

                                                        These are not based on any clear line movements or money on betfair, so they won't count towards my record.

                                                        These are just leans for those looking to pass the time. Personally, i think lean 2 is great value.

                                                        BOL to all and sex to all.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • AussiePunter123
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-29-13
                                                          • 1473

                                                          #1358
                                                          Originally posted by AussiePunter123
                                                          Updated record after missing out on the over 2.5 China game. We will get htem next time/.
                                                          Updated Record since 19th March.

                                                          11 wins
                                                          3 losses
                                                          4 pushes

                                                          +6.13 units
                                                          Last edited by AussiePunter123; 03-24-14, 10:31 AM. Reason: Adding date.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • AussiePunter123
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-29-13
                                                            • 1473

                                                            #1359
                                                            Originally posted by TheSportsAnalyst
                                                            Come on AP!

                                                            2.10 - 1.50 - 2.10 instead of 4.00 - 1.61 - 5.00?

                                                            That would be a 161% overround. I this a joke?
                                                            So you don't think the odds were suspect at all?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • TheSportsAnalyst
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 09-12-11
                                                              • 1156

                                                              #1360
                                                              Originally posted by AussiePunter123
                                                              So you don't think the odds were suspect at all?
                                                              Are you kidding or are you serious?
                                                              Have u ever followed odds movement on a live game?
                                                              If you're on a draw situation with less than a third left to play it's obvious that the draw is the most logical result.
                                                              It was offered at 1.61, not 1.20 though. That would have been suspicious.
                                                              Plus it was Egypt, a league where draws are very likely.

                                                              But with your statement about a 2.10 - 1.50 - 2.10 book it's pretty obvious you don't even know how a bookie works.
                                                              No offense of course, just facts.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • pellumb341
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-25-11
                                                                • 1183

                                                                #1361
                                                                Draw 1.61 at 65th minute is quite normal for that egyptian match... since under 2,5 at 65th mark is 1.80 , then of course draw should be smth like 1.60 - 1.65 ...why should be under 2,5 (1-1 current result) at 1,80 ?? cause under 1,5 pre match was @ 1,90.. You have to trust me , i follow too much in play odd movements.

                                                                For example , what is the price of draw at Real Madrid - Osasuna at 80th minute if game is still tied ? It is smth like 2,40 ... but according to you it is fixed cause it should be 1.70..Different matches have different prices on the same mark ...it depends on teams/leagues.
                                                                Last edited by pellumb341; 03-24-14, 10:08 AM.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • amtopm
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 03-20-14
                                                                  • 169

                                                                  #1362
                                                                  can anyone recommend me a book / article on how to read lines an whats unusual & what not
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • tipsadontlikehim
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-14-13
                                                                    • 2569

                                                                    #1363
                                                                    Originally posted by mishel2512
                                                                    Yeah me too...i really want to see what will happen i don't know what to play here..I don't trust Partizan but if this is fixed then we should play it really don't know
                                                                    i didn't notice but it is not soccer it is handball, hence the Draw @10
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • AussiePunter123
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 12-29-13
                                                                      • 1473

                                                                      #1364
                                                                      Originally posted by TheSportsAnalyst
                                                                      Are you kidding or are you serious?
                                                                      Have u ever followed odds movement on a live game?
                                                                      If you're on a draw situation with less than a third left to play it's obvious that the draw is the most logical result.
                                                                      It was offered at 1.61, not 1.20 though. That would have been suspicious.
                                                                      Plus it was Egypt, a league where draws are very likely.

                                                                      But with your statement about a 2.10 - 1.50 - 2.10 book it's pretty obvious you don't even know how a bookie works.
                                                                      No offense of course, just facts.
                                                                      No offence taken. We all learn in here. We are all here to make money and get laid.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Unsteeled101
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 10-05-12
                                                                        • 395

                                                                        #1365
                                                                        Scotland U17 - Bosnia & Herzegovina U17 dropping 22% for home team. Already bet mine. Good luck
                                                                        Comment
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