Everyone wants to rant and rave about fixed matches on here, but they missed this one

**TheSportsAnalyst** · 03-24-14, 09:06 AM

Of course we've to consider that Bet365, the bookie which was responsible for the first line adjustment opened with Partizan at 10.00 available for no more than 55€.

**mishel2512** · 03-24-14, 09:11 AM

Maybe it is fixed for tie odd 10

Worth a shot i don't know..

**tipsadontlikehim** · 03-24-14, 09:18 AM

Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim

Pribram U21 - Hradec Kralove U21

OVER 2.5 goals went from 2.50 to 1.85 on most books!

Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim

Dukla Prague U21 - Mlada Boleslav U21
1 or draw went from 2.10 to 1.62 on Bet365

sorry guys for these 2, wrong spot!

**amtopm** · 03-24-14, 09:19 AM

No worries, next time!

**WinningBettor** · 03-24-14, 09:23 AM

Really cool thread and enjoying the tips so far. One to look out for is Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers, few rumours around the North West of England that a few Fleetwood players have large gambling debts to some unsavoury characters. If there is a lot of money coming in on Bristol Rovers in the next few days could be worth a DNB play.

Keep an eye out

**AussiePunter123** · 03-24-14, 09:23 AM

Looks like a fix in the Egypt game.

1-1. Team 1 is 4.00 and Team 2 is 5.00

draw is 1.61 (bet 365)

**AussiePunter123** · 03-24-14, 09:24 AM

Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim

sorry guys for these 2, wrong spot!

Dont worry about it. Go all in on the egypt game. Unbelievable live odds with 25 mins to go.

**AussiePunter123** · 03-24-14, 09:28 AM

The odds for the draw (implied chance) El Ettehad (home team)

**tipsadontlikehim** · 03-24-14, 09:28 AM

which teams ?

**amtopm** · 03-24-14, 09:29 AM

what am i going for in the egypt game

**onemoregoal** · 03-24-14, 09:29 AM

Originally posted by AussiePunter123

Looks like a fix in the Egypt game.

1-1. Team 1 is 4.00 and Team 2 is 5.00

draw is 1.61 (bet 365)

thats because egypt is very low scoring.
both games pre match, it was over 1.5 goals @ 1.85........ so those odds will follow through the same pattern (roughly), in play.

**onemoregoal** · 03-24-14, 09:29 AM

Originally posted by WinningBettor

Really cool thread and enjoying the tips so far. One to look out for is Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers, few rumours around the North West of England that a few Fleetwood players have large gambling debts to some unsavoury characters. If there is a lot of money coming in on Bristol Rovers in the next few days could be worth a DNB play.

Keep an eye out

now this is interesting.

**AussiePunter123** · 03-24-14, 09:30 AM

lol, that guy going all in in the graph above might be gaze haha

**AussiePunter123** · 03-24-14, 09:30 AM

Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim

which teams ?

draw

**AussiePunter123** · 03-24-14, 09:31 AM

Originally posted by onemoregoal

thats because egypt is very low scoring.
both games pre match, it was over 1.5 goals @ 1.85........ so those odds will follow through the same pattern (roughly), in play.

Low scoring or not, odds are conclusive that this match is fixed.

**AussiePunter123** · 03-24-14, 09:32 AM

Originally posted by onemoregoal

now this is interesting.

Unverified innuendo is 'interesting' yet a 1-1 match with the home and away team at 4 dollars and 5 dollars respectively with 25 mins to go is just due to 'low scoring league'?

**onemoregoal** · 03-24-14, 09:32 AM

Originally posted by AussiePunter123

Low scoring or not, odds are conclusive that this match is fixed.

ok man, i really tried to help you - its ok.
anyone with half a brain would understand that if its over 1.5 goals @ 1.85 pre game, then with 25 mins to go - draw (which also covers 2-2) is very normal at 1.61.
good luck

**AussiePunter123** · 03-24-14, 09:33 AM

Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim

which teams ?

El ettehad v arab contractors.

**mishel2512** · 03-24-14, 09:33 AM

Originally posted by AussiePunter123

Looks like a fix in the Egypt game.

1-1. Team 1 is 4.00 and Team 2 is 5.00

draw is 1.61 (bet 365)

What egypt game?

**onemoregoal** · 03-24-14, 09:35 AM

both egypt games, have draw at similar odds. its because both pre game overs were similar priced..............

**tipsadontlikehim** · 03-24-14, 09:35 AM

Partizan Belgrad (Srb) - Presov (Svk)

that one is a very nice spot IMO thanks
curious to see this!

**AussiePunter123** · 03-24-14, 09:36 AM

Originally posted by onemoregoal

ok man, i really tried to help you - its ok.
anyone with half a brain would understand that if its over 1.5 goals @ 1.85 pre game, then with 25 mins to go - draw (which also covers 2-2) is very normal at 1.61.
good luck

I am acknowledging what you are saying, but the odds for each team should be around 2.10, with the draw at 1.50 with 25 mins to go. Not at 4 and 5 dollars.

**mishel2512** · 03-24-14, 09:37 AM

Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim

Partizan Belgrad (Srb) - Presov (Svk)

that one is a very nice spot IMO thanks
curious to see this!

Yeah me too...i really want to see what will happen i don't know what to play here..I don't trust Partizan but if this is fixed then we should play it really don't know

**AussiePunter123** · 03-24-14, 09:37 AM

El ettehad and arab contractors. Draw odds.

El Ettehad El Sakandary - Arab Contractors

**onemoregoal** · 03-24-14, 09:40 AM

Originally posted by AussiePunter123

I am acknowledging what you are saying, but the odds for each team should be around 2.10, with the draw at 1.50 with 25 mins to go. Not at 4 and 5 dollars.

with 25 mins to go, the odds for an egypt game should be this, huh?
2.10 1.50 2.10??????
come on man, even you are better than this.

**TheSportsAnalyst** · 03-24-14, 09:40 AM

Come on AP!

2.10 - 1.50 - 2.10 instead of 4.00 - 1.61 - 5.00?

That would be a 161% overround. I this a joke?

**AussiePunter123** · 03-24-14, 09:47 AM

A couple of leans for you guys if you want.

Cartagena v Jaguares (Columbia)

This game has been suspended on betfair.
Cartagena has won 1 out of the last 5 games against Jaguares (with the 1 win at home) with 2 draws and 2 losses.
Some decent odd movement towards Cartagena, but I can't back them with 1 win out of 5. Perhaps a DNB for those feeling lucky?

Lean 1: Back Cartagena DNB (1.50)

Lean 2: Over 2.5 goals @ $2.00 (bet 365).

4 out of the 5 games have cleared the 2.5 goal line, including the last 3 between these clubs.

These are not based on any clear line movements or money on betfair, so they won't count towards my record.

These are just leans for those looking to pass the time. Personally, i think lean 2 is great value.

BOL to all and sex to all.

**AussiePunter123** · 03-24-14, 09:54 AM

Originally posted by AussiePunter123

Updated record after missing out on the over 2.5 China game. We will get htem next time/.

Updated Record since 19th March.

11 wins
3 losses
4 pushes

+6.13 units

**AussiePunter123** · 03-24-14, 09:55 AM

Originally posted by TheSportsAnalyst

Come on AP!

2.10 - 1.50 - 2.10 instead of 4.00 - 1.61 - 5.00?

That would be a 161% overround. I this a joke?

So you don't think the odds were suspect at all?

**TheSportsAnalyst** · 03-24-14, 10:02 AM

Originally posted by AussiePunter123

So you don't think the odds were suspect at all?

Are you kidding or are you serious?
Have u ever followed odds movement on a live game?
If you're on a draw situation with less than a third left to play it's obvious that the draw is the most logical result.
It was offered at 1.61, not 1.20 though. That would have been suspicious.
Plus it was Egypt, a league where draws are very likely.

But with your statement about a 2.10 - 1.50 - 2.10 book it's pretty obvious you don't even know how a bookie works.
No offense of course, just facts.

**pellumb341** · 03-24-14, 10:03 AM

Draw 1.61 at 65th minute is quite normal for that egyptian match... since under 2,5 at 65th mark is 1.80 , then of course draw should be smth like 1.60 - 1.65 ...why should be under 2,5 (1-1 current result) at 1,80 ?? cause under 1,5 pre match was @ 1,90.. You have to trust me , i follow too much in play odd movements.

For example , what is the price of draw at Real Madrid - Osasuna at 80th minute if game is still tied ? It is smth like 2,40 ... but according to you it is fixed cause it should be 1.70..Different matches have different prices on the same mark ...it depends on teams/leagues.

**amtopm** · 03-24-14, 10:05 AM

can anyone recommend me a book / article on how to read lines an whats unusual & what not

**tipsadontlikehim** · 03-24-14, 10:08 AM

Originally posted by mishel2512

Yeah me too...i really want to see what will happen i don't know what to play here..I don't trust Partizan but if this is fixed then we should play it really don't know

i didn't notice but it is not soccer it is handball, hence the Draw @10

**AussiePunter123** · 03-24-14, 10:10 AM

Originally posted by TheSportsAnalyst

Are you kidding or are you serious?
Have u ever followed odds movement on a live game?
If you're on a draw situation with less than a third left to play it's obvious that the draw is the most logical result.
It was offered at 1.61, not 1.20 though. That would have been suspicious.
Plus it was Egypt, a league where draws are very likely.

But with your statement about a 2.10 - 1.50 - 2.10 book it's pretty obvious you don't even know how a bookie works.
No offense of course, just facts.

No offence taken. We all learn in here. We are all here to make money and get laid.

**Unsteeled101** · 03-24-14, 10:18 AM

Scotland U17 - Bosnia & Herzegovina U17 dropping 22% for home team. Already bet mine. Good luck