Everyone wants to rant and rave about fixed matches on here, but they missed this one

**AussiePunter123** · 03-23-14, 06:42 PM

Originally posted by onemoregoal

In almost any league, if the home team is 1.30 before kick off and losing 0-1 half time - then they will be around 2.20-2.50. this is very basic stuff, im not sure how you can not know this - but manage to find kalloni fix, which was very good call.

But the leading team is at $3.00, and even higher ($3.40 - $3.50)?

To me that is strange.

As I said before, each to their own. You don't get any good at this game by tailing other people, if you can learn to find plays yourself, then you are going to learn more and more.

Dont bet real money at first, just write down your bets and 'paper trade'.

**AussiePunter123** · 03-23-14, 06:44 PM

Originally posted by SarahPalin

only thread dude posts gold and still gets attacked lol he thought the it was suspicious so he posted and it won so chill

Thanks mate, but I have never even watched any of these games and don't even know any of the teams. Just use Odds Portal, head to head stats and simple filters (only back home teams, etc).

Everyone is able to do it.

**tipsadontlikehim** · 03-23-14, 06:46 PM

i don't know if you guys noticed on the Petrolero vs Bolivar match, but at Half Time on live, Petrolero (-3) was @4.50 and Bolivar (+3) was @1.20
found this very weird, like the bookie thought it is very unlikely they will lose second half... but why not?

**AussiePunter123** · 03-23-14, 06:53 PM

Another goal. 4-0

**tipsadontlikehim** · 03-23-14, 06:54 PM

Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim

i don't know if you guys noticed on the Petrolero vs Bolivar match, but at Half Time on live, Petrolero (-3) was @4.50 and Bolivar (+3) was @1.20
found this very weird, like the bookie thought it is very unlikely they will lose second half... but why not?

here we go 4-0
strange...

thanks Aussie nice pick!

**AussiePunter123** · 03-23-14, 06:55 PM

Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim

i don't know if you guys noticed on the Petrolero vs Bolivar match, but at Half Time on live, Petrolero (-3) was @4.50 and Bolivar (+3) was @1.20
found this very weird, like the bookie thought it is very unlikely they will lose second half... but why not?

Good find. Did you jump on the -3 handicap?

**tipsadontlikehim** · 03-23-14, 06:57 PM

Originally posted by AussiePunter123

Good find. Did you jump on the -3 handicap?

I didn't because i dont have money on Marathonbet, only using Pinnacle at the moment but was just checking the odds, curious...

**tipsadontlikehim** · 03-23-14, 07:00 PM

you know when i saw that i was getting a bit afraid the visitors would rally from the back in second half

luckily they didn't !

**amtopm** · 03-23-14, 07:00 PM

Well done aussie, what is the article, i would like to read it

**Gaze73** · 03-23-14, 07:00 PM

Originally posted by SarahPalin

only thread dude posts gold and still gets attacked lol he thought the it was suspicious so he posted and it won so chill

Home fav @1.4 barely winning by one goal is gold, odds 30 is a coincidence

Colombia: liga postobon
Fortaleza vs Millonarios
HT/FT. 1/2. @30
20:45pm
FREE MONIES

**SarahPalin** · 03-23-14, 07:21 PM

I want more fixes

jk said bet on mauricio shogun at -155 then he got owned hard after winning 2 rounds ktfo

**Unsteeled101** · 03-23-14, 08:52 PM

Originally posted by SarahPalin

just wanna contribute to this thread dont hate no its not soccer or a fix but -152 on mauricio rua ufc seems pretty solid

What league is that?

**SarahPalin** · 03-23-14, 08:53 PM

Epic fail lol

**Merkel** · 03-23-14, 09:03 PM

Originally posted by Gaze73

Home fav @1.4 barely winning by one goal is gold, odds 30 is a coincidence

Colombia: liga postobon
Fortaleza vs Millonarios
HT/FT. 1/2. @30
20:45pm
FREE MONIES

**amtopm** · 03-23-14, 09:04 PM

Lolol @ i want more fixes

i wasnt on it but hard luck all the same.

Be sure to put up more,
I may put 1 up tomorrow.

**SarahPalin** · 03-23-14, 09:09 PM

even though i won big on todays fix still down due to real madrid and shogun

i need something to win back my money super tilted and cant find anything suspicious enoughhhhhhh help me out heros

**Cainerz** · 03-23-14, 09:12 PM

Shogun

Palin, thanks anyway for the lean. I was on Shogun myself. He had that fight in the bag, just got clipped. Hendo`s right hand is a dangerous weapon.

**AussiePunter123** · 03-23-14, 09:16 PM

Interesting video on football fixed matches.

Claims 90% of fixed matches can only be spotted via live betting patterns during in-play periods.

How to spot a fixed football match, by Sportsradar - video

http://www.theguardian.com/football/video/2013/feb/19/fixed-football-match-sportsradar-video

Betting intelligence company Sportradar's integrity manager Ben Paterson says 250-300 out of a possible 30,000 European football matches are likely to be fixed each year

**AussiePunter123** · 03-23-14, 09:17 PM

Originally posted by SarahPalin

even though i won big on todays fix still down due to real madrid and shogun

i need something to win back my money super tilted and cant find anything suspicious enoughhhhhhh help me out heros

Don't chase mate. You need to be disciplined to make money long-term.

**AussiePunter123** · 03-23-14, 09:18 PM

Updated Record

11 wins
2 losses
3 pushes

+7.13 units

**SarahPalin** · 03-23-14, 09:22 PM

pretty much went through all of 2morrows matches in small leagues couldnt find anything decent

only smallest lean would be

AGF Aarhus v Esbjerg - esberg draw no bet at -200

**amtopm** · 03-23-14, 09:24 PM

That video was interesting, i actually work for sportsradar as a venue scout lol

**amtopm** · 03-23-14, 09:30 PM

Any picks for tomorrow aussie

**AussiePunter123** · 03-23-14, 09:33 PM

No mate. Nothing much at all around.

As I said, home teams, (1x2 fulltime, over/under 2.5 only markets), dropping odds for over 50% of bookies, game starting within 24 hours, perhaps more if you think drop in odds suggests clear fix, check betfair, check head to head stats, confirm play.

**AussiePunter123** · 03-24-14, 02:20 AM

DNB El Ettehad @ 1.67 (Egypt Premier League)

**tipsadontlikehim** · 03-24-14, 02:36 AM

Originally posted by AussiePunter123

El Ettehad El Sakandary DNB @ 1.67 (Egypt Premier League)

GL

**GR33D** · 03-24-14, 02:36 AM

Originally posted by AussiePunter123

El Ettehad El Sakandary DNB @ 1.67 (Egypt Premier League)

interesting, ive got $30 on 0-0 and 1-0
also what part of aus you from? Perth checking in.

**tipsadontlikehim** · 03-24-14, 03:49 AM

Pribram U21 - Hradec Kralove U21

OVER 2.5 goals went from 2.50 to 1.85 on most books!

**AussiePunter123** · 03-24-14, 03:56 AM

Originally posted by GR33D

interesting, ive got $30 on 0-0 and 1-0
also what part of aus you from? Perth checking in.

Brisbane mate. BOL and sex to all.

**tipsadontlikehim** · 03-24-14, 03:57 AM

Dukla Prague U21 - Mlada Boleslav U21
1 or draw went from 2.10 to 1.62 on Bet365

**AussiePunter123** · 03-24-14, 03:57 AM

Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim

Pribram U21 - Hradec Kralove U21

OVER 2.5 goals went from 2.50 to 1.85 on most books!

Sold find and solid play.

BOL and sex to all.

**AussiePunter123** · 03-24-14, 04:01 AM

Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim

Dukla Prague U21 - Mlada Boleslav U21
1 or draw went from 2.10 to 1.62 on Bet365

94% of cash on betfair went on team 1 (Prague).

Good find.

**tipsadontlikehim** · 03-24-14, 04:01 AM

Originally posted by AussiePunter123

Sold find and solid play.

BOL and sex to all.

can't tell though if the original odds of 2.50 was a mistake from the bookies... but worth a small play at least

**tipsadontlikehim** · 03-24-14, 05:06 AM

Brisbane awesome... actually never went there but was working in Karratha the shittiest place ever but loads of money to make there

**Unsteeled101** · 03-24-14, 05:38 AM

Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim

Dukla Prague U21 - Mlada Boleslav U21
1 or draw went from 2.10 to 1.62 on Bet365

I took the home team for this match..

sorry.. For the prisbam match,home team to win.