Sunday's [10/21] Ninja Plays

mbcoutinho · 10-21-12, 12:19 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Draw Project
[England Premier] Sunderland-Newcastle +230
[Czech Gambrinus] Jihlava-Sparta Praha +277
[Turkey Super Liga] Besiktas-Trabszonspor +225

[Belgium Pro] Mons-Standard Liege Over 3 [+101]
Three of Mons' five league home matches have finished with four goals or more. Overall, eight of their ten league matches have finished with at least three goals. Standard Liege has played to three goals or better in four straight on the road & eight straight overall. Both teams have just one clean sheet a piece this season. Expect goals in this one and a fair chance that if they both are aggressive that it could get past the three goal mark.

Do you have the record for the draw project? Just wondering...

SlickRick1382 · 10-21-12, 01:04 AM

Originally posted by mbcoutinho

Do you have the record for the draw project? Just wondering...

Pretty sure he's done well and has at least broken even (daily basis)

Yesterday he went 2-1

beefcake · 10-21-12, 09:34 AM

Draw project profit is assured..!!

EaglesPhan36 · 10-21-12, 10:17 AM

Originally posted by mbcoutinho

Do you have the record for the draw project? Just wondering...

I have to admit, I have failed to keep a good record of soccer picks due to a jinx factor for me. When I have consolidated picks into one thread or heavily tracked, seems that I found a bad streak - so I just started doing daily posts and let anyone who wanted to use the info for whatever purposes to use it. Looked back at this week for you though. I just started this tweak where I play three draws when I do the draw project whereas in the past I was only doing two. Trying to up the rate of success, but it will also likely come at the cost of some profit ... any who ... 1-2 on Monday for a slight profit. 0-3 on Tuesday. 2-1 yesterday and today's pending picks. So as of yesterday if you flat bet [one size risk] for all draws, you would have been up to some extent for the week.

EaglesPhan36 · 10-21-12, 11:32 AM

[Chile Primera] Colo Colo-Universidad Chile Over 3 [-110]
Colo Colo has played six home matches this term in league play with five of six hitting for at least three goals. They have scored multiple goals in four straight @ home with three of those seeing them hit for three goals all by themselves. Universidad Chile has seen the most goals attracted to their road matches with 25 in just seven matches; 13 scored and 12 conceded. Five of seven have seen at least three goals. They have scored multiple goals in those five and conceded multiple times in four road tilts.

EaglesPhan36 · 10-21-12, 12:24 PM

Czech draw in. 2/2 so far. Need to see some goals in Belgium now. Let's go!

EaglesPhan36 · 10-21-12, 12:35 PM

C'mon Belgis ... need a goal to push dern it.

EaglesPhan36 · 10-21-12, 12:41 PM

Gonna need a 'mercle just for a push. I summon thee sadly.

beefcake · 10-21-12, 12:48 PM

Just turned on the stream and ,,,,,,,,,GGGGGOOOOALLLL!!!!

beefcake · 10-21-12, 12:48 PM

One of the times i am glad I bet over 2.5/3...!!!

beefcake · 10-21-12, 12:49 PM

Come on Turkey.!!! Hold on!!

EaglesPhan36 · 10-21-12, 12:50 PM

I'll take it. Can't be mad with the way the draws have gone today. Getting the push is groovy all that I won't be hatin' if something super late 'mercle wise comes in.

hotelis · 10-21-12, 12:51 PM

nice 3-1

beefcake · 10-21-12, 12:53 PM

Fukk yeah!!!!

Best day ever EP 4 for dam 4!!!

EaglesPhan36 · 10-21-12, 12:56 PM

Ole Ole Ole Ole! What a f-ing day.

dk70 · 10-21-12, 01:01 PM

Ninja gods are good today

EaglesPhan36 · 10-21-12, 01:07 PM

Will tell you right now, I also plan on playing a rare MLS match tonight. Over with SJ & LA. Pretty chalky price right now, but definitely worth it - so will list it here.

[MLS] San Jose-Los Angeles Over 2.5 [-150]
Quakes have scored multiple goals in seven straight in MLS play and in nine of their last ten overall. Eight of their last nine @ home have seen three goals or more with the Quakes scoring at least two in all those that cashed overs. LA has scored & conceded in three straight and are working to try and get out of the wildcard position for the playoffs. They should give a full effort even with Donovan likely out again. Keane can be the goal hound once again. Both meetings this season have been goal heavy with five and seven for the totals. This is a Bovada live special also and I may wait for it to go live and take a shot at the Over 3 for reduced juice.

bigcmo · 10-21-12, 01:08 PM

you da man

eaglesphan36 i tailed all 3 draws and they hit.....thank you and keep up the good work.

EaglesPhan36 · 10-21-12, 01:10 PM

So 6-6 on draws this week for anyone who wants that info. You'd have to go back and calculate the profit, but I think four of the draws were in the +200-230 range and a couple bigger ones around +270 or a little better, so with flat betting - profit would be somewhere around eight units or so I think.

Draws are a crazy beast. You have to go through some o-fer days like we did on Tuesday, but if you can stomach some of the late beats or just not even close to draws ... you can usually scratch out some profit if you really crunch the #s for draws.

phenomenon · 10-21-12, 02:25 PM

any thoughts atl madrid match ?

hotelis · 10-21-12, 02:32 PM

[QUOTE=phenomenon;16467056]any thoughts atl madrid match ?[/QUOTE btts

hotelis · 10-21-12, 02:35 PM

red card de Chile.. i never know is it good or bad for the over. colo has been attacking though

EaglesPhan36 · 10-21-12, 02:40 PM

Yeah red cards don't have any rhyme or reason. Suck. I was half 'n half on this or Genoa-Roma which is a goal fest.

pellumb341 · 10-21-12, 02:44 PM

This year with Zeman every game of Roma is a goal fest

andy888888 · 10-21-12, 02:47 PM

lol yeah with zeman a over 2.5 goal bet is always a guarantee win

Zahpeter · 10-21-12, 03:05 PM

Bah, i only need 2 goals, these fuckers have scored above 1.5 for the last 2 years.

Zahpeter · 10-21-12, 03:23 PM

Oh for shit's sake. 2 crossbars and 1 miss alone with the keepers.

hotelis · 10-21-12, 03:30 PM

1 shot on goal. pathetic

EaglesPhan36 · 10-21-12, 03:30 PM

Move on to the MLS later. This one is cooked. Can't win 'em all. Should be better luck hopefully with SJ-LA later.

dk70 · 10-21-12, 05:30 PM

O2.5 is now at -167 at 5Dimes

EaglesPhan36 · 10-21-12, 06:06 PM

Going to try Over 3 @ +100

pattymayo · 10-21-12, 06:35 PM

I hate the MLS

30 min in and no goals.

hotelis · 10-21-12, 06:37 PM

sj over 2 goals a game, high scorers on each team, perfect weather, last game 4-3, etc etc etc.. 0-0!!!

pattymayo · 10-21-12, 06:42 PM

Originally posted by hotelis

sj over 2 goals a game, high scorers on each team, perfect weather, last game 4-3, etc etc etc.. 0-0!!!

both teams games average 3+ goals per. -160 on 2.5, books got us good