Brazil Friday

silvap · 09-28-12, 03:48 PM

Only taking one of the late games and skipping the other as i see no value there. I do see value in:

CRB vs Criciuma pk/-0.5 (1.96) - CRB is one of the weaker teams in the Brazilian second league, sitting 16th overall on the standings. They have struggled as of late, not winning any of their last 5 at home, with one draw and four losses. Their last win came against dead last Ipatinga. Tonight they host Criciuma, a team that sits 2nd in the standings. While it is true that Criciuma has not been great on the road - they are 7th in the away standings, their troubles have come when facing the better teams in the league - when they face the bottom half of the standing teams, they have four wins, one draw and a loss in 6 matches. Needing the win to keep pressing for the top spot, expect Criciuma to go for the win here, as it is the only result that interests them.

That is it for tonight, lots of games in both Serie A and Serie B tomorrow.

Cheers and best of luck

JESSE1014 · 09-28-12, 04:14 PM

Originally posted by silvap

Couple of games in brazil tonight, i'll do the write-up for the earlier one and hopefully be back to do the other two later.

Paraná vs Sao Caetano pk (1.9) - Paraná struggling lately, with only one win in their last 10 overall games, against 18th ranked Bragantino. At home, they only have 2 wins in their last 6, against 16th CRB and the aforementioned Bragantino. In their last game, they tied 1-1 against 19th placed Gremio Barueri. Sao Caetano on the other hand is the best away team in the Brazilian Serie B and 4th overall. The team is in great form, winning 5 of their last 6 games and 6 of their last 8 on the road. Very good price for Sao Caetano here, who are clearly the better team and a very good road team.

Will try to hit the two other games in a few hours

Best of luck on your plays tonight

Hey Buddy

Tough couple of days, took this game yesterday as I misread the date and thought it was last night and was like where the hell is it ha ha!

I have a good feeling we hit this one.

Straight Wager	09/27/12 18:27 ET
bet 147.06 to win 250.00	Result: Pending

Sao Caetano (Serie B)
Parana (Serie B)

09/28/12(18:30 ET)
Sao Caetano (Serie B) +170

hotelis · 09-28-12, 04:40 PM

yes tempted to take caetano ml also

FindTheLock · 09-28-12, 05:17 PM

sometimes I see a line like that and it scares me. Judging by the form of each team it seems the odds should be more lopsided to favor Caetano. the pk is only -125. I wonder if Parana has a win in them tonight?

Lazy-Man · 09-28-12, 05:19 PM

Over 2.5 Caetano/Parana

hotelis · 09-28-12, 05:29 PM

so the line was 2.75, then dropped to 2.25 and now 5 mins before game is back at 2.63

JESSE1014 · 09-28-12, 05:30 PM

Originally posted by FindTheLock

sometimes I see a line like that and it scares me. Judging by the form of each team it seems the odds should be more lopsided to favor Caetano. the pk is only -125. I wonder if Parana has a win in them tonight?

I am also a little skeptical myself Mr. Hurricane but then again Istres in the french ligue 2 was +290 today and that was a easy victory, hopefully this will be one in the same.....

hotelis · 09-28-12, 05:38 PM

G.o.a.l.

JESSE1014 · 09-28-12, 05:39 PM

GOAL SAO in 7 minutes, lets get another quick one!!!!!!!!!!

hotelis · 09-28-12, 05:44 PM

damn

FindTheLock · 09-28-12, 05:45 PM

looks like there will be some goals today in this match.

JESSE1014 · 09-28-12, 05:45 PM

DAMN after 7 more minutes goal Parana....

JESSE1014 · 09-28-12, 05:58 PM

damnt sao had a great cut on outside to middle right in fron of net no one to pick it up though

hotelis · 09-28-12, 06:08 PM

fukk

JESSE1014 · 09-28-12, 06:12 PM

Yea for real....hopefully their are more goals in our favor.....

FindTheLock · 09-28-12, 06:19 PM

I am not watching it, but it does not appear to be good for those of us who bet on the too good to be true offer.

hotelis · 09-28-12, 06:21 PM

parana 7 total shots v 2, corners 5 - 1

FindTheLock · 09-28-12, 06:22 PM

maybe the starters for our team took the night off. It smelled funny from the get go, but maybe they can turn it around for us.

FindTheLock · 09-28-12, 06:25 PM

did you guys bet the ML or the PK line?

JESSE1014 · 09-28-12, 06:30 PM

ML ha ha, with my luck game will end in draw....

JESSE1014 · 09-28-12, 06:34 PM

just saw the replay of the one parana goal bc went to pick up food and that was a sick bicycle kick

FindTheLock · 09-28-12, 06:37 PM

4 shots on goal and 3 of them went in the back of the net.

FindTheLock · 09-28-12, 06:39 PM

is this on tv?

hotelis · 09-28-12, 06:41 PM

ML also.

hotelis · 09-28-12, 06:44 PM

how is sao looking right now?

FindTheLock · 09-28-12, 06:45 PM

they missed a wide opened header in front of the goal, but they are attacking well enough.

FindTheLock · 09-28-12, 06:50 PM

the defense looks shaky, they might concede another if they don't sharpen up a bit.

hotelis · 09-28-12, 07:09 PM

7mins of fun. thats all we got from this game. expensive 7mins

FindTheLock · 09-28-12, 07:11 PM

yeah, it is not looking good at all and I am even on the PK.

hotelis · 09-28-12, 07:18 PM

gotta remember to stay away from that brazilian soccer. really compelling writeups.

FindTheLock · 09-28-12, 07:22 PM

on to the next one.

hotelis · 09-28-12, 07:24 PM

good luck sir! im going to bed.

silvap · 09-28-12, 08:17 PM

Bah, very annoyed at Sao Caetano. Couldnt watch the game but kept eye on the score. After being up 1-0, didnt think we'd lose this one. At least Criciuma just scored a second to make it 2-0 so hopefuly nothing crappy happens and we split the games for a pretty pointless and break-even day