Europa League 9/20: AIK +1.5?

[TheSportsAnalyst]

As I wrote in my blog after a lovely winner on Anderlecht +1.25 I saw this +1.5 (@1.840 on Marathon right now) for AIK and I was like

Napoli is going to switch ALL starting players (yep, all 11) and despite some good guys like Behrami and Dessena and the interesting youngster El Kaddouri they're reserves, not the real Napoli.
From the latest news not only Cavani and Pandev will miss this game but possibly Hamsik too.
AIK is red hot, having won 4 consecutive matches in Allsvenskan and they already kicked out CSKA from this competition in August.

Missed the huge @2.000 on early monday but without Hamsik this could be a gift anyway.

[BigBurk]

Seriously? Damn, good to know cause I was eyeing Napoli to add to a parlay tomorrow!

Difficult to stay on top of things to be able to know which teams take the EL seriously and which ones do not.....

[TheSportsAnalyst]

Seriously? Damn, good to know cause I was eyeing Napoli to add to a parlay tomorrow!

Difficult to stay on top of things to be able to know which teams take the EL seriously and which ones do not.....

Both Mazzarri and De Laurentiis publicly told they don't consider EL as a real trophy, just useful for advertising in Europe and of course cash.
Chairman De Laurentiis said also if it was him he would snub this but he gave anyway Mazzarri two players for any position and the coach indeed stated he will switch at least 9/11 (probably 10/11) of the team because he have faith in second string players like Insigne, El Kaddouri, Dezemaili and Behrami...
Of course they're players able to start in every middle league team in Italy (probably in AIK too) but don't know... EL is always strange and a 2+ goals win... mmmmm.

[BigBurk]

F uck.. I just realised I had already locked in the parlay, including Napoli (-280 something). No turning back from this..

[Vaughany]

yeah like this as well...they are in hot form at moment...I dont thik Napoli will beat them by more than a goal at worse if they do have a second team out. Are players like Inler, Maggio also going to be out?

[TheSportsAnalyst]

Imho Napoli will win but by more than 1 goal...? Mmmm...

From the latest I know:
GK will be replaced 100%;
Aronica was supposed to play but he's hurt, so the defense is gonna be Campagnaro (if healty)-Cannavaro-Gamberini;
full turnover in the middle with Mesto and Dossena at the wings position and Behrami-Donadel in the middle;
upfront the starting duo will be Vargas-Insigne.
Only doubt is Hamsik: initally he was supposed to play but yesterday El Kaddouri had a nice practice and Mazarri is thinking about giving him a chance from the 1'.

So 8/11 surely not on the field, probably 9 considering El Kaddouri and possibly even 10 if Campagnaro will fail medical tests.