RAS TRACKER (This is not his Thursday Plays)

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  • ANDTHEWINNERIS
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 03-06-08
    • 508

    #1
    RAS TRACKER (This is not his Thursday Plays)
    Through 11/27: SEASON: 37-27-1 +8.75 playing on his posted line and 34-29-2 +3.25 playing on closing line. Fading his plays on the closing line: 29-34-2 -8.85 So far the faders on the closing line are the losers, and RAS released lines are the winners, as well as playing on his picks on the closing line. The main purpose of this is to measure released lines (hard to get) vs closing lines for the entire season
  • fakelogic
    SBR Hustler
    • 11-09-13
    • 64

    #2
    Given a $2400 subscription cost:


    $100 bettor would be -$1525 w/ subscription, +$325 w/o but tailing closing, and -$885 fading closing.
    $300 bettor would be +225 w/ subscription, +$975 w/o but tailing closing, and -$2655 fading closing.
    $500 bettor would be +$1975 w/ subscription, +$1625 w/o but tailing closing, and -$4425 fading closing.
    $1000 bettor would be +$6350 w/ subscription, +$3250 w/o but tailing closing, and -$8850 fading closing.


    Bet size to break-even w/ subscription: $274.29
    Bet size to profit equally w/ or w/o subscription: $436.36


    So far, if you bet below $436.36, you are better off tailing the closing number. If you bet above $436.36, a subscription for the early number is more profitable.


    But if you already purchased a subscription, you better be making bets greater than $274.29 (and preferably over $436.36).
    Comment
    • ANDTHEWINNERIS
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 03-06-08
      • 508

      #3
      Originally posted by fakelogic
      Given a $2400 subscription cost:


      $100 bettor would be -$1525 w/ subscription, +$325 w/o but tailing closing, and -$885 fading closing.
      $300 bettor would be +225 w/ subscription, +$975 w/o but tailing closing, and -$2655 fading closing.
      $500 bettor would be +$1975 w/ subscription, +$1625 w/o but tailing closing, and -$4425 fading closing.
      $1000 bettor would be +$6350 w/ subscription, +$3250 w/o but tailing closing, and -$8850 fading closing.


      Bet size to break-even w/ subscription: $274.29
      Bet size to profit equally w/ or w/o subscription: $436.36


      So far, if you bet below $436.36, you are better off tailing the closing number. If you bet above $436.36, a subscription for the early number is more profitable.


      But if you already purchased a subscription, you better be making bets greater than $274.29 (and preferably over $436.36).
      Appreciate the value added with your daily post, thanks
      Comment
      • piruka111
        SBR Rookie
        • 11-18-13
        • 15

        #4
        Analysis appreciated.
        Comment
        • fakelogic
          SBR Hustler
          • 11-09-13
          • 64

          #5
          Originally posted by ANDTHEWINNERIS
          Appreciate the value added with your daily post, thanks
          Thanks to you too.
          Comment
          • vicshap
            SBR Sharp
            • 02-08-12
            • 292

            #6
            ed always says that his company is for the 500 and up dollar better. the only consistently winning tout, period.
            Comment
            • jojotoo.
              SBR Hustler
              • 10-21-12
              • 73

              #7
              at 1 unit per play.. its the only way to document true winning percentage.
              Comment
              • streak1234
                SBR High Roller
                • 06-29-10
                • 116

                #8
                Originally posted by jojotoo.
                at 1 unit per play.. its the only way to document true winning percentage.
                I agree. Any system can be a winner with the Martingale; that is if you have the bankroll to survive the inevitable cold spell.
                Comment
                • 03fan
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 02-01-12
                  • 35

                  #9
                  Would it even be worth the hassle to bet $20 a game?
                  Comment
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