Salutations and happy new year to you all.
My name is Nick Volen and I've been a degenerate gambler for over 15 years. Thankfully the last 5 of those years have been somewhat profitable for me. Some really bad losing years in my early 30's have taught me invaluable lessons. I'll give a quick introduction to myself (I hope I don't bore you).
In my early gambling years I was a terrible bettor, betting on impulse with no regard for any form of money management. I racked up a substantial debt. There was a positive to come from this: I had now accumulated a large number of hours watching my favorite sport, basketball. I was at the point where I was watching basically every single game in a season on my computer monitors and TV screen.
Here I discovered an edge that would help me become profitable. That edge revolved around in-play betting in the NBA, I can't get too specific as this edge sometimes shows itself every now and then and I don't want to erode it for myself and others that use it.
My main piece of advice is, if you bet on a sport you should really know it inside and out.
Recently sportsbooks have adjusted for this edge and today to bet on it is mostly unprofitable. As I said, every now and then when the circumstances are perfect (very rare) it is viable.
Now I am in the business of statistical modelling. I believe it is the central way one can be profitable over the long-run. I have partnered up with a computer programmer (who does all the coding, scraping stats etc.) and we are currently attempting to model simulations of AFL, NRL, ODI cricket and Super Rugby games. Studies have shown that markets in these sports are much more inefficient compared to the major US sports. The issue will be getting money down and if this model is successful we will likely have to move overseas.
Anyway, since I am a major degenerate, I still gamble on basketball and cricket (which are currently in-season - I was born in South Africa, moved to the US when I was 10) and will continue to gamble when Super Rugby and NRL start in the next few months.
I will post some fun picks in the upcoming week, don't expect much as they are really just hunches based loosely on stats.
It's great to be here, after months of this guy "jjgold" nagging me to post a brief introduction, (no clue how he got my email) I eventually succumbed. It was literal spam from hundreds of different email addresses (I blocked about 30 email addresses and he kept going). Gesondheid!
My name is Nick Volen and I've been a degenerate gambler for over 15 years. Thankfully the last 5 of those years have been somewhat profitable for me. Some really bad losing years in my early 30's have taught me invaluable lessons. I'll give a quick introduction to myself (I hope I don't bore you).
In my early gambling years I was a terrible bettor, betting on impulse with no regard for any form of money management. I racked up a substantial debt. There was a positive to come from this: I had now accumulated a large number of hours watching my favorite sport, basketball. I was at the point where I was watching basically every single game in a season on my computer monitors and TV screen.
Here I discovered an edge that would help me become profitable. That edge revolved around in-play betting in the NBA, I can't get too specific as this edge sometimes shows itself every now and then and I don't want to erode it for myself and others that use it.
My main piece of advice is, if you bet on a sport you should really know it inside and out.
Recently sportsbooks have adjusted for this edge and today to bet on it is mostly unprofitable. As I said, every now and then when the circumstances are perfect (very rare) it is viable.
Now I am in the business of statistical modelling. I believe it is the central way one can be profitable over the long-run. I have partnered up with a computer programmer (who does all the coding, scraping stats etc.) and we are currently attempting to model simulations of AFL, NRL, ODI cricket and Super Rugby games. Studies have shown that markets in these sports are much more inefficient compared to the major US sports. The issue will be getting money down and if this model is successful we will likely have to move overseas.
Anyway, since I am a major degenerate, I still gamble on basketball and cricket (which are currently in-season - I was born in South Africa, moved to the US when I was 10) and will continue to gamble when Super Rugby and NRL start in the next few months.
I will post some fun picks in the upcoming week, don't expect much as they are really just hunches based loosely on stats.
It's great to be here, after months of this guy "jjgold" nagging me to post a brief introduction, (no clue how he got my email) I eventually succumbed. It was literal spam from hundreds of different email addresses (I blocked about 30 email addresses and he kept going). Gesondheid!
