Corona...the math!

[MickeyMan]

Maybe not a direct correlation but a general one nonetheless. But maybe you have a good point. You can still have new deaths go up and new cases go down.

I guess I was surprised by the difference between days. France over 100% increase in one day. I don't recall seeing that for France in a long time.

I believe it was because they weren’t counting deaths from nursing homes before, and then today they added them all up from the past weeks and just included them in today’s number.

Theres an explanation on that world o meter website

[lakerboy]

6,088 over a week since you said this.

I bet you on this. You lost. Get lost for a month.

Never made a bet. You were irritated that I posted that and wanted to bet. The week isn't over so it will be pretty close to 10000 unfortunately. You probably thought it wasn't going to be anywhere near 2500 even. Be honest.

[unde0087]

how is the math going here? still jackshit deaths, how is the model doing? Are we all still going to die?

[unde0087]

did the model have .0000009% dying by now?

[teecee]

how is the math going here? still jackshit deaths, how is the model doing? Are we all still going to die?

The math is doing fine, bc now we're all waiting in line to get bread.

[d2bets]

did the model have .0000009% dying by now?

Did the model have covid-19 as the third leading cause of death heading to #1 next week?

[Mike Huntertz]

This weekend NY corona cases will surpass flu cases!

NY is the only place cases have been high at all. The funny thing is the number of influenza cases in NY state is 106k in 2020, the number of corona cases is 23k. Go ahead and tell me corona is out of control dipshit.

A post from March 24th

[homie1975]

did the model have .0000009% dying by now?

Mostly it's elderly people over the age of 75 who get pneumonia which started from the flu. the flu does not kill 200K a year in the USA. one year, the 2016/17 season, it killed 80K, but that was an aberration. it is typically 20K to 50K per year. the true cause of death is pneumonia which developed from the flu. the flu did not kill them - something worse did.

but get this: COVID-19 is hospitalizing and killing people under the age of 60 !!

when was the last time you heard of someone being hospitalized by the Flu who was under the age of 60 ???

and put on a respirator of which only 20% survive and 80% die !!!!!!

flu vs covid 19 is apples and oranges. get educated. free your mind. become someone bigger and better and smarter than you are.

most importantly: wake up !!!!


NO SPORTS AND NO SPORTS BETTING. PERIOD. THE UNIVERSE IS TRYING TO HELP YOU IMPROVE YOUR LIFE.

WAKE UP !!!!!

[CWD]

Mostly it's elderly people over the age of 75 who get pneumonia which started from the flu. the flu does not kill 200K a year in the USA. one year, the 2016/17 season, it killed 80K, but that was an aberration. it is typically 20K to 50K per year. the true cause of death is pneumonia which developed from the flu. the flu did not kill them - something worse did.

but get this: COVID-19 is hospitalizing and killing people under the age of 60 !!

when was the last time you heard of someone being hospitalized by the Flu who was under the age of 60 ???

and put on a respirator of which only 20% survive and 80% die !!!!!!

flu vs covid 19 is apples and oranges. get educated. free your mind. become someone bigger and better and smarter than you are.

most importantly: wake up !!!!


NO SPORTS AND NO SPORTS BETTING. PERIOD. THE UNIVERSE IS TRYING TO HELP YOU IMPROVE YOUR LIFE.

WAKE UP !!!!!

how did u get all this info you must know or hang out with a lot of doctors sharp posts

[homie1975]

how did u get all this info you must know or hang out with a lot of doctors sharp posts

i have 9 doctors in my family and friend circle.

you can go ahead and guess my ethnicity.

[Roger T. Bannon]

Ironically, it is because this version of SARS is not as deadly that it is going to kill so many people because people are not afraid of getting it. With a more deadly version, it would have been contained straight away.

[Mike Huntertz]

SARS did freak out the whole world......even the US. CDC was all over it.

[Mike Huntertz]

Lot's of Dr., likes tennis? Jewish or Chinese?

i have 9 doctors in my family and friend circle.

you can go ahead and guess my ethnicity.

[lakerboy]

Maybe not a direct correlation but a general one nonetheless. But maybe you have a good point. You can still have new deaths go up and new cases go down.

I guess I was surprised by the difference between days. France over 100% increase in one day. I don't recall seeing that for France in a long time.

800 in a nursing home. France wasn't including that before.

[d2bets]

This weekend NY corona cases will surpass flu cases!


A post from March 24th

Good luck reasoning with some people. Can't fix stupid.

[cyclingbettor]

Ironically, it is because this version of SARS is not as deadly that it is going to kill so many people because people are not afraid of getting it. With a more deadly version, it would have been contained straight away.

Yeah, I was thinking the same thing. Also, people with SARS wouldn't walk around spreading it for 2 weeks. People would stay the heck away from them, or they were in the hospital already. This virus would be a lot easier to contain if it had more serious and immediate symptoms.

[d2bets]

Yeah, I was thinking the same thing. Also, people with SARS wouldn't walk around spreading it for 2 weeks. People would stay the heck away from them, or they were in the hospital already. This virus would be a lot easier to contain if it had more serious and immediate symptoms.

True to an extent. The fact that asymptomatic and presymptomatic people can spread it requires extreme measures assuming everyone can give it to you.

[blackbart]

• US still boldly going where no country has gone before, at >20k new confirmed cases per day. Destined to end up the worst-affected country in the world. • France possibly joining Italy and Spain in seeing new cases plateau and begin to dip

[Itsamazing777]

Lot's of Dr., likes tennis? Jewish or Chinese?

Indian dude

[Biff41]

• US still boldly going where no country has gone before, at >20k new confirmed cases per day. Destined to end up the worst-affected country in the world. • France possibly joining Italy and Spain in seeing new cases plateau and begin to dip

Central parts of USA likely are last places hit. If Bell curve of deaths and new cases in EU are starting to slow or head in a downward direction, then U.S. should start to follow maybe a week or 2 later. ...with a little luck.

[Plaza23]

Never made a bet. You were irritated that I posted that and wanted to bet. The week isn't over so it will be pretty close to 10000 unfortunately. You probably thought it wasn't going to be anywhere near 2500 even. Be honest.

That was 10 days ago. You ran your mouth like the rest of the fear mongering idiots in this thread.
I called you on it. You were proven wrong.

[Mike Huntertz]

You gotta track deaths. Not cases. Cases are going up because more people are being tested.

When case rates are rising far faster than the death rate, then statistically people will begin to see this is not that much more serious than the average flu.

The best thing that could happen to the US is show that 500,000 people have it and less than a 1,000 will have died. That will show the response to this is asinine.

277,000 cases........7,400 dead.

[PAULYPOKER]

i have 9 doctors in my family and friend circle.

you can go ahead and guess my ethnicity.

COVID 19 numbers are great in your homeland!!!

Police beat a man to death going for groceries........

Now that's enforcing lockdown orders.......!

[PAULYPOKER]

Some very interesting numbers in my state.......

Let this be a lesson to all of you who think you're immune to this pandemic.......

25 to 49 years of age are making up most of the case numbers....

Positive Cases by Age Range to Date

Age Range	Percent of Cases
0-4	< 1%
5-12	< 1%
13-18	1%
19-24	8%
25-49	41%
50-64	29%
65+	20%

[PAULYPOKER]

US hopefully has flattened as there were only about 11K new cases
and around 500 dead in last 24 hours!!!

[Mike Huntertz]

Pauly, what state do you reside in?

Some very interesting numbers in my state.......

Let this be a lesson to all of you who think you're immune to this pandemic.......

25 to 49 years of age are making up most of the case numbers....

Positive Cases by Age Range to Date

Age Range	Percent of Cases
0-4	< 1%
5-12	< 1%
13-18	1%
19-24	8%
25-49	41%
50-64	29%
65+	20%

[PAULYPOKER]

PA,Mike....

Lol,just noticed your handle........

[manny24]

1.46% of those infected will die

.00003264% of us citizens have died so far

mods close thread

[juicername]

1.46% of those infected will die

.00003264% of us citizens have died so far

mods close thread

Someone can't see the bigger picture ...

[nyplayer33]

Most who die are 60 plus

[nyplayer33]

277k cases and we have 325 million in usa ??

[Mike Huntertz]

US Deaths: One week increments.

Feb 28 .... 0 Deaths
Mar 5 .... 12 Deaths
Mar 12.... 41 Deaths
Mar 19.... 206 Deaths
Mar 26..... 1,295 Deaths
Apr 3....... 7,392 Deaths

US tests to Apr. 3rd........ 1,350,000
Untested Americans .... 329,650,000

IMHO: In a pandemic, tests of at least 1% of the population would be needed to get an accurate assessment of the virus. Probably more in the 5-10% range. The US at present is roughly 2 million test below the 1% threshold. Very few countries have had enough tests to scientifically make a final case/death prediction.
Suffice to say the numbers are rising at a worrisome rate.

[d2bets]

US Deaths: One week increments.

Feb 28 .... 0 Deaths
Mar 5 .... 12 Deaths
Mar 12.... 41 Deaths
Mar 19.... 206 Deaths
Mar 26..... 1,295 Deaths
Apr 3....... 7,392 Deaths

US tests to Apr. 3rd........ 1,350,000
Untested Americans .... 329,650,000

IMHO: In a pandemic, tests of at least 1% of the population would be needed to get an accurate assessment of the virus. Probably more in the 5-10% range. The US at present is roughly 2 million test below the 1% threshold. Very few countries have had enough tests to scientifically make a final case/death prediction.
Suffice to say the numbers are rising at a worrisome rate.

500 to 600% week over week increases. If that holds, April 10 will be over 35,000. Its about to get real real.

[d2bets]

1.46% of those infected will die

.00003264% of us citizens have died so far

mods close thread

Next week it will be the leading cause of death in USA. But yeah, nothing to see here.

[asiagambler]

Getting bad