What are the odds of this in ~3 hrs time?

**boscokid** · 03-06-17, 08:07 PM

on SBR? bout 50/50

**eberetta1** · 03-06-17, 09:14 PM

Come on. That's a coin flip on SBR.

**Ballerholic** · 03-07-17, 05:03 AM

Yea on SBR software you got those hands in as a fav, well done.

**slikec** · 03-07-17, 05:30 AM

In 3 hours lol thats easy anywhere if you play at least 6 tables. I also had bad start of month on cash tables but MTTs i cashed 1 4th place so at least there i won some flips

Try rather this 22 vs 77 BS v BB i raise from sb flop 267s we get it in OTF. QQ raises 4bb UTG(his normal raise is 3bb so i put him QQ, KK, AA maybe AKs) 1 calls so i call BU JTs flop 9QKr he cbets only 2/3 i only call raising here would be dumb as penetrate turn 8s he almost pots so i am pretty sure he have QQ or KK and i jam ofc he calls. Now in retrospective the way i run last few days i should just call and fold river when pars so i played poorly i guess

That was within 30min. that i remember there is much much more easily lol. For example on Sunday i decided ill play aggressive middle pair+ FD OTF and i am not joking 3 ouf of 3 times that happened they had set rofl and even tho i still had 30% i won 0 etc. Also that happened within hour. I woudnt say that was normal but penetrate it it happened i burned money faster than some crack head :P

**SharpAngles** · 03-07-17, 11:20 AM

Most days I wish I only got coolered once an hour

**slikec** · 03-07-17, 05:29 PM

This doesnt wanna stop lol. I cant run decent and i cant lol. Just see

Hands like this you cant even see how bad you run EV wise cause is checked OTR so EV is 0.

UTG: 198.3 BB Hero (CO): 267.7 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A:diamond: A

UTG raises to 2 BB, fold, Hero raises to 11 BB, fold, fold, fold, UTG calls 9 BB
Flop: (23.5 BB, 2 players) K:diamond: Q

J:heart: UTG checks, Hero bets 16 BB, UTG calls 16 BB
Turn: (55.5 BB, 2 players) 3

UTG checks, Hero bets 36 BB, UTG calls 36 BB
River: (127.5 BB, 2 players) 9:diamond: UTG checks, Hero checks[spoiler]UTG shows J

9

(Two Pair, Jacks and Nines) (Pre 20%, Flop 17%, Turn 11%)Hero mucks A:diamond: A

(One Pair, Aces) (Pre 80%, Flop 83%, Turn 89%)UTG wins 124.5 BB[/spoiler]

And graph:

So yea

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-08-17, 10:00 AM

slik, what are all the color codes?

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-08-17, 10:03 AM

sweep, my one question. What kind of bet-sizes were u up against?

Having played a number of tournaments, most players aren't good at disguising the strength of their hands. Ergo:
1) Pre-flop, a Raise size of > 3.5 is normally indicative of a premium-hand. Unless they are toying w/ u, u are up against a top starting hand.
2) Post-flop, beware of the bet size that just went thru the roof. A $2 hand that miraculously became a $50 hand? I don't think so.

**slikec** · 03-08-17, 10:56 AM

Yellow is EV line is what money you would get if pot was split at moment of AI.
Red- non showdown winnings
Blue- showdown winnings and
Green is actual winnings(or losses in my case).

**Ballerholic** · 03-08-17, 12:11 PM

yea that's pretty brutal. There's a guy in the stable I just left. He was 40 buyins under EV, $1000 for a 25NL player. Sometimes luck is just not on your side. However, in theory you should hit enough upswings to even it out in the long run.