Important info when capping the Den/Pitt game

[PAULYPOKER]

Manning is not ready for a Dick LeBeau confusion oriented defense.............

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Get some, man.

I like it. Only one Q. No James Harrison? Does Lebeau have a young buck ready to fill in? Woodley to get after Peyton?

[The Giant]

Are you talking about Cooper Manning?

[No coincidences]

How many of Pittsburgh's defensive starters are actually playing?

[Brock Landers]

Fuckin' Tim Tebow beat that great Defense LOL

[Chi_archie]

LeBeau is sooooo old

only thing confusing relating to him anymore, is him trying to remember how to set the TIVO for Matlock and Murder She Wrote re-runs

we are talking about a genius in Manning....

3-4 won't work with the roster they are putting out there today

[PAULYPOKER]

Get some, man.

I like it. Only one Q. No James Harrison? Does Lebeau have a young buck ready to fill in? Woodley to get after Peyton?

Pittsburgh is a linebacker factory,

Clark's replacement is the only potential weakness.............

[Chi_archie]

Fuckin' Tim Tebow beat that great Defense LOL

not only BEAT them, but had like 6 passes over 20 yards. more than they'd had all year to that point I think.

[Chi_archie]

get ready to hear these names from the steelers team alot, Gilbert, Foster, Lewis, Mundy

they are all about 3rd string worthy at best, and have already been identified and targeted by the Broncos

[Brock Landers]

is james harrison playing???

[PAULYPOKER]

not only BEAT them, but had like 6 passes over 20 yards. more than they'd had all year to that point I think.

That was Troys fault,

Clark was not there to make him look good............

[adila1401]

is james harrison playing???

No, Harrison is out sir

Reference: http://www.wivb.com/dpp/sports/bills...oncos_80354910

going with Manning -1 now

[sneakerhead]

brock, whats the play?

[Chi_archie]

That was Troys fault,

Clark was not there to make him look good............

Troy still dumb and 1 year older/slower

media got him buying into his own hype

he had a good 2 years, but that shipped sailed by 2009

[KingJD31]

feel a defensive struggle coming, forcing this bet though

[MeatWad]

feel a defensive struggle coming, forcing this bet though

Denver D is no joke either. Manning will be back in good form before the season is over, but has had some rust issues. I noticed a few times in preseason he missed a few passes badly, ones he normally makes in his sleep.

I did bet heavily on Decker to exceed statistical expectations for the season, but I think he will have bigger games as the season progresses. He and Peyton will develop chemistry as they understand each other's idiosyncracies.

[MeatWad]

Look at that D, a big reason Manning went there in the first place!!!! Under looking good so far.

[The Kraken]

Look at that D, a big reason Manning went there in the first place!!!! Under looking good so far.

Hope this keeps up

[KingJD31]

perfect start keep it like this

[MeatWad]

That young Denver D only going to keep getting better. Awesome D's are always ahead of offenses early in the year. Defense is more about reacting and pounding and less about coordination and rythm like the O.

[TexansFan]

Yeah, Manning and the Colts never faced Pit in all those years he played for them.

[MeatWad]

Yeah, Manning and the Colts never faced Pit in all those years he played for them.

I think the biggest issue with Manning is not only rust but getting comfortable with the intrincasies of his new team.

Obviously he has faced Pitt. A good question is how has he performed against Pitt? The simplest answer is -9.0 pts off his career QB rating.

[Chi_archie]

I guess Pittsburgh can still get after the ball

and WTF is Hampton doing back already? how does he rehab from an ACL faster than Mendenhall? the guy is 400 lbs in the offseason and is 46 years old for chris's sake!!!

[PAULYPOKER]

[KingJD31]

Overs going to hit fuk

[MeatWad]

Overs going to hit fuk

A field go here would be perfect!

Now let's play some DDDDD!!!!

[KingJD31]

That worked out perfect fg and clock

A field go here would be perfect!

Now let's play some DDDDD!!!!

[KingJD31]

Lol

[No coincidences]

[Brock Landers]

Good info guy, Pittsburgh D did nothing special

[agendaman]

no one incl. me really knows anything about cappin the nfl. do it for 16 games you will lose

[MeatWad]

no one incl. me really knows anything about cappin the nfl. do it for 16 games you will lose

NFL capping is much more difficult than capping NCAAF. In NCAAF there is soo much volatility/variance, due to rotating players each year and just the general discrepancies in talent levels from top to bottom, which makes it more difficult to accurately spread the games.

The NFL spreads are always much tighter. Unlike NCAAF, I bet more units and games as the NFL season progresses as I feel like I have a better feel about public misconceptions (ie undervalued/overvalued teams) and potentially stylistic mismatches after a few weeks of serious play.

Look back at the week 1 NFL and NCAAF spreads in a month or 2 months. There will be many more NCAAF games (by % and volume) that are way off on the spreads. Not only that, the amount of points some of these NCAAF spreads will be "off" will be much higher than the what the NFL spreads will have appeared wrong. Therefore there is much more value in the NCAA, you just have to put in the work and analyze everything as impartially and thoroughly as possible to extract money from these wrongly valued teams.

[SportsPedagogy]

Jeeze Ben, Missy Franklin is only 17!!

[hydrosmak]

Important info when reading a Paulypoker thread... he is a Pittsburgh homer.

[PAULYPOKER]

I hope it was just Denver air that made the Steelers D that shitty......................