The Seer's 2012 NCAAF & NFL thread

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  • DOM-Ganador
    SBR MVP
    • 05-30-12
    • 4479

    #3396
    Tailed on the 1/2 Nebraska.Had them for the game, then after seeing your pick, got em @ +5.5.Cheers.
    Comment
    • The Seer
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-29-07
      • 10641

      #3397
      Originally posted by DirtyBird1500
      Wow Stanford line dropping like crazy. Seeing it at 4 and even 3.5. I got on it at -6 yesterday. I don't see how Stanford doesnt win by a couple scores. Wisconsin shouldn't even be in this game.
      I don't see it either. It's mostly dead numbers though. With the Stanford run defense at 4th in the country only giving up 2.8 yds per carry, I'll take my chances.
      Originally posted by DOM-Ganador
      Tailed on the 1/2 Nebraska.Had them for the game, then after seeing your pick, got em @ +5.5.Cheers.
      Comment
      • WarEagle43
        SBR Hustler
        • 12-21-10
        • 61

        #3398
        I agree that wisky shouldn"t be there than why the late money on them? Is it the return of the old coach.
        Comment
        • WarEagle43
          SBR Hustler
          • 12-21-10
          • 61

          #3399
          I still have 6 and a half but I think its still a good number. Do you agree?
          Comment
          • kjrudemi
            SBR High Roller
            • 12-20-10
            • 105

            #3400
            Can tell anybody tell me why I shouldn't be loading up on Stanford right now at -4.5?
            Comment
            • meyer0416
              SBR MVP
              • 10-19-11
              • 1082

              #3401
              if i wanna tease, can anyone recommend the O/U.. thxs
              Comment
              • meyer0416
                SBR MVP
                • 10-19-11
                • 1082

                #3402
                and what u like better seer or anyone elses input, stanford-FSU ML parlay or tease? i can get +3, -7 for the teaser option for just slightly better odds than putting ML's together - 100-83 vs 100-76, thinking of adding lakers or knicks.. not sure though... any input, i thank you in advance
                Comment
                • ItsMeMrMattE
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 08-30-10
                  • 5294

                  #3403
                  Originally posted by meyer0416
                  if i wanna tease, can anyone recommend the O/U.. thxs
                  tease the last to games on the over side +13 pts.
                  Comment
                  • ItsMeMrMattE
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-30-10
                    • 5294

                    #3404
                    so over 34 and over 46
                    Comment
                    • The Seer
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 10-29-07
                      • 10641

                      #3405
                      Rose Bowl
                      Bovada is still hanging a 48 in case you are interested
                      I'm gonna take a little of it
                      Stfd/Wisc under 48 -110 1/2 unit
                      Comment
                      • The Seer
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 10-29-07
                        • 10641

                        #3406
                        Originally posted by WarEagle43
                        I agree that wisky shouldn"t be there than why the late money on them? Is it the return of the old coach.
                        was said that is what the players wanted but Stanford should be just as motivated
                        Originally posted by WarEagle43
                        I still have 6 and a half but I think its still a good number. Do you agree?
                        I think it's good up to 7. I just don't see Wisky scoring much
                        Originally posted by meyer0416
                        if i wanna tease, can anyone recommend the O/U.. thxs
                        I don't recommend college teasers or parlays man
                        Comment
                        • ItsMeMrMattE
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 08-30-10
                          • 5294

                          #3407
                          Originally posted by The Seer
                          was said that is what the players wanted but Stanford should be just as motivated

                          I think it's good up to 7. I just don't see Wisky scoring much

                          I don't recommend college teasers or parlays man
                          Why dont you recommend college teasers?
                          Comment
                          • The Seer
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 10-29-07
                            • 10641

                            #3408
                            Originally posted by ItsMeMrMattE
                            Why dont you recommend college teasers?
                            I would recommend Wong teasers & college games dont hit on 3 & 7 as often & lines not as accurate as NFL.
                            Today would have been a good day though for a few. I took some bad numbers and might should have taken teasers. I don't bet them much anyway. I think I took one the whole year that involved a total. Teasing totals is not a good idea though. Make sure teaser ties win at your book too.
                            BTW I wouldn't tease those big spreads at all.
                            Last edited by The Seer; 01-02-13, 01:36 AM. Reason: added
                            Comment
                            • The Seer
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 10-29-07
                              • 10641

                              #3409
                              Orange Bowl
                              People are comparing this to Oklahoma & Boise. I don't see that happening. NIll might hang for a half a little bit but FSU in Florida in the orange bowl is getting my $.
                              adding another unit to FSU which makes 2
                              FSU -14 -110 1 unit
                              Comment
                              • The Seer
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 10-29-07
                                • 10641

                                #3410
                                also adding:
                                under 59 -110 1/2 unit
                                Comment
                                • coitus_maximus
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 01-05-12
                                  • 870

                                  #3411
                                  Agree on both of those plays. I have many of my buds love the Cinderella story, but with size, speed, and I feel FSu is motivated, should be a blowout.
                                  Comment
                                  • ItsMeMrMattE
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 08-30-10
                                    • 5294

                                    #3412
                                    ya i only tease totals in a hedge of my original tease. just so i can get the +13 pts and be playing both sides of a spread on 1 or 2 of the remaining legs.
                                    Comment
                                    • The Seer
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 10-29-07
                                      • 10641

                                      #3413
                                      Originally posted by coitus_maximus
                                      Agree on both of those plays. I have many of my buds love the Cinderella story, but with size, speed, and I feel FSu is motivated, should be a blowout.
                                      If Jimbo Fisher wasn't such a moron and throws it every down inside the 10 then they would be up 4 TDs.
                                      Comment
                                      • The Seer
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 10-29-07
                                        • 10641

                                        #3414
                                        I think Florida is actually the best team in the country. Muschamp won't be as stupid as Jimbo Fisher. He'll use his size advantage and that defensive speed will be evident in the Superdome.
                                        Florida -14 -110 2 units
                                        GL
                                        Comment
                                        • mbcoutinho
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 09-28-11
                                          • 181

                                          #3415
                                          Originally posted by The Seer
                                          I think Florida is actually the best team in the country. Muschamp won't be as stupid as Jimbo Fisher. He'll use his size advantage and that defensive speed will be evident in the Superdome.
                                          Florida -14 -110 2 units
                                          GL
                                          On it, Seer.
                                          Comment
                                          • coitus_maximus
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 01-05-12
                                            • 870

                                            #3416
                                            Have to agree. Florida wins this by at least 17 pts. 31-14 is total and giving Louisville 14 is generous.

                                            Bridgewater may be good, but he will be pressured all evening. Watch for Lville turnovers and UF to just run, run, run, Maybe close 1st half, but Lville def will wear down due to all the runs. Florida not a turnover machine and I promise Gillesslee wants to be remembered at UF. Driskel has also been working on his throwing so maybe a bit of passing in this game. Just surprised everyone is on Louisville.
                                            Comment
                                            • DirtyBird1500
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 11-17-11
                                              • 723

                                              #3417
                                              Is everyone on Louisville? I am seeing 64% of the public on Florida.

                                              I'm tailing tonight Seer, I didnt have much of a feel for this game myself, but I like your reasoning.
                                              Comment
                                              • tblues2005
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 07-30-06
                                                • 9235

                                                #3418
                                                I agree the seer. I think it could become like last night. Major mismatches here.
                                                Comment
                                                • coitus_maximus
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 01-05-12
                                                  • 870

                                                  #3419
                                                  On the forums they are. I just check the big 3
                                                  Comment
                                                  • DirtyBird1500
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 11-17-11
                                                    • 723

                                                    #3420
                                                    Well not exactly the start we were looking for there...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • enzopizzaman
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 11-23-10
                                                      • 120

                                                      #3421
                                                      I'm on Louisville. Especially if you get the hook. Big east is not the Mac. I can see why seer is leaning more faves once big boy football started yesterday, but sharps should be programmed to always take a double diget dog thats a decent team. Just my two cents
                                                      Comment
                                                      • moodyt2
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 11-04-09
                                                        • 448

                                                        #3422
                                                        Florida is the best team in the country.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • DirtyBird1500
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 11-17-11
                                                          • 723

                                                          #3423
                                                          I had a wager with myself on whether we'd get a Moody post before halftime once Louisville went up 14.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • The Seer
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 10-29-07
                                                            • 10641

                                                            #3424
                                                            Originally posted by enzopizzaman
                                                            I'm on Louisville. Especially if you get the hook. Big east is not the Mac. I can see why seer is leaning more faves once big boy football started yesterday, but sharps should be programmed to always take a double diget dog thats a decent team. Just my two cents
                                                            It's not the reason I bet FL but history says you are wrong
                                                            DD faves are 6-1 ATS in BCS bowls

                                                            2013 Orange Bowl: FSU 31, N.Illinois 10 - FSU -14
                                                            2011 Fiesta Bowl: Oklahoma 48, UConn 20 – Oklahoma -16
                                                            2010 Sugar Bowl: Florida 51, Cincinnati 24 – Florida -12
                                                            2009 Rose Bowl: USC 38, Penn State 24 – USC -10
                                                            2008 Rose Bowl: USC 49, Illinois 17 – USC -13
                                                            2007 Orange Bowl: Louisville 24, Wake Forest 13 – Louisville -10.5
                                                            2003 Fiesta Bowl: Ohio State 31, Miami 24 (OT) - Miami -12

                                                            Louisville is better than I thought up front but there's plenty of football left
                                                            Comment
                                                            • The Seer
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 10-29-07
                                                              • 10641

                                                              #3425
                                                              Originally posted by DirtyBird1500
                                                              I had a wager with myself on whether we'd get a Moody post before halftime once Louisville went up 14.
                                                              trolls wait til it looks like you are gonna lose one so they can celebrate
                                                              nevermind the fact that i'm 27-8-2 in bowl bets so far
                                                              Comment
                                                              • The Seer
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 10-29-07
                                                                • 10641

                                                                #3426
                                                                Originally posted by moodyt2
                                                                Florida is the best team in the country.
                                                                They beat Texas A&M at their place and Bama lost to them at home. Think about that.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • enzopizzaman
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 11-23-10
                                                                  • 120

                                                                  #3427
                                                                  Originally posted by The Seer
                                                                  It's not the reason I bet FL but history says you are wrong
                                                                  DD faves are 6-1 ATS in BCS bowls

                                                                  2013 Orange Bowl: FSU 31, N.Illinois 10 - FSU -14
                                                                  2011 Fiesta Bowl: Oklahoma 48, UConn 20 – Oklahoma -16
                                                                  2010 Sugar Bowl: Florida 51, Cincinnati 24 – Florida -12
                                                                  2009 Rose Bowl: USC 38, Penn State 24 – USC -10
                                                                  2008 Rose Bowl: USC 49, Illinois 17 – USC -13
                                                                  2007 Orange Bowl: Louisville 24, Wake Forest 13 – Louisville -10.5
                                                                  2003 Fiesta Bowl: Ohio State 31, Miami 24 (OT) - Miami -12

                                                                  Louisville is better than I thought up front but there's plenty of football left
                                                                  History stays favs do well as you posted. But where I stand is sharp should have capped this knowing Louisville has a good qb and other skilled players on offense. Not hating on yah seer, I do respect you as a capper but thinking this game would turn out like last nights orange bowl was a mistake off the get-go. Louisville is not NI
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • The Seer
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 10-29-07
                                                                    • 10641

                                                                    #3428
                                                                    Florida has shown to make great 2nd half adjustments this year.
                                                                    Louisville has 6 yards total rushing. Pass D adjustments will be made.
                                                                    I'll chase a little here.
                                                                    2nd half Florida -9 -115 1 unit
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • moodyt2
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 11-04-09
                                                                      • 448

                                                                      #3429
                                                                      Originally posted by The Seer
                                                                      They beat Texas A&M at their place and Bama lost to them at home. Think about that.
                                                                      Bama played Texas A&M after a physical game at LSU. While A&M played at Miss State.
                                                                      Think about that loser. You will know who the best team is Tuesday morning.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • The Seer
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 10-29-07
                                                                        • 10641

                                                                        #3430
                                                                        Originally posted by moodyt2
                                                                        Bama played Texas A&M after a physical game at LSU. While A&M played at Miss State.
                                                                        Think about that loser. You will know who the best team is Tuesday morning.
                                                                        You think about Bama playing Utah in the Sugar Bowl while I count my bowl winnings & winnings on the year. I'd be willing to bet you have a negative balance.
                                                                        Comment
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