If you THINK 2012 Presidential Election will be a Landslide :: Think again

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  • Sam Odom
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-30-05
    • 58063

    #1
    If you THINK 2012 Presidential Election will be a Landslide :: Think again
    before anyone jumps on this as propaganda... Consider

    Sammy believes a fair line as of NOW is Obama -150 to win

    Also... This map is from the New York Times
  • Easy-Rider 66
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 02-14-12
    • 36545

    #2
    Really think Romney take this. Now that the nomination fight is over, he can start the process of getting the Independents in his corner. Obama is in a weak position.
    Comment
    • Sam Odom
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-30-05
      • 58063

      #3
      Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66

      Really think Romney take this.

      Hard to say but I understand your sentiments - IMHO , Romney wins Fla & Colo from the map above
      Comment
      • d2bets
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 08-10-05
        • 39995

        #4
        Not so sure about NC in the leaning Romney column. Seems more like a tossup. And PA and WI are leaning Obama at the very least.
        Comment
        • Sam Odom
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-30-05
          • 58063

          #5
          Dem convention in N.Car could be a blessing or a curse for Obama... DNC needs to remove most of the talk over fringe planks. Like when the boy scouts were booed a few years back
          Comment
          • thetrinity
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-25-11
            • 22430

            #6
            hard to see romney winning any of the supposed toss ups besides florida. calling pa a tossup is very generous.
            Comment
            • PAULYPOKER
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 12-06-08
              • 36581

              #7
              RACIST for criticizing Obama.

              TERRORIST if your not with Bush.

              ANTISEMITIC for not supporting Rothschild Zionism.

              TEABAGGER for supporting the Constitution.

              TRUTH-ER for asking unanswered questions.

              TRAITOR for whistle-blowing on the corrupt Government.

              CONSPIRACY THEORIST for presenting documented facts.

              TROLL for uploading news, videos, quotes and U.S.Atrocities.

              ANTI-AMERICAN for supporting Constitutionalists like Dr. Ron Paul.
              Comment
              • GunShard
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 03-05-10
                • 10031

                #8
                There are smart voters and stupid voters.
                The smart voters will vote on political reasons.
                The stupid voters will vote for a person's personality and ignore the politics.
                Obama might win because of the stupid voters. The smart voters are split between Obama and Romney.
                Comment
                • 19th Hole
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 03-22-09
                  • 18954

                  #9
                  Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
                  RACIST for criticizing Obama.

                  TERRORIST if your not with Bush.

                  ANTISEMITIC for not supporting Rothschild Zionism.

                  TEABAGGER for supporting the Constitution.

                  TRUTH-ER for asking unanswered questions.

                  TRAITOR for whistle-blowing on the corrupt Government.

                  CONSPIRACY THEORIST for presenting documented facts.

                  TROLL for uploading news, videos, quotes and U.S.Atrocities.

                  ANTI-AMERICAN for supporting Constitutionalists like Dr. Ron Paul.
                  ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~`

                  So you're a RTATTTCTTAAer and we didn't even know it?
                  Comment
                  • 19th Hole
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-22-09
                    • 18954

                    #10
                    And the wnner is......











                    The oligarchy that owns BOTH candidates.
                    Comment
                    • Tully Mars 63
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-06-11
                      • 2750

                      #11
                      I don't see Obama losing PA or Ohio, Florida probably a loss but he doesn't need it.

                      On a side note I can't believe Sam use info from the NYT, thought you guys hated that liberal rag.
                      Comment
                      • LVHerbie
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 09-15-05
                        • 6344

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Tully Mars 63
                        I don't see Obama losing PA or Ohio, Florida probably a loss but he doesn't need it.

                        On a side note I can't believe Sam use info from the NYT, thought you guys hated that liberal rag.
                        Just the flavor of the week type of thing when you just search for stuff that only backs up your view point...

                        Personally I'm not so positive about Ohio but I would add Colorado, Nevada, and Wisconsin to the states where there is at least a strong lean to Obama and some recent polls even had Obama actually slightly leading in Missouri so not sure why they would include it as leaning towards Romney and not at least in their neutral classification...
                        Comment
                        • Tully Mars 63
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-06-11
                          • 2750

                          #13
                          Originally posted by LVHerbie
                          Just the flavor of the week type of thing when you just search for stuff that only backs up your view point...

                          Personally I'm not so positive about Ohio but I would add Colorado, Nevada, and Wisconsin to the states where there is at least a strong lean to Obama and some recent polls even had Obama actually slightly leading in Missouri so not sure why they would include it as leaning towards Romney and not at least in their neutral classification...
                          Ohio is rust belt and the polls have been consistently Obama, he's currently only up about 4% but Romney's comments about firing people and let the auto industry go bankrupt will not play well there.

                          I agree with you on all but Colorado, think it's a real chance for Romney. Wisconsin seems to be pretty solid Obama which is odd because Walkers numbers are getting better. I would have thought if Walker pulled out a win Obama would drop but the latest polls show Walker and Obama gaining at the same time. I think the latest poll shows Obama up 8 pts and gaining.

                          Many of these states will come down to money (doesn't always?) and the super-pacs could change things dramatically.
                          Comment
                          • The Kraken
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 12-25-11
                            • 28918

                            #14
                            Obama will appeal to moderates much more than Romney. These polls are junk.
                            Comment
                            • brooks85
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-05-09
                              • 44709

                              #15
                              But if Obama's supporters hit the trail and tout his achievements as president, Clinton said he was confident "he'll be fine and he'll be re-elected."

                              now that is funny
                              Comment
                              • topgame85
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 03-30-08
                                • 12325

                                #16
                                Put Virginia in Romney's column. Rockin' the red.
                                Comment
                                • Smoke
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 10-09-09
                                  • 48111

                                  #17
                                  Here in Ohio we decide the winner

                                  And believe me its not that bully Romney

                                  Obama 2012
                                  Comment
                                  • Smoke
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 10-09-09
                                    • 48111

                                    #18
                                    Link Not Working - Removed-)
                                    Comment
                                    • Tully Mars 63
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-06-11
                                      • 2750

                                      #19
                                      I found this interesting-

                                      Link Not Working - Removed-)
                                      Comment
                                      • Tully Mars 63
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-06-11
                                        • 2750

                                        #20
                                        Obvious cut and splice jobs at 24-25 and another around 45 seconds. Wonder what he really said?
                                        Comment
                                        • Mr KLC
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 12-19-07
                                          • 31097

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Smoke
                                          Here in Ohio we decide the winner

                                          And believe me its not that bully Romney

                                          Obama 2012
                                          Rasmussen came out today with a new Ohio poll.

                                          Romney 46%
                                          Obama 44%

                                          In the same breath, I'll say its way too early to depend on polls, but if this stays close, the edge will probably go to Romney with the 5% undecided. Undecideds almost always go against the incumbent.
                                          Comment
                                          • Tully Mars 63
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-06-11
                                            • 2750

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Mr KLC
                                            Undecideds almost always go against the incumbent.
                                            That's true to the tune of about 80% historically.
                                            Comment
                                            • Dutch
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-21-10
                                              • 4339

                                              #23
                                              Who ever said anything about a landslide?

                                              I don't think I've ever seen a Prez win in a landslide. Reagan maybe but I was 5 yrs old.
                                              Comment
                                              • thetrinity
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 01-25-11
                                                • 22430

                                                #24
                                                i think clinton won by a landslide over dole, he had over 370 electoral votes.
                                                Comment
                                                • thetrinity
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 01-25-11
                                                  • 22430

                                                  #25
                                                  could almost say obama was a landslide in 08, he more then doubled mccain. 2-1 pretty much is a landslide.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Mr KLC
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 12-19-07
                                                    • 31097

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Dutch
                                                    Who ever said anything about a landslide?

                                                    I don't think I've ever seen a Prez win in a landslide. Reagan maybe but I was 5 yrs old.
                                                    Clinton won a pretty sizable one in 1996. He didn't get over 50%, but Perot took over 8% of the vote that year.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Tully Mars 63
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 08-06-11
                                                      • 2750

                                                      #27
                                                      Yep and before that Nixon won with 520-

                                                      Comment
                                                      • Emily_Haines
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 04-14-09
                                                        • 15917

                                                        #28
                                                        I would once like to see all these guys posting this non sense about Romney winning actually instead post a picture with a bet slip and a very large amount on it with Romney to win.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • thetrinity
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 01-25-11
                                                          • 22430

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Emily_Haines
                                                          I would once like to see all these guys posting this non sense about Romney winning actually instead post a picture with a bet slip and a very large amount on it with Romney to win.
                                                          sam said he was going to bet on obama to win in a different thread. i question the validity of these maps myself, if people see blowouts they wont show up to vote. the huffington post map i posted wednesday was much more in favor of obama.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • thetrinity
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 01-25-11
                                                            • 22430

                                                            #30
                                                            can you bet on who wins actual states instead of who gets the nomination? i havent seen any lines for that.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Tully Mars 63
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 08-06-11
                                                              • 2750

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by thetrinity
                                                              can you bet on who wins actual states instead of who gets the nomination? i havent seen any lines for that.

                                                              There's only a handful of states that are really in play. I doubt you'll see anyone taking money against Mitt winning Texas or Obama winning NY. Might get lines on Florida, Ohio and few others but I haven't seen nor looked for them.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • thetrinity
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-25-11
                                                                • 22430

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Tully Mars 63
                                                                There's only a handful of states that are really in play. I doubt you'll see anyone taking money against Mitt winning Texas or Obama winning NY. Might get lines on Florida, Ohio and few others but I haven't seen nor looked for them.
                                                                ya i was more interested in the tossup type states, most of these are 100% decided already.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Tully Mars 63
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 08-06-11
                                                                  • 2750

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I just looked and I think intrade has these but the amount of "shares" seems really limited.. like 6 at $5.65 for Ohio.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Sam Odom
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 10-30-05
                                                                    • 58063

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Unemployment rises to 8.2% in May as job growth stalls again

                                                                    ObamaCo are not even trying to 'spin' this terrible news
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Tully Mars 63
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 08-06-11
                                                                      • 2750

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Yeah Romney jumped big this morning on intrade.
                                                                      Comment
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