At what point do you just start fading the Yankees?

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  • t-wizzle
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-18-09
    • 38099

    #1
    At what point do you just start fading the Yankees?
    Team is just flat out not that good. Pretty crappy pitching overall and especially with the injuries to the bullpen. Lineup has the potential to be decent but Girardi insists on filling out the same old tired lineup card day in and day out.

    You know you will always get inflated lines with the Yankees, it's just the nature of the biz. I would imagine a straight fade would be profitable over the course of the year.

    Team probably won't even be a threat to make the playoffs.
  • ZetaPsi808
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-18-08
    • 12119

    #2
    i dont blindly fade any team.

    i have faded the angels and phillies (at home) in certain spots for a profit this year.
    Comment
    • MoneyLineDawg
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-01-09
      • 13253

      #3
      You missed the train pal....Yankees always start out kinda slow like this and turn it on in June/July

      Just going through a rut right now, they will be in the playoffs yet again
      Comment
      • No coincidences
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-18-10
        • 76300

        #4
        Monday night?

        Paulino is very good. Kuroda isn't. Line should be about +140.
        Comment
        • t-wizzle
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 12-18-09
          • 38099

          #5
          Kuroda continues to get insane lines. He was only good because he loved playing in LA. He's out of his element in the Bronx.

          Yankees suck. How about A-rod today when he thought he hit one out. Loser only has warning track power anymore without the steroids.
          Comment
          • No coincidences
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-18-10
            • 76300

            #6
            Originally posted by t-wizzle
            Kuroda continues to get insane lines. He was only good because he loved playing in LA. He's out of his element in the Bronx.

            Yankees suck. How about A-rod today when he thought he hit one out. Loser only has warning track power anymore without the steroids.
            I don't know why everyone says the Yankees will turn it on soon. Talk about completely missing the point re: how valuable Robertson and Rivera are to that bullpen.
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            • t-wizzle
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 12-18-09
              • 38099

              #7
              Originally posted by No coincidences
              I don't know why everyone says the Yankees will turn it on soon. Talk about completely missing the point re: how valuable Robertson and Rivera are to that bullpen.
              Even with them, that team is a joke. What cracks me up is Girardi continuing to hit A-Rod 3 or 4 in the lineup. The guy is beyond washed up. Teixeira is a joke as well but he continues to hit 5th.
              Comment
              • KingJD31
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 11-04-11
                • 8167

                #8
                Classic arod thought he had go ahead homerun flips the bat points to the dugout only to realize his power is gone without the d bol
                Comment
                • Ghenghis Kahn
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 01-02-12
                  • 19734

                  #9
                  i hope they lose tomorrow.
                  Comment
                  • t-wizzle
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 12-18-09
                    • 38099

                    #10
                    Originally posted by KingJD31
                    Classic arod thought he had go ahead homerun flips the bat points to the dugout only to realize his power is gone without the d bol
                    Guy is so irrelevant nowadays. One of the all-time biggest chokers in baseball history.
                    Comment
                    • No coincidences
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-18-10
                      • 76300

                      #11
                      Originally posted by t-wizzle
                      Even with them, that team is a joke. What cracks me up is Girardi continuing to hit A-Rod 3 or 4 in the lineup. The guy is beyond washed up. Teixeira is a joke as well but he continues to hit 5th.
                      Teix at least has the excuse that he usually starts slow.

                      A-Roid is done. Agree.

                      They also miss Gardner.
                      Comment
                      • ZetaPsi808
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 09-18-08
                        • 12119

                        #12
                        Originally posted by t-wizzle
                        Even with them, that team is a joke. What cracks me up is Girardi continuing to hit A-Rod 3 or 4 in the lineup. The guy is beyond washed up. Teixeira is a joke as well but he continues to hit 5th.
                        i agree with these points.

                        royals always play much better on the road. i will be on royals ml for 1 unit for every game of this series
                        Comment
                        • paranoyd androyd
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 10-01-11
                          • 6459

                          #13
                          yankees are a disaster
                          Comment
                          • Gndias
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-23-11
                            • 1607

                            #14
                            they are overrated...but i really need them to win tonight Still ,they won't sweep anybody at home!!! just bet on the royals and you will be safe
                            Comment
                            • taxe91
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 03-16-12
                              • 610

                              #15
                              with no Gardner they are good fade material every 4 out of 5 games (I don't dare fade CC). I honestly believe when they get the one of the best spark plugs in the majors back (Gardner) they'll come alive again
                              Comment
                              • EASY_MONEY72
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 01-23-12
                                • 853

                                #16
                                Originally posted by MoneyLineDawg
                                You missed the train pal....Yankees always start out kinda slow like this and turn it on in June/July

                                Just going through a rut right now, they will be in the playoffs yet again

                                this is correct. fade before the all star break and tail after. (choosing spots of course.)
                                Comment
                                • jstblaze
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 03-05-07
                                  • 767

                                  #17
                                  Arod is going to go on fire for a while.

                                  It will happen.

                                  Hughes and Kuroda will both be at or just above .500 for the rest of the season.

                                  CC will have a few lights out starts.

                                  Pettite will picth .500 ball at least.

                                  And this will keep them in the playoff race, they will be above .500 team for rest of season on bats alone.

                                  Battling for playoff spot, not leading the race or anything, just in the hunt till last week or two for certain.

                                  Dont count out
                                  Comment
                                  • BuddyBear
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 08-10-05
                                    • 7233

                                    #18
                                    I'd say the Yankees are probably the 3rd best team in their division behind TB and TOR right now. Their pitching is shaky but their offense has the potential to make up for that. Still early, but this is not a dominant Yankee team.

                                    That being the case, I would think about fading the other NY team before fading NYY.
                                    Comment
                                    • jjgold
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 07-20-05
                                      • 388179

                                      #19
                                      I do all the time
                                      Yanks are too old and overrated
                                      No pitching
                                      Great fade
                                      Comment
                                      • BIGDAY
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 02-17-10
                                        • 48245

                                        #20
                                        Twins are a better fade this year. They have made me a lot.
                                        Comment
                                        • Gndias
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-23-11
                                          • 1607

                                          #21
                                          aahah fading twins is the best deal ever....for the 2nd year in a row...
                                          Comment
                                          • Rich Boy
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 02-01-09
                                            • 9714

                                            #22
                                            Fading Yankees has been profitable for years

                                            One of the true locks in sports betting
                                            Comment
                                            • JMon
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 12-11-09
                                              • 9800

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by MoneyLineDawg
                                              You missed the train pal....Yankees always start out kinda slow like this and turn it on in June/July

                                              Just going through a rut right now, they will be in the playoffs yet again


                                              Since 2007:

                                              Yankees in the month of April and May: 160-140 (-38.00)

                                              Yankees in the month of June and July: 169-97 (+20.08)
                                              Comment
                                              • MoneyLineDawg
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 01-01-09
                                                • 13253

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by JMon


                                                Since 2007:

                                                Yankees in the month of April and May: 160-140 (-38.00)

                                                Yankees in the month of June and July: 169-97 (+20.08)


                                                Didnt even look at any stats, just a Yankee fan who sees this scenerio every season.......People always laughing about how the Yankees are too old and done in May, but by August they are leading the East

                                                Never fails
                                                Comment
                                                • Dutchie
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 12-15-11
                                                  • 722

                                                  #25
                                                  might be worth fading them now, but I bet they pick up some more pieces before its all said and done
                                                  Comment
                                                  • KingJD31
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 11-04-11
                                                    • 8167

                                                    #26
                                                    This is the years blue Jays hang around all year and will not fade to much talent and watch out for yan gomes prospect just brought up
                                                    Comment
                                                    • MagicDiceFlow
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-15-12
                                                      • 4585

                                                      #27
                                                      I would fade them but not for more than stretches of 3 games or so. Reason why is even though AROD is sucking, this offense is still explosive with Cano & Granderson. Through in the year Jeter is having and you get the point. They're going through a stretch right now where the offense sucks roosters but every team will have stretches like these.

                                                      I'm no Yankees fan but auto fading this offense is russian roulette especially when they hit their stride again which can happen at any given moment.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • t-wizzle
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 12-18-09
                                                        • 38099

                                                        #28
                                                        The past has nothing to do with this season. Those were different teams.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • betcha_bottom$
                                                          SBR Hustler
                                                          • 05-20-12
                                                          • 99

                                                          #29
                                                          I wouldn't fade them today. Kuroda isn't as bad as his ERA suggests. He's had 2 horrible games, 1 mediocre game and 5 really good games. He had a 3.50 era before the jays game.

                                                          He's never been the type of pitcher to have 2 bad outings in a row. Yankees hitters worry me a bit but i don't think the Royals get much today.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Gndias
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-23-11
                                                            • 1607

                                                            #30
                                                            uau great start
                                                            Comment
                                                            • thirtytwo
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-07-10
                                                              • 1784

                                                              #31
                                                              cant score with bases loaded no outs and the heart of the lineup coming up
                                                              Comment
                                                              • t-wizzle
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 12-18-09
                                                                • 38099

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by thirtytwo
                                                                cant score with bases loaded no outs and the heart of the lineup coming up
                                                                Yep. Yankees are a joke. 85 wins will be a struggle.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • antifoil
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-11-09
                                                                  • 3993

                                                                  #33
                                                                  i ran a regression model on this. start fading on May 7th, 2014. it will be the optimal time to get the biggest payday.

                                                                  your welcome.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jjgold
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 07-20-05
                                                                    • 388179

                                                                    #34
                                                                    200 million payroll

                                                                    teams with 50 million payroll much better
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • t-wizzle
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 12-18-09
                                                                      • 38099

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by antifoil
                                                                      i ran a regression model on this. start fading on May 7th, 2014. it will be the optimal time to get the biggest payday.

                                                                      your welcome.
                                                                      Comment
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