any else think there is great value in the Caps series price at +333??

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  • zoo youk
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-23-11
    • 10701

    #1
    any else think there is great value in the Caps series price at +333??
    every game has been so close and the Rangers stepped in shit and got a miracle last game. I fully expect Washington to come out guns blazing tonight. if they can tie series up 3-3 and head back for a game 7, sitting on +333 is great value.
  • CaDDyy
    SBR Sharp
    • 11-30-08
    • 407

    #2
    caps are 3-0 after overtime loses this postseason if that means anything
    Comment
    • zoo youk
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-23-11
      • 10701

      #3
      hmm. really thinking about taking this
      Comment
      • InTheRed
        SBR Sharp
        • 12-25-09
        • 455

        #4
        Rangers have never lost a Game 7 at home. EVER.

        Also this series is done. The last game will cripple the Caps.

        Look to the World Series as an example. Texas had the series wrapped up, in the bag. They lost game 6 in a shocking and improbable fashion. They sat on that, thought about it, dwelled on it until game 7. Were not a factor.

        Caps had this series in the bag, it was all but over, now they lose in a shocking and improbable fashion. There is no way to overcome this.

        Mentally the Caps have already lost their season.
        Comment
        • k13
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 07-16-10
          • 18130

          #5
          Once you lose like that you lose the series.
          Comment
          • zoo youk
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 10-23-11
            • 10701

            #6
            good points
            Comment
            • zoo youk
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-23-11
              • 10701

              #7
              i think hockey is a different animal though, if the caps can manage to get some energy from the crowd and out play the rangers the first period. well #1 its going to be very tough for the rangers to match the Caps intensity the first 10 mins. if the Caps can get the first goal, its a whole new ball game and the last game goes completely out the window. but the longer the Caps go without a goal or NY scores first, the longer that hang over effect will loom.
              Comment
              • MoneyLineDawg
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-01-09
                • 13253

                #8
                I think Caps win tonight off of the energy.....They seem like a team that grinds it out no matter the circumstances

                Then in game 7 it will be really tough, but anything can happen in a game 7
                Comment
                • zoo youk
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-23-11
                  • 10701

                  #9
                  Originally posted by MoneyLineDawg
                  I think Caps win tonight off of the energy.....They seem like a team that grinds out it out no matter the circumstances

                  Then in game 7 it will be really tough, but anything can happen in a game 7
                  yeah and if it goes to game 7 +333 is crazy good value
                  Comment
                  • detroitlionsfan
                    SBR MVP
                    • 04-30-12
                    • 1895

                    #10
                    good odds ther gl man
                    Comment
                    • Pivotpoint
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-02-06
                      • 1762

                      #11
                      Zoo, that number caught my eye last night. If the Caps win tonight, that ticket with the +333 in your hand would be sweet. Unless it's a small play, you would have no opportunity to hedge in game 7. The Rangers will most likely be in the area of -150 to -160 in the Garden.

                      It would suck to win tonight and then lose Sunday. I like the Caps tonight a lot. No team has won two in a row in this series. Must admit that the Caps were 7 seconds away from doing that, but, I see the Caps having a real tough time beating the Rangers in the Garden. (assuming of course they win game 6)

                      If the series does extend to 7 , making the plus +333 valid, then you are counting on the Caps to win tonight. Ask yourself the old saying is a Bird in the hand worth two in the bush?

                      If you like the odds of the Caps winning the series, I'd make a play on the caps tonight. I would then risk only a portion of those winnings again on the Caps as proverbial underdogs and if you go 1-1 still net out positive. If you go 2-0 , don't worry about woulda, coulda and shouda and be happy with the positive results. Gambling is a marathon and the books love to grind down your roll with these long shots. I'm on the Caps tonight and hope I have an opportunity to evaluate another play in gm7 . Gl with your choice.
                      Comment
                      • milwaukee mike
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 08-22-07
                        • 27271

                        #12
                        Rolling the money lines should get you more than +333

                        100 turns into 200 after tonight, then at +150 200 turns into 500

                        So you get +400 that way, why would you take +333
                        Comment
                        • SBR Lou
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 08-02-07
                          • 37863

                          #13
                          No chance.

                          Not surprised I see MM in here on the dog value. =)
                          Comment
                          • milwaukee mike
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 08-22-07
                            • 27271

                            #14
                            was just saying there was no "value" on the series price except Negative value cuz rolling a parlay on the moneylines will pay a lot morebut that said i like the caps lou
                            Comment
                            • Robber
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 10-21-09
                              • 6432

                              #15
                              Originally posted by milwaukee mike
                              Rolling the money lines should get you more than +333

                              100 turns into 200 after tonight, then at +150 200 turns into 500

                              So you get +400 that way, why would you take +333
                              Yea +333 is juiced

                              Bet em ml
                              Comment
                              • SBR Lou
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 08-02-07
                                • 37863

                                #16
                                Originally posted by milwaukee mike
                                was just saying there was no "value" on the series price except Negative value cuz rolling a parlay on the moneylines will pay a lot morebut that said i like the caps lou
                                They're getting KO'ed tonight like Migue Cotto should have been.



                                Full disclosure: NY homer here.
                                Comment
                                • zoo youk
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 10-23-11
                                  • 10701

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by milwaukee mike
                                  Rolling the money lines should get you more than +333

                                  100 turns into 200 after tonight, then at +150 200 turns into 500

                                  So you get +400 that way, why would you take +333
                                  Comment
                                  • SportGTI
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 04-05-11
                                    • 1486

                                    #18
                                    I agree with Milwaukee Mike. I originally saw the +333 on the Caps series price and thought it looked good. But then I did the math on a rolling ML bet and it actually pays close to +400ish. So you'd be better off taking the Caps on the ML tonight and then rolling the money into the Caps in Game 7 (getting probably +140 to +150). BOL to whatever you decide.
                                    Comment
                                    • k13
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 07-16-10
                                      • 18130

                                      #19
                                      Lot of times Game 7's are juiced higher than the previous home games.
                                      Comment
                                      • LT Profits
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 10-27-06
                                        • 90963

                                        #20
                                        Parlay comes out to +358 assuming Caps +145 in Game 7.
                                        Comment
                                        • zoo youk
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 10-23-11
                                          • 10701

                                          #21
                                          2 nada
                                          Comment
                                          • hels
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 04-12-09
                                            • 8767

                                            #22
                                            Just saw this thread now and betting Caps at +333 would have been a dumb bet. Why?

                                            $100 would win $333 if they win the series.

                                            Bet tonights ML and game 7 ML

                                            $100 would win $185 if you bet ML tonight. Bet ML game 7 ~ +100 you would win $370 total if you risked the $185.

                                            Comment
                                            • LT Profits
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 10-27-06
                                              • 90963

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by hels
                                              Just saw this thread now and betting Caps at +333 would have been a dumb bet. Why?

                                              $100 would win $333 if they win the series.

                                              Bet tonights ML and game 7 ML

                                              $100 would win $185 if you bet ML tonight. Bet ML game 7 ~ +100 you would win $370 total if you risked the $185.

                                              Game 7 ML will be around +145. Parlay comes out to +358.
                                              Comment
                                              • Mike Huntertz
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 08-19-09
                                                • 11242

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                Parlay comes out to +358 assuming Caps +145 in Game 7.
                                                Thats about what I figured too.
                                                Took Caps tonight and play next game if there is one.
                                                Looks like it so far.
                                                Comment
                                                • milwaukee mike
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 08-22-07
                                                  • 27271

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by SBR Lou
                                                  They're getting KO'ed tonight like Migue Cotto should have been.



                                                  Full disclosure: NY homer here.
                                                  caps looking good here lou up 2-0 with 13 minutes left as i type
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Marco T
                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                    • 05-05-12
                                                    • 57

                                                    #26
                                                    i get you MM two different bets and risk the extra winnings on the 2nd bet so you would actually get more value then 1 bet at +333
                                                    Comment
                                                    • lakerboy
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 04-02-09
                                                      • 94463

                                                      #27
                                                      Caps +1300 to win the cup was the bet I made before the game for a half unit.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • milwaukee mike
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 08-22-07
                                                        • 27271

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                        Caps +1300 to win the cup was the bet I made before the game for a half unit.
                                                        considering they will probably be underdogs in the next 2 series, that should've been around +1600. but you can expect some juice so that's not too awful imho.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • lakerboy
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 04-02-09
                                                          • 94463

                                                          #29
                                                          You think they would be dogs to phoenix mike?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • k13
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 07-16-10
                                                            • 18130

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by milwaukee mike
                                                            considering they will probably be underdogs in the next 2 series, that should've been around +1600. but you can expect some juice so that's not too awful imho.
                                                            They won't be very big dogs in any of those series. Probably close to a pk'em vs PHX.

                                                            Unfortunately they'll lose Game 7.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • zoo youk
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 10-23-11
                                                              • 10701

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                              Caps +1300 to win the cup was the bet I made before the game for a half unit.
                                                              very very nice. Caps are playing great all around hockey right now. I woulda jumped on that if I had the opportunity.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • zoo youk
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 10-23-11
                                                                • 10701

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by milwaukee mike
                                                                considering they will probably be underdogs in the next 2 series, that should've been around +1600. but you can expect some juice so that's not too awful imho.
                                                                IF they advance there is no way they would be a dog to the Devils. nor would they be a dog to Phoenix. both Phoenix and LA it would be around a PK or -120 to either side.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • yisman
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 09-01-08
                                                                  • 75682

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I think the Devils would be favored over Washington.

                                                                  LA would be favored.
                                                                  [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                                  [/quote]

                                                                  [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • zoo youk
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 10-23-11
                                                                    • 10701

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by k13
                                                                    They won't be very big dogs in any of those series. Probably close to a pk'em vs PHX.

                                                                    Unfortunately they'll lose Game 7.
                                                                    I really think they have the Rangers and Lundquist # right now. they controlled game 5 at the garden and Rangers just got a fluke miracle win. all the pressure is on the Rangers now.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • k13
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 07-16-10
                                                                      • 18130

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by zoo youk
                                                                      I really think they have the Rangers and Lundquist # right now. they controlled game 5 at the garden and Rangers just got a fluke miracle win. all the pressure is on the Rangers now.


                                                                      I have Caps 40-1, they are drawing dead to a one outer....at least they have a chance unlike the NBA.
                                                                      Comment
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