kentucky +175 to win it all is this bad

ngates815 · 03-21-12, 12:21 PM

Saloon this thread.

thanks.

SASH · 03-21-12, 01:04 PM

doubt youd lay 1k on this, but good luck if you do

Balco10 · 03-21-12, 01:11 PM

Definitely the best team the field. Got UNC & Tucky in the final. No Marshall makes the pick feel than much better. BOL

blackbeSSt · 03-21-12, 01:15 PM

shitty number you got. 5dimes has them at +220

Balco10 · 03-21-12, 01:17 PM

Just got them at +205 at betonline.

Jayvegas420 · 03-22-12, 01:00 AM

They're +215 now @ 5D

Ace_of_Spades · 03-22-12, 01:09 AM

Fuk off Battle, you little piece of dog shitt.

Jonah · 03-22-12, 01:26 AM

Think of punctuation like the traffic signals of the written word. Mix in a little bit of it.

wtt0315 · 03-22-12, 05:23 AM

why would you do this. You should lay the 1000 on the ml instead. Then take that and all the winnings and put it on their next game and so on. You would win more this way.

YouHave2outs · 03-22-12, 05:24 AM

kentucky +175 to go dancing is a terrible terrible terrible terrible terrible terrible terrible bet.

whatever you want to lay, if you insist on this bet, just lay it on the moneylines for their reminaing games and carry it over. if they end up winning at least you'll get better than fkng +175. the idiot regs are astounding.

Sportsbetting123 · 03-22-12, 05:59 AM

Originally posted by YouHave2outs

kentucky +175 to go dancing is a terrible terrible terrible terrible terrible terrible terrible bet.

whatever you want to lay, if you insist on this bet, just lay it on the moneylines for their reminaing games and carry it over. if they end up winning at least you'll get better than fkng +175. the idiot regs are astounding.

I agree with this strategy...best of luck

LT Profits · 03-22-12, 07:48 AM

YouHaveTwoOuts nailed it, just parlay Kentucky MLs going forward and you'll net better than +175.

slatter · 03-22-12, 07:52 AM

Significantly better. Futures prices rip off squares. They're fun every once in a while, but +175 is an awful number, even for a 1 seed.

Jayvegas420 · 03-22-12, 01:26 PM

so you bet the grand to profit $190 on friday
Then on Sunday you wager the whole $1,190 to make $280 profit (I've assumed -420 in Sunday's game)
Then wager the whole $1,470 on them to make the finals to profit $420 (I've assumed -350 for this)
Now you have $1,890 & need to get very close to -110 in the final game to profit the original $1,750 you would have made on the futures bet.
Did I miss something here?

yisman · 03-22-12, 01:28 PM

Originally posted by wtt0315

why would you do this. You should lay the 1000 on the ml instead. Then take that and all the winnings and put it on their next game and so on. You would win more this way.

he doesn't have 1000 so it's not like it matters.

FindTheLock · 03-22-12, 01:50 PM

well fellas battle just mushed the wildcats. FADE them every game for profit.

LT Profits · 03-22-12, 01:53 PM

Originally posted by Jayvegas420

so you bet the grand to profit $190 on friday
Then on Sunday you wager the whole $1,190 to make $280 profit (I've assumed -420 in Sunday's game)
Then wager the whole $1,470 on them to make the finals to profit $420 (I've assumed -350 for this)
Now you have $1,890 & need to get very close to -110 in the final game to profit the original $1,750 you would have made on the futures bet.
Did I miss something here?

You MLs are too high, if Baylor wins, Ky will be about -350 and they then will be less than that with each passing game.

EmpireMaker · 03-22-12, 01:55 PM

Originally posted by Jayvegas420

so you bet the grand to profit $190 on friday
Then on Sunday you wager the whole $1,190 to make $280 profit (I've assumed -420 in Sunday's game)
Then wager the whole $1,470 on them to make the finals to profit $420 (I've assumed -350 for this)
Now you have $1,890 & need to get very close to -110 in the final game to profit the original $1,750 you would have made on the futures bet.
Did I miss something here?

They will only be 5 pt fave VS Baylor or less( -225 or less)

Jayvegas420 · 03-22-12, 02:15 PM

I think they'll be 6.5 at least.
if they play Louisville or florida in the final four couldnt they be favoured by more?
I dont know I just think that vegas builds these types of things into these futures lines.
you should be getting +215 on them right now so the difference youd make on $1000 by betting now as opposed to each game would be $40-$80 if you really shopped around for your individual games.

manny24 · 03-22-12, 02:21 PM

i have kentucky over kansas final...pound kentucky ml until the end skinlips.

Jayvegas420 · 03-22-12, 02:27 PM

Thats my final too

BettingWizard · 03-22-12, 03:23 PM

brock liked ky to win it all before the tournament, now battle is on it too.

bye bye uk

k13 · 03-22-12, 03:41 PM

Originally posted by EmpireMaker

They will only be 5 pt fave VS Baylor or less( -225 or less)

They will be more. Baylor is a joke and Kentucky lines are inflated.

So you think Baylor would be -4 vs Indiana????

Ghenghis Kahn · 03-22-12, 03:47 PM

you might get better odds just betting ml and keep on doubling. math guys chime in...

Jayvegas420 · 03-22-12, 04:03 PM

Originally posted by Jayvegas420

I think they'll be 6.5 at least.
if they play Louisville or florida in the final four couldnt they be favoured by more?
I dont know I just think that vegas builds these types of things into these futures lines.
you should be getting +215 on them right now so the difference youd make on $1000 by betting now as opposed to each game would be $40-$80 if you really shopped around for your individual games.

I thought I tried to explain the math here.

Without being clairvoyant, no one can predict the future money lines, I thought I was close but even if I wasn't, by the time you get to the final game you still to hope for close to PK EV on Kentucky to make more than the already low +175 the OP got.

Jayvegas420 · 03-22-12, 04:05 PM

And Kentucky will be favoured by more than 5 over Baylor unless there are significant Cat injuries tonight.
And probably more than 5 point favorites if they meet anyone besides MSU

qsilver335 · 03-22-12, 04:14 PM

I wouldn't take it unless it is over +210 or +215 in my opinion. Good Luck!

yisman · 03-22-12, 04:14 PM

You're pretty clearly getting better than +175 by betting MLs at decent books.

The question is whether you'd get better than +215 or +220, which is the real price.

k13 · 03-22-12, 04:21 PM

5dimes has +220

-500
-300
-300
-200

Would net you exactly +220.

But if upsets happen you won't even get +220 rolling over unless you think Kentucky will be -150 vs Florida and such lines.

Jayvegas420 · 03-23-12, 12:42 AM

Originally posted by k13

5dimes has +220

-500
-300
-300
-200

Would net you exactly +220.

But if upsets happen you won't even get +220 rolling over unless you think Kentucky will be -150 vs Florida and such lines.

fair enough.
Louisville just pushed that line down a little more!

Mac4Lyfe · 03-23-12, 12:48 AM

Calipari teams tend to find ways to lose games (usually horrible FT shooting). They will slip up eventually.

I'm riding on Indiana and this... Indiana wins NCAA Champ +10000*

If they can make it into the elite 8, I will start hedging for a nifty profit.