Belmont +3

crustyme · 03-16-12, 04:09 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

This line is suspiciously low. I gotta take Belmont here.

Thoughts NCAA guys?

nice reasoning.

No coincidences · 03-16-12, 04:11 PM

Originally posted by crustyme

nice reasoning.

You don't see a No. 3 seed favored by 3 against a 14 very often -- if ever.

23Edler_Salo6 · 03-16-12, 04:13 PM

needed GT to finish off a 5 team parlay. YAY.

crustyme · 03-16-12, 04:14 PM

i think u got this.

only down 18.

k13 · 03-16-12, 04:16 PM

No point in trying to be cute with picking upsets. Getting 3 points with a #14 seed. What a joke.

Just fade all these mid-majors till the end. They'll lose sooner or later. They got overrated because of last year.

Br0nxer · 03-16-12, 04:17 PM

...

easy fukkin money

all the "sharp" dumbfukks were on belmont

team didn't even belong on the same court with gtown

teaserpleaser · 03-16-12, 04:23 PM

Brutal for the over the refs not calling that goal tend the over is a push.... ref was like fukk it its a blowout

grizzlies1 · 03-16-12, 04:35 PM

Originally posted by Br0nxer

...

easy fukkin money

all the "sharp" dumbfukks were on belmont

team didn't even belong on the same court with gtown

Says the guy laying -118 juice and talking like he's a big timer betting $393

Br0nxer · 03-16-12, 04:37 PM

Originally posted by grizzlies1

Says the guy laying -118 juice and talking like he's a big timer betting $393

says the fukkin guy no one knows who probably bets 5 bucks a game

felt like buying the hook. it would of been so much smarter to lay 3.5 had they won by 3 you dumb fukk

PickWinnerAllDay · 03-16-12, 04:37 PM

Nothing on Belmont's schedule suggested they were about even with Georgetown.

Don't understand people trying to out think themselves. No idea why Vegas set this line at 3 when it should have been 6-7 but I'm sure they got enough people laying off or betting on Belmont out of confusion.

PickWinnerAllDay · 03-16-12, 04:38 PM

Originally posted by Br0nxer

says the fukkin guy no one knows who probably bets 5 bucks a game

felt like buying the hook. it would of been so much smarter to lay 3.5 had they won by 3 you dumb fukk

I buy the hook whenever I get the urge too now. Had the urge to buy the hook from -1.5 on Ohio a week back and didn't and they win by 1 on two missed free throws at the end. Should always trust the gut!

BigDofBA · 03-16-12, 04:38 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

I don't like takin a side just because the line is suspicious, See people jumping all over Denver +2 last night and watching their bet lose by double digits.

I need more to justify putting money down. This is a no play right now but I'm leaning Georgetown.

Have you people watched Belmont? What makes you so confident? Who exactly have they beaten?

I feel like Georgetown will beat them up on the glass. Belmont matches up better with a team like Duke than they do with G'Town IMO.

GL.

Like I was saying, why take a team when you haven't watched them play?

It was really obvious Belmont didn't match up from the get go.

No one had any reason for taking Belmont. These was an ass kicking.

brahmabull117 · 03-16-12, 04:38 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

You don't see a No. 3 seed favored by 3 against a 14 very often -- if ever.

What's your point? No reason to take belmont here. It was either Georgetown or no play

Br0nxer · 03-16-12, 04:39 PM

Originally posted by grizzlies1

Says the guy laying -118 juice and talking like he's a big timer betting $393

...

racking up big winners while your in mommies basement rolling pennies for post up money

ya ever have more than 5 bucks on a game kid

brahmabull117 · 03-16-12, 04:40 PM

Originally posted by k13

No point in trying to be cute with picking upsets. Getting 3 points with a #14 seed. What a joke.

Just fade all these mid-majors till the end. They'll lose sooner or later. They got overrated because of last year.

I would just stay away from teams like VCU that have shown real ability in the tournament

Br0nxer · 03-16-12, 04:41 PM

Originally posted by PickWinnerAllDay

I buy the hook whenever I get the urge too now. Had the urge to buy the hook from -1.5 on Ohio a week back and didn't and they win by 1 on two missed free throws at the end. Should always trust the gut!

it only makes sense

love guys on here who don't have two cents to there name or whose unit size is 7.50 talking shit cause someone bet into -118

gotta love it. only at sbr

BigDofBA · 03-16-12, 04:42 PM

Originally posted by TheLock

I'd love to hear your method of handicapping games.

For starters, I don't put money on A team when their best win was against Marshall, they played no one all year, and they match up horrible with he opponent just because he line looks fishy.

I doubt most of the people that took them had really even watched them play.

Illusivecone · 03-16-12, 04:47 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

For starters, I don't put money on A team when their best win was against Marshall, they played no one all year, and they match up horrible with he opponent just because he line looks fishy.

I doubt most of the people that took them had really even watched them play.

True say bud. What's with all the brutal lines this week? Are the regular oddsmakers on vacation???

Illusivecone · 03-16-12, 04:49 PM

LB, stick to the NBA man, u kill it there. Taking Belmont isn't equivalent to taking the Suns last night or the Bulls a couple days ago. It's the playoffs. And it's all kids playing. GL

brahmabull117 · 03-16-12, 04:50 PM

Originally posted by Illusivecone

True say bud. What's with all the brutal lines this week? Are the regular oddsmakers on vacation???

10+ seeds are getting wayyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy too much respect so far

I made a thread about this but 3 seeds traditionally win their matchups at about an 85% clip (which translates to -600 moneylines) yet the MLs for the 3 seeds have averaged about - 270

k13 · 03-16-12, 04:50 PM

Originally posted by brahmabull117

I would just stay away from teams like VCU that have shown real ability in the tournament

I'll take Kentucky over VCU if they make it that far but that's just me.

brahmabull117 · 03-16-12, 04:51 PM

Originally posted by k13

I'll take Kentucky over VCU if they make it that far but that's just me.

Agreed on Kentucky but that's probably about it

I totally agree with you though on dogs getting too much respect. The line on this game should have been aorund -600

jmathes · 03-16-12, 04:52 PM

Another terrible bet by lakerboy.

Smoke · 03-16-12, 04:53 PM

Why was gtown only giving 3? That was too easy

k13 · 03-16-12, 04:54 PM

Originally posted by brahmabull117

10+ seeds are getting wayyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy too much respect so far

I made a thread about this but 3 seeds traditionally win their matchups at about an 85% clip (which translates to -600 moneylines) yet the MLs for the 3 seeds have averaged about - 270

Exactly, parity maybe in but these moneylines are really low. Ohio State vs Gonzaga only -300, they can have my money if Gonzaga wins.

Illusivecone · 03-16-12, 04:55 PM

Originally posted by jmathes

Another terrible bet by lakerboy.

Why didn't I see you in this thread before the game? Monday morning quarterback much?

BigDofBA · 03-16-12, 04:55 PM

Originally posted by Smoke

Why was gtown only giving 3? That was too easy

Vegas just toying with people.

brahmabull117 · 03-16-12, 04:56 PM

Originally posted by k13

Exactly, parity maybe in but these moneylines are really low. Ohio State vs Gonzaga only -300, they can have my money if Gonzaga wins.

How about michigan - 235?

that line should be about 350 as well

Br0nxer · 03-16-12, 04:58 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

Vegas just toying with people.

guy like apricot sinner woulda put his life savings on belmont only if he had a life savings

kid doesn't have 2 fukkin cents to his name

then after it lost kid woulda said it was still the right play

can't make this shit up. only at sbr. the land of dumbfukk hamburgers

PickWinnerAllDay · 03-16-12, 04:59 PM

Originally posted by Br0nxer

guy like apricot sinner woulda put his life savings on belmont only if he had a life savings

kid doesn't have 2 fukkin cents to his name

I"m going to start doubling my bet total when I see lakerboy on the opposite side of me. Never fails.

k13 · 03-16-12, 05:00 PM

Originally posted by brahmabull117

How about michigan - 235?

that line should be about 350 as well

That one actually scares me because I have a all #4 seeds win in the first round prop...

brahmabull117 · 03-16-12, 05:03 PM

Originally posted by k13

That one actually scares me because I have a all #4 seeds win in the first round prop...

what line did you get on that? Usually that's about a 50-50 proposition considering that 4 seeds win about 78% of their first round matchups

Br0nxer · 03-16-12, 05:04 PM

Originally posted by PickWinnerAllDay

I"m going to start doubling my bet total when I see lakerboy on the opposite side of me. Never fails.

k13 · 03-16-12, 05:07 PM

Originally posted by brahmabull117

what line did you get on that? Usually that's about a 50-50 proposition considering that 4 seeds win about 78% of their first round matchups

+250

I also got All #3 seeds win first round at +300 or so.

brahmabull117 · 03-16-12, 05:08 PM

Originally posted by k13

+250

I also got All #3 seeds win first round at +300 or so.

I don't understand how it's possible to get +300 on 3 seeds but +250 on four seeds. 4 seeds are inferior teams with more difficult matchups, shouldn't it be the other way?

In any case, both lines are fantastic value. Like I said, 4 seeds winning all 4 games is about a 50-50 proposition so +250 is awesome