Betting trends is ridiculous

[ms61853]

So Podunk State has covered 9 of the last ten times they were road underdogs of 7 points or more. So you jump on them, right?

I think such numbers are useless, and you see them all the time as prognostications. I mean you can look at the results of roulette wheel spins and come up with a lot of such trends.

[Justin7]

Trends are useful in very minor markets that no one pays attention to. But in anything you can bet 1k or more on, I agree 100%.

[Mudcat]

So Podunk State has covered 9 of the last ten times they were road underdogs of 7 points or more. So you jump on them, right?

I think such numbers are useless, and you see them all the time as prognostications. I mean you can look at the results of roulette wheel spins and come up with a lot of such trends.

Couldn't agree more. Those kind of trends are meaningless. people who follow trends like that are just flipping a coin for their picks - they just don't realize it.

Unfortunately most reasons people find to place bets are usually just as silly. Most people are just flipping coins without realizing it. Almost everyone loses in the long run.

But getting back to trends, to me they are everything. You just need the right kind of trend. Like if you tell me such-and-such team has covered in 7 of their last 9 road games in domes, I roll my eyes. But if you were to tell me that betting against line movement when it opens in a certain range and moves at least x-amount has produced an average of 1 unit of profit for every 10 wagers placed over a sample of 500 games, that's a trend I want to know about.