Anyone down to making one play a day?

[stevenash]

I try to limit myself to only making plays that I am confident with.

Me too, if I hit an early game, I might play a late game if I got a good feel for, if I lose my best bet of the card, more time than not, I'll pack it in for the day

[FourLengthsClear]

Four lengths do you have a thread? To each is own coin... being the closer is nice but like you said isn't the end all be all can't tell you how many times I've beat the closer and still lost... good luck coin slot

No. I started a thread/spreadsheet in early 2011 where I put in 2 or 3 plays each day but most were soccer plays and books where Americans are not welcome so there inevitably there was not much interest.

Even beating the closer by a full point on every single play (in basketball) would 'only' give you a win expectation of around 56% and even with that expectation, there would be a 21% chance of losing in dollar terms over the course of 100 plays at -110. Variance is a pain in the a$$ but if you consistently beat the closer, you will win out in the long run.

[seaborneq]

I can limit myself to one play anytime and no play anytime. Tonight I didn't like anything so it is a no play night.

[stevenash]

^
I did that last Friday

[No coincidences]

How many threads do u need? Between NC '11 picks and the most unsuccessful thread with canucks its getting out of hand. Just have one thread. Not to mention you could never do one play a day because a line would reverse three cents prompting a play.

This is a thread of plays?

[DemoralizdDreamr]

Rather bet 3, 2-1 is a good day. 3-0 is great.

[Smoke]

No
Some of don't have SBS like no coin

[Ralphie1412]

This is a thread of plays?

Nope just another attention seeking thread. NC you are the worst gambler on this forum. No one cares about your gay ass lingo like "pre market" and "sharp shops"

You can't possibly have that gambling vocab and your record and think you are good at this.

[No coincidences]

Nope just another attention seeking thread. NC you are the worst gambler on this forum. No one cares about your gay ass lingo like "pre market" and "sharp shops"

You can't possibly have that gambling vocab and your record and think you are good at this.

Get a life fatty. Stay the f\*\*k out of my threads if they bother you so much.

[ebbearsfb1]

well shit, judging by the 6 "top sportsbook winner" badges you got, im sure you'd get a following

Thanks for the kind words, maybe I will create a thread and stick with it..

[suicidekings]

As stated above, 1 play per day might create the illusion of security, but that's all it is.

I have about a dozen general criteria that I'm looking for in every game, loosely applied to narrow the field of options. Sometimes that yields 6 games, sometimes zero. This thread seems to follow the premise that opportunities are evenly distributed on a day-to-day, week-to-week basis, but we all know that's not true.

[Ralphie1412]

Get a life fatty. Stay the f\*\*k out of my threads if they bother you so much.

I'm not fat, but good to know you get your info from a transsexual Greek.

It's impossible to stay out of your threads. You have 600. What's even scarier is that you are over 30 years old and have never missed a day on here. I'm talking ALL day, it's really sad.

[No coincidences]

I'm not fat, but good to know you get your info from a transsexual Greek.

It's impossible to stay out of your threads. You have 600. What's even scarier is that you are over 30 years old and have never missed a day on here. I'm talking ALL day, it's really sad.

It's impossible to stay out of my threads because you are obviously bored out of your mind and just can't seem to quit me.

Just quit. I dare you. Ignore function. Look into it. You can't do it. I've been asking you for months, yet here you are -- wasting time and trolling through in a thread relevant to gamblers everywhere.

[BIGDAY]

But how many times do you "see value" in a game or a match that turns out being wrong? I see guys all the time talking about weak spots in lines, but I find it hard to believe most of us know more than oddsmakers when it comes to setting a line aside from a few isolated instances every once in a while.

I am only good at seeing this in MMA. I believe odds makers occasionally will make lines knowing/expecting what the public will wager. Certain fighters are very "likable/popular" but there stylistic matchup does not bode well for their fight. Anything can and does happen in MMA, but I truly do feel that MMA is a sport that the books really try hard to middle themselves. Therefor, finding value against hyped/popular fighters can happen with each and every card.

Hope that makes some sense. I've started drinking tonight already.

[No coincidences]

I am only good at seeing this in MMA. I believe odds makers occasionally will make lines knowing/expecting what the public will wager. Certain fighters are very "likable/popular" but there stylistic matchup does not bode well for their fight. Anything can and does happen in MMA, but I truly do feel that MMA is a sport that the books really try hard to middle themselves. Therefor, finding value against hyped/popular fighters can happen with each and every card.

Hope that makes some sense. I've started drinking tonight already.

I know nothing about MMA, so I'll take your word for it Big Day.

[Smoke]

No coin has 30K posts in just 2 years

Guy needs to get out his moms basement

[BigDofBA]

It's definitely best not to fall in love with every game on the board but with that said, I don't think betting one game a day is going to save you.

You're going to end up betting the next day anyway so what does it matter?

What if there is three games you like today and none you like tomorrow? So you're only going to be playing one of the three games you like today and end up playing one you don't like the next day?

Basically you're going to be betting almost everyday. You might as well play what you like. One bet a day would be about 30-31 bets a month.

I doubt your winning percentage would be much different.

[BigDofBA]

No coin has 30K posts in just 2 years Guy needs to get out his moms basement

So what's worse, having 30k posts on an internet message board, or trying to make some of fun one by posting on an internet message board?

We all post here. It's pretty stupid to make fun of someone else when you're doing the same thing.

[PAULYPOKER]

Just one. Does it work? Can you just go either 1-0 and not put your winnings on something else or 0-1, cut your losses and call it a day? Even on the monster Saturdays when college and pro football and basketball overlaps? I haven't mastered the art of being selective. Not even close. Seems like, in theory, this strategy is the right one.

I have been trying to get this through to ya since day one Coin.............

[thetrinity]

absolutely terrible strategy IMO. i do think with the run u are on that you should be more selective, it lessens the swings.

[TR88]

5 to 8 bets a week