Melbourne Stars versus Adelaide Strikers, anyone betting it?

ACoochy · 01-19-12, 02:00 AM

Dreamr I'd stay away from the strikers personally. I work there and history says that once this team finds the losing mentality that its awful difficult to get out of. I'd wait til the cointoss though.

Maybe they will get up and win but I think I'm dreaming in making such statements. Good luck regardless

DemoralizdDreamr · 01-19-12, 02:03 AM

Thanks for the help

i'll look for an edge on a live line than

Gee · 01-19-12, 02:28 AM

Take the Stars.

The line is so short because the Strikers need to win by 80 runs or 10 wickets to make the finals. Usually spells for a collapse and lack of motivation when the finals are lost.

I don't get your posts there? You wanted the Stars, Acoochy said the Strikers were shite and you're looking for a live line??

edit: that being said, I hate laying -150 on 20/20 cricket, so I won't play it. If you don't mind juice, Stars win, take it. Strikers are awful and will be even worse in this spot.

ACoochy · 01-19-12, 02:33 AM

Dreamr I only said wait til coin toss cos team that's batting first is hitting almost 70% of the time.

Just a angle I thought may assist u in ur decision

DemoralizdDreamr · 01-19-12, 02:56 AM

I took the stars for a unit at -136. The strikers are 1-2 on the road, lost back to back, going to be tough to gain the momentum going into a high pressure game on the road. Ill take Shane Warne at home.

MatI · 01-19-12, 02:57 AM

I don't think winners of coin toss have been winning anything like that clip lately, but I havent done the numbers.

Melbourne Stars is def the play, but games are so close in T20, it's not worth laying huge juice. It is available still @ Pinny for 1.71 which isn't too bad.

DemoralizdDreamr · 01-19-12, 03:15 AM

19 through 3 overs for the strikers, off to a good start.

winning the coin toss does help but im glad stars are batting second.

DemoralizdDreamr · 01-19-12, 03:16 AM

damn shitty 4th over.

MatI · 01-19-12, 03:18 AM

This is not won or lost in the first 5 overs. Even 200 is very doable for a chasing side IMO.

DemoralizdDreamr · 01-19-12, 03:22 AM

The last 3 or 4 overs, teams start running down the pitch and hitting bombs. McKay looks good early, 1/37 after 5.
37 for 5 with the powerplay is pretty poor, lets see how the 6th goes.

MatI · 01-19-12, 03:47 AM

3/66 off 10 overs for the Strikers. Great start for the Stars. Hopefully they keep the pressure on.

I do like some of the new TV tech for the Big Bash. Loving the chats with Warnie & tonights umpire cam is awesome!

DemoralizdDreamr · 01-19-12, 03:56 AM

Its pretty cool how they can talk to him while he's bowling.

80 through 12, brilliant work so far. Hold em under 150!

ACoochy · 01-19-12, 04:06 AM

Dreamr im pullin 4 ya here pal

Couldnt touvh it in the end...GL

DemoralizdDreamr · 01-19-12, 04:14 AM

Originally posted by ACoochy

Dreamr im pullin 4 ya here pal

Couldnt touvh it in the end...GL

thanks! the last 4 overs always kill me. Lets keep it under 150.

Bingo, got ferguson!

MatI · 01-19-12, 04:16 AM

Originally posted by DemoralizdDreamr

thanks! the last 4 overs always kill me. Lets keep it under 150.

The strikers doing their best to help with that! 6/110 off in 17th over.

DemoralizdDreamr · 01-19-12, 04:23 AM

need 29 off 12 bowls.

MatI · 01-19-12, 04:30 AM

It's going to be comfortably under 150. 9/125 in the final over!

EDIT - Nice! All out for 125. Stars should crush that.

I just realised this is in the soccer forum.

DemoralizdDreamr · 01-19-12, 04:36 AM

On players talk as well, im not too worried but they still have to score. Hopefully nothing crazy happens here. Great job of bowling by the stars.

DemoralizdDreamr · 01-19-12, 05:05 AM

Oh shit, little nervous man. 25 through 5 yikes!

hawley · 01-19-12, 05:06 AM

Originally posted by DemoralizdDreamr

Oh shit, little nervous man. 25 through 5 yikes!

Wickets in hand bro its alright!

hawley · 01-19-12, 05:09 AM

Originally posted by hawley

Wickets in hand bro its alright!

yes immediately after posting this Wright got out

MatI · 01-19-12, 05:12 AM

3 for now, need to keep those wickets in hand!!

hawley · 01-19-12, 05:20 AM

Should be a good finish here. Need Hussey to stick around and hopefully White can contribute

MatI · 01-19-12, 05:21 AM

Originally posted by hawley

Should be a good finish here. Need Hussey to stick around and hopefully White can contribute

Hussey will def stick around for most of it. I think White can too.

Although that 6 was a bit dodgy!

hawley · 01-19-12, 05:23 AM

Sensible batting should see them get home

DemoralizdDreamr · 01-19-12, 05:28 AM

not happy man, they need to keep it close. RR of around 8 for the last 4 overs is acceptable at worst.

DemoralizdDreamr · 01-19-12, 05:29 AM

Hussey's got a six, nothing else thus far. need him to go all the way here.

Gorgeous shot for the four.

MatI · 01-19-12, 05:35 AM

Looking ok still I think. If these two can stay in for another 5 overs they will be able to open it well up in the last 5 overs.

showtiime · 01-19-12, 05:42 AM

I find the best value you can get out of these games in the BBL is if you know both teams inside out and try and get a gauge on the score the current batting side might get, wait for a spot live to feel you have a good edge on guessing the score within 10 runs, (the current innings 3-way market) like (140-150) @ $5, I agree it's fairly risky and anything can happen in the space of an over in T20, but if you really pick your spots and try to make a play situational (how many down, who's yet to bat, who's in at the moment, how many overs gone / remaining, other team's bowling attack, how good the pitch plays etc, and the market is usually available up until the 14th over so it's not exactly a stab in the dark if you've been watching the game from the start. You can definitely make a profit, I can honestly say I hit 6 out of 7 working this live score angle @ bet365 (2 were very lucky, like the team was all out in the last over and otherwise it would've lost by a few, plus you'll get a dropped catch that works in your favour here and there, but I guess you need some luck with long odds like that) and all the odds have been between $4 - $5. Also bumped up a few winning parlays tied in with soccer plays when picking C. Gayle highest innings score @ $2.75-$3, they were basically gift odds earlier in the tournament but laid off him past couple of games when he's played it's been overcast / raining so he's gotten out pretty early. Just my 2c. Anyway it's great when those kinda plays hit and I've had some success with them, makes you really ride the innings from start to finish, I suggest some of you try it for the finals! Think they only have it at bet365.

Oh and this feels weird talking about cricket in the soccer forum. Should probably move this thread

DemoralizdDreamr · 01-19-12, 05:43 AM

Beautiful Six!! Good Job White

hawley · 01-19-12, 05:45 AM

Adelaide paying $19 at bet365 so you can easily hedge out if you so feel the need

ACoochy · 01-19-12, 05:48 AM

Dreamr u got this in the bag...Well done

DemoralizdDreamr · 01-19-12, 05:48 AM

Originally posted by showtiime

I find the best value you can get out of these games in the BBL is if you know both teams inside out and try and get a gauge on the score the current batting side might get, wait for a spot live to feel you have a good edge on guessing the score within 10 runs, (the current innings 3-way market) like (140-150) @ $5, I agree it's fairly risky and anything can happen in the space of an over in T20, but if you really pick your spots and try to make a play situational (how many down, who's yet to bat, who's in at the moment, how many overs gone / remaining, other team's bowling attack, how good the pitch plays etc, and the market is usually available up until the 14th over so it's not exactly a stab in the dark if you've been watching the game from the start. You can definitely make a profit, I can honestly say I hit 6 out of 7 working this live score angle @ Bet365 (2 were very lucky, like the team was all out in the last over and otherwise it would've lost by a few, plus you'll get a dropped catch that works in your favour here and there, but I guess you need some luck with long odds like that) and all the odds have been between $4 - $5. Also bumped up a few winning parlays tied in with soccer plays when picking C. Gayle highest innings score @ $2.75-$3, they were basically gift odds earlier in the tournament but laid off him past couple of games when he's played it's been overcast / raining so he's gotten out pretty early. Just my 2c. Anyway it's great when those kinda plays hit and I've had some success with them, makes you really ride the innings from start to finish, I suggest some of you try it for the finals! Think they only have it at bet365.

Oh and this feels weird talking about cricket in the soccer forum. Should probably move this thread

I hear Ya! Im always crunching numbers in my head, looking any slight advantage on the line. Live lines are usually off, even with NBA, there is plenty of room to make some safe bets. You just need be a little advanced in your sport's knowledge. Like for NBA, if the teams take a few too many fouls early in the 4th quarter you can bet the over expecting plenty of free throws down the end of the game.

DemoralizdDreamr · 01-19-12, 05:50 AM

Originally posted by ACoochy

Dreamr u got this in the bag...Well done

Lets hope so, strikers are bringing the fielders in. I've seen too many late collapses to call this a guarantee.