Melbourne Stars versus Adelaide Strikers, anyone betting it?

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  • DemoralizdDreamr
    SBR MVP
    • 02-04-11
    • 4319

    #1
    Melbourne Stars versus Adelaide Strikers, anyone betting it?
    Its Cricket.
    I like the stars at home, its a must win for both teams. Anyone else betting on this?
  • ACoochy
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-19-09
    • 13949

    #2
    Dreamr I'd stay away from the strikers personally. I work there and history says that once this team finds the losing mentality that its awful difficult to get out of. I'd wait til the cointoss though.

    Maybe they will get up and win but I think I'm dreaming in making such statements. Good luck regardless
    Comment
    • DemoralizdDreamr
      SBR MVP
      • 02-04-11
      • 4319

      #3
      Thanks for the help
      i'll look for an edge on a live line than
      Comment
      • Gee
        SBR MVP
        • 04-08-10
        • 4547

        #4
        Take the Stars.

        The line is so short because the Strikers need to win by 80 runs or 10 wickets to make the finals. Usually spells for a collapse and lack of motivation when the finals are lost.

        I don't get your posts there? You wanted the Stars, Acoochy said the Strikers were shite and you're looking for a live line??

        edit: that being said, I hate laying -150 on 20/20 cricket, so I won't play it. If you don't mind juice, Stars win, take it. Strikers are awful and will be even worse in this spot.
        Comment
        • ACoochy
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 08-19-09
          • 13949

          #5
          Dreamr I only said wait til coin toss cos team that's batting first is hitting almost 70% of the time.

          Just a angle I thought may assist u in ur decision
          Comment
          • DemoralizdDreamr
            SBR MVP
            • 02-04-11
            • 4319

            #6
            I took the stars for a unit at -136. The strikers are 1-2 on the road, lost back to back, going to be tough to gain the momentum going into a high pressure game on the road. Ill take Shane Warne at home.
            Comment
            • MatI
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-17-11
              • 5200

              #7
              I don't think winners of coin toss have been winning anything like that clip lately, but I havent done the numbers.

              Melbourne Stars is def the play, but games are so close in T20, it's not worth laying huge juice. It is available still @ Pinny for 1.71 which isn't too bad.
              Comment
              • DemoralizdDreamr
                SBR MVP
                • 02-04-11
                • 4319

                #8
                19 through 3 overs for the strikers, off to a good start.

                winning the coin toss does help but im glad stars are batting second.
                Comment
                • DemoralizdDreamr
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-04-11
                  • 4319

                  #9
                  damn shitty 4th over.
                  Comment
                  • MatI
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 02-17-11
                    • 5200

                    #10
                    This is not won or lost in the first 5 overs. Even 200 is very doable for a chasing side IMO.
                    Comment
                    • DemoralizdDreamr
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-04-11
                      • 4319

                      #11
                      The last 3 or 4 overs, teams start running down the pitch and hitting bombs. McKay looks good early, 1/37 after 5.
                      37 for 5 with the powerplay is pretty poor, lets see how the 6th goes.
                      Comment
                      • MatI
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 02-17-11
                        • 5200

                        #12
                        3/66 off 10 overs for the Strikers. Great start for the Stars. Hopefully they keep the pressure on.

                        I do like some of the new TV tech for the Big Bash. Loving the chats with Warnie & tonights umpire cam is awesome!
                        Comment
                        • DemoralizdDreamr
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-04-11
                          • 4319

                          #13
                          Its pretty cool how they can talk to him while he's bowling.

                          80 through 12, brilliant work so far. Hold em under 150!
                          Comment
                          • ACoochy
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 08-19-09
                            • 13949

                            #14
                            Dreamr im pullin 4 ya here pal Couldnt touvh it in the end...GL
                            Comment
                            • DemoralizdDreamr
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-04-11
                              • 4319

                              #15
                              Originally posted by ACoochy
                              Dreamr im pullin 4 ya here pal Couldnt touvh it in the end...GL
                              thanks! the last 4 overs always kill me. Lets keep it under 150.

                              Bingo, got ferguson!
                              Comment
                              • MatI
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 02-17-11
                                • 5200

                                #16
                                Originally posted by DemoralizdDreamr
                                thanks! the last 4 overs always kill me. Lets keep it under 150.
                                The strikers doing their best to help with that! 6/110 off in 17th over.
                                Comment
                                • DemoralizdDreamr
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-04-11
                                  • 4319

                                  #17
                                  need 29 off 12 bowls.
                                  Comment
                                  • MatI
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 02-17-11
                                    • 5200

                                    #18
                                    It's going to be comfortably under 150. 9/125 in the final over!

                                    EDIT - Nice! All out for 125. Stars should crush that.

                                    I just realised this is in the soccer forum.
                                    Comment
                                    • DemoralizdDreamr
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-04-11
                                      • 4319

                                      #19
                                      On players talk as well, im not too worried but they still have to score. Hopefully nothing crazy happens here. Great job of bowling by the stars.
                                      Comment
                                      • DemoralizdDreamr
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-04-11
                                        • 4319

                                        #20
                                        Oh shit, little nervous man. 25 through 5 yikes!
                                        Comment
                                        • hawley
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 05-10-10
                                          • 14270

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by DemoralizdDreamr
                                          Oh shit, little nervous man. 25 through 5 yikes!
                                          Wickets in hand bro its alright!
                                          Comment
                                          • hawley
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 05-10-10
                                            • 14270

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by hawley

                                            Wickets in hand bro its alright!
                                            yes immediately after posting this Wright got out
                                            Comment
                                            • MatI
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 02-17-11
                                              • 5200

                                              #23
                                              3 for now, need to keep those wickets in hand!!
                                              Comment
                                              • hawley
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 05-10-10
                                                • 14270

                                                #24
                                                Should be a good finish here. Need Hussey to stick around and hopefully White can contribute
                                                Comment
                                                • MatI
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 02-17-11
                                                  • 5200

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by hawley
                                                  Should be a good finish here. Need Hussey to stick around and hopefully White can contribute
                                                  Hussey will def stick around for most of it. I think White can too.

                                                  Although that 6 was a bit dodgy!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • hawley
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 05-10-10
                                                    • 14270

                                                    #26
                                                    Sensible batting should see them get home
                                                    Comment
                                                    • DemoralizdDreamr
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-04-11
                                                      • 4319

                                                      #27
                                                      not happy man, they need to keep it close. RR of around 8 for the last 4 overs is acceptable at worst.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • DemoralizdDreamr
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 02-04-11
                                                        • 4319

                                                        #28
                                                        Hussey's got a six, nothing else thus far. need him to go all the way here.

                                                        Gorgeous shot for the four.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • MatI
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 02-17-11
                                                          • 5200

                                                          #29
                                                          Looking ok still I think. If these two can stay in for another 5 overs they will be able to open it well up in the last 5 overs.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • showtiime
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 06-16-11
                                                            • 2850

                                                            #30
                                                            I find the best value you can get out of these games in the BBL is if you know both teams inside out and try and get a gauge on the score the current batting side might get, wait for a spot live to feel you have a good edge on guessing the score within 10 runs, (the current innings 3-way market) like (140-150) @ $5, I agree it's fairly risky and anything can happen in the space of an over in T20, but if you really pick your spots and try to make a play situational (how many down, who's yet to bat, who's in at the moment, how many overs gone / remaining, other team's bowling attack, how good the pitch plays etc, and the market is usually available up until the 14th over so it's not exactly a stab in the dark if you've been watching the game from the start. You can definitely make a profit, I can honestly say I hit 6 out of 7 working this live score angle @ bet365 (2 were very lucky, like the team was all out in the last over and otherwise it would've lost by a few, plus you'll get a dropped catch that works in your favour here and there, but I guess you need some luck with long odds like that) and all the odds have been between $4 - $5. Also bumped up a few winning parlays tied in with soccer plays when picking C. Gayle highest innings score @ $2.75-$3, they were basically gift odds earlier in the tournament but laid off him past couple of games when he's played it's been overcast / raining so he's gotten out pretty early. Just my 2c. Anyway it's great when those kinda plays hit and I've had some success with them, makes you really ride the innings from start to finish, I suggest some of you try it for the finals! Think they only have it at bet365.

                                                            Oh and this feels weird talking about cricket in the soccer forum. Should probably move this thread
                                                            Comment
                                                            • DemoralizdDreamr
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-04-11
                                                              • 4319

                                                              #31
                                                              Beautiful Six!! Good Job White
                                                              Comment
                                                              • hawley
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 05-10-10
                                                                • 14270

                                                                #32
                                                                Adelaide paying $19 at bet365 so you can easily hedge out if you so feel the need
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ACoochy
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 08-19-09
                                                                  • 13949

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Dreamr u got this in the bag...Well done
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • DemoralizdDreamr
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-04-11
                                                                    • 4319

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by showtiime
                                                                    I find the best value you can get out of these games in the BBL is if you know both teams inside out and try and get a gauge on the score the current batting side might get, wait for a spot live to feel you have a good edge on guessing the score within 10 runs, (the current innings 3-way market) like (140-150) @ $5, I agree it's fairly risky and anything can happen in the space of an over in T20, but if you really pick your spots and try to make a play situational (how many down, who's yet to bat, who's in at the moment, how many overs gone / remaining, other team's bowling attack, how good the pitch plays etc, and the market is usually available up until the 14th over so it's not exactly a stab in the dark if you've been watching the game from the start. You can definitely make a profit, I can honestly say I hit 6 out of 7 working this live score angle @ Bet365 (2 were very lucky, like the team was all out in the last over and otherwise it would've lost by a few, plus you'll get a dropped catch that works in your favour here and there, but I guess you need some luck with long odds like that) and all the odds have been between $4 - $5. Also bumped up a few winning parlays tied in with soccer plays when picking C. Gayle highest innings score @ $2.75-$3, they were basically gift odds earlier in the tournament but laid off him past couple of games when he's played it's been overcast / raining so he's gotten out pretty early. Just my 2c. Anyway it's great when those kinda plays hit and I've had some success with them, makes you really ride the innings from start to finish, I suggest some of you try it for the finals! Think they only have it at bet365.

                                                                    Oh and this feels weird talking about cricket in the soccer forum. Should probably move this thread
                                                                    I hear Ya! Im always crunching numbers in my head, looking any slight advantage on the line. Live lines are usually off, even with NBA, there is plenty of room to make some safe bets. You just need be a little advanced in your sport's knowledge. Like for NBA, if the teams take a few too many fouls early in the 4th quarter you can bet the over expecting plenty of free throws down the end of the game.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • DemoralizdDreamr
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-04-11
                                                                      • 4319

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by ACoochy
                                                                      Dreamr u got this in the bag...Well done
                                                                      Lets hope so, strikers are bringing the fielders in. I've seen too many late collapses to call this a guarantee.
                                                                      Comment
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