Rider +585 ml "do not overlook"

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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65641

    #36
    Originally posted by jeffdane
    steve nash: teach me "true odds" and does this give you ml winners? thanks
    Rider was 7:1 dogs to win this game.
    Books were giving you + 585

    What don't you get?
    Comment
    • jeffdane
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 09-20-09
      • 5165

      #37
      7 to 1 to win the game, thats what i dont get, where does this come from?
      Comment
      • scottie2005
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 07-15-10
        • 649

        #38
        Originally posted by jeffdane
        7 to 1 to win the game, thats what i dont get, where does this come from?
        Comment
        • stevenash
          Moderator
          • 01-17-11
          • 65641

          #39
          Originally posted by cumatmebrah
          put my whole roll on Rider ML
          yet this jabroni thought going all in was +EV
          Comment
          • jeffdane
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 09-20-09
            • 5165

            #40
            explain please
            Comment
            • jeffdane
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 09-20-09
              • 5165

              #41
              Originally posted by jeffdane
              explain please
              what do i put in the boxes?
              Comment
              • jeffdane
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 09-20-09
                • 5165

                #42
                can someone explain this to me and what numbers do i insert
                Comment
                • scottie2005
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 07-15-10
                  • 649

                  #43
                  Originally posted by jeffdane
                  what do i put in the boxes?
                  Convert From: Spread
                  League: CBK
                  Spread: 10.5
                  Fave and Dog Odds: +100

                  Gives dog odds of +926.7. So if you can find ML odds higher than this is "theoretically" +EV
                  Comment
                  • scottie2005
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 07-15-10
                    • 649

                    #44
                    Originally posted by scottie2005
                    Convert From: Spread League: CBK Spread: 10.5 Fave and Dog Odds: +100 Gives dog odds of +926.7. So if you can find ML odds higher than this is "theoretically" +EV
                    Don't know how accurate that calculator is over 10 however. Numbers above that seem off.
                    Comment
                    • jeffdane
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 09-20-09
                      • 5165

                      #45
                      why would you put +100 for odds? where you getting +100 for both sides?
                      Comment
                      • scottie2005
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 07-15-10
                        • 649

                        #46
                        That's the juice a sportsbook would use. Normally I'm guessing a book would use -110 in order to get a spread. However, we would use +100 so no spread is calculated and it just gives us the approximate odds of the event occurring.
                        Comment
                        • jeffdane
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 09-20-09
                          • 5165

                          #47
                          so with the spread being +11.5 how does the other guy get 7 to 1? mine says +1722
                          Comment
                          • dj_destroyer
                            SBR MVP
                            • 07-28-10
                            • 3856

                            #48
                            Originally posted by No coincidences
                            Surprised Rider even covered.

                            At least you got that.
                            +1

                            Like I said before the game, the line was sharp. But I definitely thought Fairfield would cover; they played more of a defensive/controlled game.
                            Comment
                            • jeffdane
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 09-20-09
                              • 5165

                              #49
                              Originally posted by dj_destroyer

                              +1

                              Like I said before the game, the line was sharp. But I definitely thought Fairfield would cover; they played more of a defensive/controlled game.
                              stats to support your opinion or just a hunch?

                              trying to learn more here. thakns
                              Comment
                              • dj_destroyer
                                SBR MVP
                                • 07-28-10
                                • 3856

                                #50
                                You've been here for over 2 years and 4000 posts... There is a lot more pertinent information available. Personally, I like situational analysis.
                                Comment
                                • jeffdane
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 09-20-09
                                  • 5165

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by dj_destroyer
                                  You've been here for over 2 years and 4000 posts... There is a lot more pertinent information available. Personally, I like situational analysis.
                                  so you are saying, hunch?
                                  Comment
                                  • dj_destroyer
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-28-10
                                    • 3856

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by jeffdane
                                    so you are saying, hunch?
                                    My analysis for this game would run pages deep and I didn't even make a play... I'm not going to write it all out for you. Everyone has their own style, I simply stated before the game that I was leaning the other way and that the line was sharp. No need to explain that.
                                    Comment
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