NFL Playoff Manifesto: "Beware of the easy two-team teaser on the same day"

[cleaveland]

After analyzing today's games, I'm reminded of the "Beware of the easy two-team teaser on the same day" rule. I know BettingWizard is with me and that's enough for me. Anyone else?

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-betting/1514397-houston-ml-giants-ml.html

RULE NO. 11: Beware of the easy two-team teaser on the same day
I created this rule during the 2003 playoffs, after everyone and their brother teased the Jets (home against the Colts) and Packers (home against the Falcons) on the Saturday of Round 1. Well, the Gambling Gods didn't appreciate that ... so Michael Vick ended up having the game of his life in Lambeau. The same situation arose in Round 2 of the 2004 playoffs -- with the Pats (home against the Titans) and the Rams (home against the Panthers) -- and this time, I was ready:
"This Rams-Pats tease is those 'Britney Spears X-Rated Video: Click here!' e-mails. In other words, any time something looks too easy, it usually is. Something weird is gonna happen. And it won't be with the Pats."
What happened? The Rams lost to the Panthers. And a new gambling rule was born.

http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/page2/story?page=simmons/060106a

[cleaveland]

Baltimore ML for me so if that wins then I guess Giants ML is an auto-play (I suggest small because this is a ridiculous thing to base on a bet on)?

[cleaveland]

Packers ML is down to -230 in in-game betting. History repeating?

[cleaveland]

Most people only give you this type of analysis after the game and people say, "Tell us beforehand, please." You tell people beforehand and they ignore you, you can't win.

[Puppy]

both -7.5 for an entire week was like the books were begging us to make up that teaser. id be up a decent amound if i didnt do nfl teasers this year

[hawley]

Sharp thread

Wonder how many Ravens / Packers teasers there were today

[BettingWizard]

[p19101]

I think the attention wasn't here because too many already raised awareness of the Packers being a fraud


OR Even more so, Giants being the team to beat

[FourLengthsClear]

Nice hit even though the basis was, as you said a "ridiculous thing".

Those who bet the Wong teasers blind have got their tails between their legs.

[ebbearsfb1]

seems like the late game on sunday is always ripe for an upset especially if the public has won the other 3 games just based of the last 2 years




today packers - 9 outright loser
wild card steelers -9 out right loser

last divisonal pats -7?? outright loser

week before i believe the eagles were favorites and lost outright

[dedmoney]

nice hit, i def thought ravens would go down over pack, however, that was a dip buster win for giants

[cleaveland]

[cleaveland]

seems like the late game on sunday is always ripe for an upset especially if the public has won the other 3 games just based of the last 2 years




today packers - 9 outright loser
wild card steelers -9 out right loser

last divisonal pats -7?? outright loser

week before i believe the eagles were favorites and lost outright

I learned this lesson in a very painful way before, experience makes you wise indeed.

[convick]

Sharp thread

Wonder how many Ravens / Packers teasers there were today

Buried! Freakin packers, I knew Giants +13.5 was the safer side..

[the_situation]

everyone and their moms got buried on ravens/pack....just wow

[the_situation]

Buried! Freakin packers, I knew Giants +13.5 was the safer side..

or taking Gmen ATS ....no point teasing +7.5 to +13.5, just dumb

[HoulihansTX]

Bill Simmons is a mastermind.

My favorite article if his will always be "The Ewing Theory". It works 90% of the time.

[ApricotSinner32]

Books know what they are doing. If you are doing what everyone else is you're probably going to lose your rooster. No free money in this business.

[hawley]

Books know what they are doing. If you are doing what everyone else is you're probably going to lose your rooster. No free money in this business.

Patty I had 2h under +105 in the Ravens game. Am I sharp?

[ApricotSinner32]

Patty I had 2h under +105 in the Ravens game. Am I sharp?

[hawley]

Patty I am trying to learn from you

[ApricotSinner32]

Patty I am trying to learn from you

I've never heard of you. My methods only work on certain games. I had no idea for todays games. (Was too tired to even put any effoert in to looking around.)

Watching the aussie open right now

[hawley]

Patty you prick you know my alter ego Mercedes.

Patty I am watching Verdasco and Tomic. You?