Li Na to win APIA international +145 Aus open +1400

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  • Bbr
    SBR MVP
    • 08-17-10
    • 3900

    #1
    Li Na to win APIA international +145 Aus open +1400
    She won this tourney last year on her way to a maiden Aus open title. Always seems to play well in Australia.

    A unit on Li na to beat azarenka and maybe half a unit to win the Aus Open.
  • beefcake
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-26-09
    • 14029

    #2
    Dont know man, they way she finished 2011 not sure on how well she will do in the majors, regardless of past success..
    Comment
    • gators0708
      SBR MVP
      • 10-07-10
      • 2318

      #3
      She"s a 1 and done with winning slams, too lazy IMO..
      Comment
      • Pinocchio
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 06-26-11
        • 569

        #4
        She won this tourney last year on her way to a maiden Aus open title. Always seems to play well in Australia.

        A unit on Li na to beat azarenka and maybe half a unit to win the Aus Open.
        Last time I checked, Clijsters won last year's Australian Open. Azarenka -2.5 is the play here.
        Comment
        • Bbr
          SBR MVP
          • 08-17-10
          • 3900

          #5
          Originally posted by Pinocchio
          Last time I checked, Clijsters won last year's Australian Open. Azarenka -2.5 is the play here.
          I stand corrected. However, I still believe Li na has something to proove at this years Aus open. Azarenka -2.5 is a risky play.
          Comment
          • Optional
            Administrator
            • 06-10-10
            • 61632

            #6
            She really has been amazing in Australia in '11, '10, '08 and '07. (didn't come '09)

            And she is 7-0 here this year so far. (having done Kvitova and Bartoli on the way)

            Even if you don't like her, just based on that record I still wouldn't bet against her at -2.5 let alone the +2.5 on offer.
            .
            Comment
            • Hugh Madbrough
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 01-08-12
              • 834

              #7
              Victoria Azarenka has only defeated Na Li once on a hard surface. Na Li defeated Victoria last year 6-3 6-3 in Australia. This year Na Li seems to struggle on the first set but then gets herself together. I'll take her as an underdog anytime.

              Pending1/13/12 3:30am WTA Tennis 302 Na Li +135* <small>vs</small> Victoria Azarenka
              Comment
              • takzilla
                SBR High Roller
                • 05-26-11
                • 200

                #8
                i like it.
                Comment
                • Bbr
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-17-10
                  • 3900

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Hugh Madbrough
                  Victoria Azarenka has only defeated Na Li once on a hard surface. Na Li defeated Victoria last year 6-3 6-3 in Australia. This year Na Li seems to struggle on the first set but then gets herself together. I'll take her as an underdog anytime. Pending1/13/12 3:30am WTA Tennis 302 Na Li +135* <small>vs</small> Victoria Azarenka
                  Exactly my thoughts. GL
                  Comment
                  • Bbr
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-17-10
                    • 3900

                    #10
                    Originally posted by takzilla
                    i like it.
                    GL bro!
                    Comment
                    • Djstucky
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-27-11
                      • 2993

                      #11
                      Doesn't this go 3 sets making over 21 the play???
                      Comment
                      • Gee
                        SBR MVP
                        • 04-08-10
                        • 4547

                        #12
                        Comment
                        • FindTheLock
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 02-27-10
                          • 7194

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Djstucky
                          Doesn't this go 3 sets making over 21 the play???
                          I like where your head is at. I prefer taking the over if I think it will be close.
                          Comment
                          • Bbr
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-17-10
                            • 3900

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Djstucky
                            Doesn't this go 3 sets making over 21 the play???
                            I don't like playing totals this early in the season as it's safer to gauge the players form and how they have improved from last season before touching totals, Aus open should be better for totals i hope. This could easily end in 2 sets, considering the last 4 times they played the match was completed in 2.

                            However, the game could possibly go over.... because, the No. 1 ranking is there for the taking since wozniacki slipped. Aus open will determine if the no.1 ranking changes but,there are good ranking points to be won here nevertheless.

                            Basically, I wouldnt play the over due to the conflicting pros/cons.

                            GL bro
                            Comment
                            • Djstucky
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-27-11
                              • 2993

                              #15
                              Line moving slightly away from Na...

                              Thanks for the info bbr...

                              Good luck to u sir...
                              Comment
                              • FindTheLock
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 02-27-10
                                • 7194

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Bbr
                                I don't like playing totals this early in the season as it's safer to gauge the players form and how they have improved from last season before touching totals, Aus open should be better for totals i hope. This could easily end in 2 sets, considering the last 4 times they played the match was completed in 2.

                                However, the game could possibly go over.... because, the No. 1 ranking is there for the taking since wozniacki slipped. Aus open will determine if the no.1 ranking changes but,there are good ranking points to be won here nevertheless.

                                Basically, I wouldnt play the over due to the conflicting pros/cons.

                                GL bro
                                7-5 6-4 is 22! Even if it only goes 2 sets it could still go over 21!
                                Comment
                                • Ace_of_Spades
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 10-14-09
                                  • 13518

                                  #17
                                  GL Bbr
                                  Comment
                                  • Djstucky
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-27-11
                                    • 2993

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by FindTheLock
                                    7-5 6-4 is 22! Even if it only goes 2 sets it could still go over 21!
                                    Another reason I like the over here...although I think this one is destined to go 3...this can go over in two sets as stated...wish I could predict the future here guys...hmmm. What to do...
                                    Comment
                                    • FindTheLock
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 02-27-10
                                      • 7194

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Djstucky
                                      Another reason I like the over here...although I think this one is destined to go 3...this can go over in two sets as stated...wish I could predict the future here guys...hmmm. What to do...
                                      I am more of a totals bettor than spread betting. I have more success with it in every sport except the NBA
                                      Comment
                                      • Djstucky
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-27-11
                                        • 2993

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by FindTheLock
                                        I am more of a totals bettor than spread betting. I have more success with it in every sport except the NBA
                                        I prefer totals myself...and agree totally on NBA being a pain in the ass...
                                        Comment
                                        • Bbr
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 08-17-10
                                          • 3900

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Djstucky
                                          I prefer totals myself...and agree totally on NBA being a pain in the ass...
                                          NBA totals Very difficult to bet in. Destined to get drilled if you bet a lot of them!
                                          Comment
                                          • Bbr
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-17-10
                                            • 3900

                                            #22
                                            In hindsight I did notice that the total was set pretty low for this match. Still not touching it though. Ill be cheering for yall though
                                            Comment
                                            • FindTheLock
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 02-27-10
                                              • 7194

                                              #23
                                              I bet a small amount on the Over 21... Not even enough to watch it, but I feel like it's the correct play here. Who knows maybe it's a blowout??? Too early to know how fat and out of shape these girls could be.
                                              Comment
                                              • Bbr
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-17-10
                                                • 3900

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by FindTheLock
                                                I bet a small amount on the Over 21... Not even enough to watch it, but I feel like it's the correct play here. Who knows maybe it's a blowout??? Too early to know how fat and out of shape these girls could be.
                                                GL my man.
                                                Comment
                                                • FindTheLock
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 02-27-10
                                                  • 7194

                                                  #25
                                                  u too my friend
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Gee
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 04-08-10
                                                    • 4547

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Bbr
                                                    I don't like playing totals this early in the season as it's safer to gauge the players form and how they have improved from last season before touching totals, Aus open should be better for totals i hope. This could easily end in 2 sets, considering the last 4 times they played the match was completed in 2. However, the game could possibly go over.... because, the No. 1 ranking is there for the taking since wozniacki slipped. Aus open will determine if the no.1 ranking changes but,there are good ranking points to be won here nevertheless. Basically, I wouldnt play the over due to the conflicting pros/cons. GL bro
                                                    Are you joking or what are you actually crapping on about????? Are you typing for the sake of trying to answer a question that you didn't really have an answer to?

                                                    Do you really think these girls (3 and 5 in the world) are motivated by rankings points 3 days before a grand slam? Pretty poor form, consider you started this thread and should know better.

                                                    You should know Kvit was the only one interested in points this tourney.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • FindTheLock
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 02-27-10
                                                      • 7194

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Gee
                                                      Are you joking or what are you actually crapping on about????? Are you typing for the sake of trying to answer a question that you didn't really have an answer to?

                                                      Do you really think these girls (3 and 5 in the world) are motivated by rankings points 3 days before a grand slam? Pretty poor form, consider you started this thread and should know better.

                                                      You should know Kvit was the only one interested in points this tourney.
                                                      so what's your play on this match then? Instead of tearing down another poster give us some winners
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Demonata
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 07-12-11
                                                        • 25829

                                                        #28
                                                        I like Az winning here. Li Na is up for a let down like usual
                                                        Comment
                                                        • QuangX
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-03-11
                                                          • 2756

                                                          #29
                                                          Parlay Li NA and WICKMAYER, YANINA
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Bbr
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 08-17-10
                                                            • 3900

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Gee
                                                            Are you joking or what are you actually crapping on about????? Are you typing for the sake of trying to answer a question that you didn't really have an answer to? Do you really think these girls (3 and 5 in the world) are motivated by rankings points 3 days before a grand slam? Pretty poor form, consider you started this thread and should know better. You should know Kvit was the only one interested in points this tourney.
                                                            I can tell you have never played tennis. Points are points. You think these players play to be number 2? Number one is where U wanna be and the only way to get there is with points. So gtfo
                                                            Comment
                                                            • hawley
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 05-10-10
                                                              • 14270

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by FindTheLock

                                                              so what's your play on this match then? Instead of tearing down another poster give us some winners
                                                              You will have to check out geespicks.com or westcoastcappers.com.au for his picks.

                                                              Can I add they are well priced and well worth purchasing.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Gee
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 04-08-10
                                                                • 4547

                                                                #32
                                                                BBR: That is absolute rubbish and you know it. Sure, everyone wants to win to win, but there is a much bigger, slightly more important tournament starting in 3 days.

                                                                I guess you don't think fixes happen in tennis either? - they are all so motivated by those points that no-one would dare.

                                                                You may think I haven't played tennis, but at least I've watched it for quite a while. It is pretty clear to anyone that watches the game, that the week before a slam is often the time for very strange results, because of what the preparation is geared for.

                                                                Yet, you somehow think this could go over because they are concerned about their precious points? This ain't VegasInsider or PattyV.

                                                                Piss poor.

                                                                Originally posted by FindTheLock
                                                                so what's your play on this match then? Instead of tearing down another poster give us some winners
                                                                I'm not playing this match.

                                                                I'm not tearing him down. I'm just stating the obvious

                                                                I agree that Li Na has to be the value play though.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Gee
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 04-08-10
                                                                  • 4547

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by hawley
                                                                  You will have to check out geespicks.com or westcoastcappers.com.au for his picks.

                                                                  Can I add they are well priced and well worth purchasing.
                                                                  NZ -9.5.

                                                                  100 unit winner
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • FindTheLock
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 02-27-10
                                                                    • 7194

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by hawley
                                                                    You will have to check out geespicks.com or westcoastcappers.com.au for his picks.

                                                                    Can I add they are well priced and well worth purchasing.
                                                                    I don't buy picks, I just get sick of seeing people tearing people down on the internet. People don't act like that face to face, at least not to me... I know there is nothing I can do about it so I am wasting my time complaining.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • hawley
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 05-10-10
                                                                      • 14270

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by FindTheLock

                                                                      I don't buy picks, I just get sick of seeing people tearing people down on the internet. People don't act like that face to face, at least not to me... I know there is nothing I can do about it so I am wasting my time complaining.
                                                                      I didn't believe in buying picks either until I found Geespicks.com

                                                                      Guy is hitting over 78% and up over 1200u since I have been tailing.

                                                                      Easy 100u winner tonight
                                                                      Comment
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