I found a BOWL system that is 23-4 this bowl season

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  • Lazy-Man
    SBR MVP
    • 12-20-10
    • 1430

    #1
    I found a BOWL system that is 23-4 this bowl season
    Unreal, wished I found it earlier. Not sure if I can post links from another betting forum?
  • Lazy-Man
    SBR MVP
    • 12-20-10
    • 1430

    #2
    My system has 2 categories of net value; the higher the value, the less plays are available, but higher winning %.
    5-0***
    11-3*
    Here are my remaining plays:

    TxAM *
    Utah ***
    Illinois*
    Van***
    Hou***
    SC***
    Fl*
    Or*
    WVU*** (play changed due to ratings error)
    KsSt*
    LSU***
    Comment
    • betplom
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 09-20-06
      • 13444

      #3
      Originally posted by Lazy-Man
      Unreal, wished I found it earlier. Not sure if I can post links from another betting forum?
      prolly not a good idea.

      you can copy/paste the details though.
      Comment
      • Lazy-Man
        SBR MVP
        • 12-20-10
        • 1430

        #4
        OK. I use Sagarin for their ratings, and I use Covers for the basic info, PF - PA. Home and Away values are important distinctions, and I filter those stats with each team's last 5 games stats. *I compare the value from each team and apply that net difference to the higher rated team.
        I then compare that net value with the point spread. I take the side, if any, that has at least 3 points more value than team's net value.*
        For instance, I picked Stanford tonight because my system's final net team value between the 2 teams was +2 for Ok St., and since Stanford was a 5 point dog, 5-2 = +3, which gave Stanford my minimum +3 points of positive value.
        I've spent the last 7 years trying lots of different *stats and filters. You don't have to use Sagarin, almost any RPI will give you a relative scale to work with. That's about all I want to share.
        Find what works best for you.*
        Comment
        • streak1234
          SBR High Roller
          • 06-29-10
          • 116

          #5
          Very interesting. After the mini-bowl bash I've been taking, I would have wished to find you earlier. I wish you good luck because I will be riding with you.
          Comment
          • floridagolfer
            SBR MVP
            • 12-19-08
            • 2757

            #6
            Originally posted by Lazy-Man
            OK. I use Sagarin for their ratings, and I use Covers for the basic info, PF - PA. Home and Away values are important distinctions, and I filter those stats with each team's last 5 games stats. *I compare the value from each team and apply that net difference to the higher rated team.
            I then compare that net value with the point spread. I take the side, if any, that has at least 3 points more value than team's net value.*
            For instance, I picked Stanford tonight because my system's final net team value between the 2 teams was +2 for Ok St., and since Stanford was a 5 point dog, 5-2 = +3, which gave Stanford my minimum +3 points of positive value.
            I've spent the last 7 years trying lots of different *stats and filters. You don't have to use Sagarin, almost any RPI will give you a relative scale to work with. That's about all I want to share.
            Find what works best for you.*
            Please explain this further. You simply can't be taking the rating and adding the difference in points scored/allowed over the last five games.
            Comment
            • Prospects_
              SBR Hustler
              • 04-14-10
              • 98

              #7
              Lang is on Clemson, so I hope this system is correct. Everyone is on Clemson, so WV may be the play.
              Comment
              • dom75
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 10-11-10
                • 779

                #8
                Sounds interesting.... I'll be watchin this system
                Comment
                • DrStale
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 12-07-08
                  • 9692

                  #9
                  Originally posted by floridagolfer

                  Please explain this further. You simply can't be taking the rating and adding the difference in points scored/allowed over the last five games.
                  Doubt he can explain further since he didnt write it
                  Originally posted by Dark Horse
                  If with religion you mean belief system, your belief system is your religion. Again, it matters not what it is. You believe in it, you are loyal to it, would defend it, and yet have no proof of it, other than that, at one point or another, you chose to believe in it. Self-hypnosis. What if there were a snapping of fingers that broke the hypnosis?
                  Comment
                  • Sniperpicks
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-14-11
                    • 4717

                    #10
                    this comes out when there is like 6 of 35 games left?


                    comeon man !

                    Comment
                    • ttwarrior1
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 06-23-09
                      • 28460

                      #11
                      the favorite? oh yeh great system
                      Comment
                      • StackinGreen
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 10-09-10
                        • 12140

                        #12
                        Yes, systems that pick games that have already been played are generally pretty "good" ... what I can't figure out is how you missed even one, let alone 4?

                        Comment
                        • statnerds
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-23-09
                          • 4047

                          #13
                          I actually do have a system that is 10-2 LY,

                          9-3 so far this season

                          and is 57-25 from 2005-2010

                          And there is no way in hell I would share it with any of you fukks or ever post it in a public forum.
                          Comment
                          • Landscaper
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-12-10
                            • 2712

                            #14
                            I have a system that has a system
                            Comment
                            • Lazy-Man
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-20-10
                              • 1430

                              #15
                              West Virginia covers. Unreal
                              Comment
                              • spankie
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 02-10-11
                                • 9992

                                #16
                                lazy man
                                Comment
                                • Grits n' Gravy
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 06-10-10
                                  • 13024

                                  #17
                                  The Sagarin rating and strength of schedule system is nothing new. Had a few solid years and tanked badly 2 years ago if I recall correctly.
                                  Comment
                                  • Lazy-Man
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-20-10
                                    • 1430

                                    #18
                                    Again this ain't my system. Go on covers and under systems and strategies forum there's a guy that posted all the plays well before game time
                                    Comment
                                    • Grits n' Gravy
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 06-10-10
                                      • 13024

                                      #19
                                      jbragg at rx used to post them. People begged and when they hit rough patch he got shit on for just providing info people wanted.
                                      Comment
                                      • tony_come
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 03-31-10
                                        • 21695

                                        #20
                                        Smart money is on KSt

                                        that's all I'm going to share
                                        Comment
                                        • Ace_of_Spades
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 10-14-09
                                          • 13518

                                          #21
                                          Oh boy
                                          Comment
                                          • NeverBackDown
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 11-30-11
                                            • 543

                                            #22
                                            Comment
                                            • raydog
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 11-07-07
                                              • 6984

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by tony_come
                                              Smart money is on KSt

                                              that's all I'm going to share
                                              wrong so far... but hey, you had a 50/50 chance of looking like you had a clue
                                              Comment
                                              • SEAHAWKHARRY
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 11-29-07
                                                • 26068

                                                #24
                                                Love this!!!!!
                                                Comment
                                                • flocko76
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-01-10
                                                  • 1447

                                                  #25
                                                  so does the system like k state straight up or ats? I have arkansas -.5 in a teaser I have.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Lazy-Man
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-20-10
                                                    • 1430

                                                    #26
                                                    It's ats. And its only a 1* play. Again not my system and not taking any credit for it
                                                    Comment
                                                    • tony_come
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 03-31-10
                                                      • 21695

                                                      #27
                                                      Raydog

                                                      Please take Arkansas
                                                      Comment
                                                      • frostno98
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 09-11-07
                                                        • 9769

                                                        #28
                                                        Fading any of your posted plays would be a good system as well.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • the h man
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 10-14-10
                                                          • 145

                                                          #29
                                                          Does the play change to more stars now that the line has moved from +7.5 to +9.5?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • EddieMunster
                                                            SBR Hustler
                                                            • 01-05-12
                                                            • 67

                                                            #30
                                                            Interesting, but I think u should go back and look at at least last 2-3 bowl seasons to see if this years bowl results on that system might be an anomaly.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • khaden
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-19-09
                                                              • 1864

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by tony_come
                                                              Smart money is on KSt

                                                              that's all I'm going to share
                                                              Who are you referring to-Lang? He is on KState
                                                              Comment
                                                              • tony_come
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 03-31-10
                                                                • 21695

                                                                #32
                                                                whos lang
                                                                Comment
                                                                • thebestthereis
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 03-01-09
                                                                  • 11459

                                                                  #33
                                                                  if you ever bet the same pick as lang it is because of 1 of 2 things. you have dog shit for a brain or you want to lose money...or both. you don't have to fade him but you cannot be on the same pick.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • statnerds
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 09-23-09
                                                                    • 4047

                                                                    #34
                                                                    could not find my data at time of posting, so here is my 'system', which isn't really a system.

                                                                    since 2004, Bowl Games only

                                                                    70-21 SU

                                                                    67-24 ATS
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Ace_of_Spades
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 10-14-09
                                                                      • 13518

                                                                      #35
                                                                      It was good until Lazy found it
                                                                      Comment
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