Under 46.5 Notre Dame / FSU

[stevenash]

ND hasn't seen a defense this good all season.

Irish hasn't really lit up the score board the last month, they could only put up 14 against Stanford in that loss, and managed just 16 in their BC win.

When the Irish do win, they hang 40+ on the the service academies, but so did Toledo.
I'm not impressed at all with Irish offense, look at the Pitt game too, 15-12 win.

What makes you think ND can score more than 17 on that great Seminole defense.

'Nole are 4th best in the nation in scoring defense, 6th best in yardage allowed, you can't pass on them, and they are the best team in the nation not named Alabama in run defense, and as a matter of fact, the Seminoles are the best team in the nation in average yards given up per run attempt.

FSU gives up 2.3 yards per rush, every rush.

Rees is going to be looking at 3rd and 7 all afternoon.
Then Rees is going to drop back and FSU and their fourth most (40) sacks in the nation is going to find his overrated ass on the carpet, looking at a 4th down and 14.

ND has enough defense to limit Manuel and the FSU offense to 24.

24-14 Noles

UNDER 46is the play

[FindTheLock]

I've been thinking this is the best play for this game too

[stevenash]

^
I know, before I send in a wager, I always ask myself "what could happen to sink this bet"?

The only thing that can sink the under is 14+ points on defensive forced turnovers.
Which could happen, but mountains of yardage on offense *will not* sink the under, I am confident of that.

[FindTheLock]

yeah I am going back and forth and images of the florida st defense just causing punt after punt keep running through my head. I am a little worried about Florida St. scoring too much, but 46 is a lot of points and their offense isn't a powerhouse this season. I might end up taking FSU -3 because I can't see Notre Dame being able to score very much.

[studmlb55]

Probably going to be on the over myself...

Notre Dame will throw the ball most of the night, I look for 45+ pass attempts from ND.

FSU should be able to move the ball decently also.

Mix in a few turnovers on the plus side of the field and I think the over is the play...

We shall see, gl with whatever u decide.

[studmlb55]

Probably going to be on the over myself...

Notre Dame will throw the ball most of the night, I look for 45+ pass attempts from ND.

FSU should be able to move the ball decently also.

Mix in a few turnovers on the plus side of the field and I think the over is the play...

We shall see, gl with whatever u decide.

[stevenash]

FSU should be able to move the ball decently also.

No, ND defensive front should be able to handle the FSU offensive front 5.
FSU starts 17 year old Hart at tackle, Datko is out again.
Stork and Fairclouth are out with injuries.
FSU is staring kids on the front, Barron has only started 2 games, Mattias is making his first start at left guard.

Manuel will get pressured.
Brees will get pressured.

[studmlb55]

No, ND defensive front should be able to handle the FSU offensive front 5.
FSU starts 17 year old Hart at tackle, Datko is out again.
Stork and Fairclouth are out with injuries.
FSU is staring kids on the front, Barron has only started 2 games, Mattias is making his first start at left guard.

Manuel will get pressured.
Brees will get pressured.

Precisely why I like the over...

Should be quick possessions for both teams. I don't see either team relying much on the ground game. Both will take shots of the "homerun" variety. Look for screen plays, trick plays, reverses, etc. from both squads. The under is the obvious play but I will be on the over.

I'm not trying to get you off your play and I am sure you are aware you are not going to get me off mine,

BOL Stud

[DoubleRedDragon]

Bowl games go over... going with over here

[fizzwont]

Love the over here. Enough speed on both sides, go get it!

[felon4wins]

Everyone is saying under which makes me think over

[thebestthereis]

more people will be on the over in this game, that is for sure

[stevenash]

I'm not trying to get you off your play and I am sure you are aware you are not going to get me off mine,

BOL Stud

No, not at all, appreciate the input, opposing sides are always welcome.
We shall see, I got the game pegged at 38-41.
I've been wrong before, I'll be wrong again.

BoL also.

[studmlb55]

No, not at all, appreciate the input, opposing sides are always welcome.
We shall see, I got the game pegged at 38-41.
I've been wrong before, I'll be wrong again.

BoL also.

Good stuff bro...

I def. have been wrong myself many a time! This is not a huge play for me (5*) so my heart won't be broke if I am on the wrong side. BOL bro...btw I am leaning hard on the under in tonights game...your thoughts?

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

I got a 3 team 9.5pt teasers for today's action:

Norte Dame +13

UNDER 55.5

Baylor PK

What do you think about this SteveNash?

[stevenash]

^
Like it, don't see RG3 and Baylor going down, and you are covered if UW makes it close.

[thetrinity]

more people will be on the over in this game, that is for sure

agree over is the public play here, lean to this under myself. fsu has played a ton of unders this season.

[stevenash]

Good stuff bro...

I def. have been wrong myself many a time! This is not a huge play for me (5*) so my heart won't be broke if I am on the wrong side. BOL bro...btw I am leaning hard on the under in tonights game...your thoughts?

I need to look at that UW game a second time.
I could go either way

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

^
Like it, don't see RG3 and Baylor going down, and you are covered if UW makes it close.

Thanks for your input

Good luck on your play today as well I'll be rooting for it to stay under 46.5

[mikea33]

Good stuff bro...

I def. have been wrong myself many a time! This is not a huge play for me (5*) so my heart won't be broke if I am on the wrong side. BOL bro...btw I am leaning hard on the under in tonights game...your thoughts?

you got your over unders all mixed up brudda

[mikea33]

FSU is an absolute under machine. both teams are banged up i think itll be a dogfight. 21-13 total or something

[studmlb55]

you got your over unders all mixed up brudda

Maybe so bud, we will see...

[Landscaper]

Thanks for posting your plays Nash!

One of the better cappers on this site for sure

[RockyTopGambler]

Nash and Mike i'm with you guys. Unless some fluky plays or return tds i dont see this going above 41. Just made a thread and then saw this one.

[swishersuite]

This is my favorite play of the day.. I got it at 47.. BOL everyone

[PAULYPOKER]

This thread tells me FSU-3 is the best play.....................

[stevenash]

^
I like FSU minus the FG myself

[Stompin_Tom]

Bowl games go over... going with over here

[warriorfan707]

Thinking of rolling with you on this SN.

[crzbrave]

This play is gold

Under first half Under full game.. This will hit. Long lay off, and FSU is starting 4 or 5 freshman on their Offensive line. They know their defense is NFL caliber and will have no problem letting their D win this game.. man. This play looks sooo good I want to really unload on it

[DoubleRedDragon]

Every bowl game i've trailed recently has gone over except Cal and Texas and that's because they were two awful teams.

The excitement = touchdowns beyond what the stats tell you. Just my opinion.

[EaglesPhan36]

Took the over because I liked the under originally and I have been awful this bowl season.

[convick]

Every bowl game i've trailed recently has gone over except Cal and Texas and that's because they were two awful teams.

The excitement = touchdowns beyond what the stats tell you. Just my opinion.

According to my tally 7 of 12 bowls have gone over. Your statement is pretty naive.

[milwaukee mike]

notre dame games have gone (over 47) 6 times (under 47) 6 times
florida st games have gone (over 47) 5 times (under 47) 7 times

so the people saying florida st has been an under machine all season only watched the last month. they had a 4 game stretch with back to back 30-35 and then back to back 41-16 games

i think with the extra practice time for the offenses to get in rhythm this game is going over

[warriorfan707]

notre dame games have gone (over 47) 6 times (under 47) 6 times
florida st games have gone (over 47) 5 times (under 47) 7 times

so the people saying florida st has been an under machine all season only watched the last month. they had a 4 game stretch with back to back 30-35 and then back to back 41-16 games

i think with the extra practice time for the offenses to get in rhythm this game is going over

Hey dude, I bet a parlay today. Want to bet against it again?