Edge prop bet at Bet365

[Rich Boy]

Drew Brees UNDER 30 Pass Completions -140 @ Bet365

Pinny is offering this bet at

Over 28.5 -113
Under 28.5 -103

1.5 Pass completions is worth roughly 10.5%

1.714 @ 59.3% is a nice 1.64% edge

Enjoy

[Rich Boy]

5dimes is also giving this at an edge

Under 29.5 at +100

Roughly 56% to win @ 2.00, another nice edge

[FourLengthsClear]

Drew Brees UNDER 30 Pass Completions -140 @ Bet365

Pinny is offering this bet at

Over 28.5 -113
Under 28.5 -103

1.5 Pass completions is worth roughly 10.5%

1.714 @ 59.3% is a nice 1.64% edge

Enjoy

Interested in how you have calculated that.

An edge of 1.64% is not that nice when it based on something described as "roughly". I like the under 28.5 at Pinny but have approached it from a completely different angle (can't play at Bet365 for more than pennies anyway).

[Rich Boy]

Ive logged passing stats from a large sample of games to come up with that estimation. It is probably worth more than 10.5%, I always low ball my percentages to prevent me from overestimating my edge.

[FourLengthsClear]

Ive logged passing stats from a large sample of games to come up with that estimation. It is probably worth more than 10.5%, I always low ball my percentages to prevent me from overestimating my edge.

Fair enough.
BOL.

[FourLengthsClear]

Nice hit.

[Rich Boy]

Thanks. Pretty easy cash on this one...